| South Korea and Iran, too | Intuit is into acquisitions |

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Hi John, here's what you need to know for February 25th in 3:02 minutes.

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Today's big stories

  1. A spike of new coronavirus cases over the weekend was met with a heavy sell-off when markets opened on Monday
  2. Ecommerce challenger Shopify signed up for Facebook’s Libra project, but its success is still far from a sure thing – Read Now
  3. Intuit is looking to acquire personal finance portal Credit Karma for roughly $7 billion
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Mamma Mia

Mamma Mia

What’s Going On Here?

There was a spike in new Italian coronavirus cases over the weekend, and even the country’s best plumber-cum-physician couldn’t innoculate Europe’s stocks: there was a massive sell-off when markets reopened on Monday.

What Does This Mean?

Investors have been relatively confident the worst of the epidemic would be confined to China up to now. But over the weekend, Italy locked down over 50,000 people in an effort to limit the biggest non-Asian outbreak of the virus. That led investors to dump the country’s stocks, which fell more than 5% on Monday – their biggest one-day decline since 2016 (tweet this).

Just like the virus itself, the sell-off was hard to contain: markets across Europe slumped over 3%, driven by big declines in stocks of airlines like easyJet and Ryanair, which fell by more than 10%. Investors are now trying to gauge just how significant the hit to travel demand will be – and if the tumbling price of oil is anything to go by, hopes aren’t high.

Why Should I Care?

For markets: Fear in Korea.
Italy wasn’t the only country to report a spike in coronavirus cases: South Korea and Iran did too. That sudden spread could be why investors continued to flock to safe-haven assets: they sent the price of gold to another seven-year high, and the yields on government bonds – which move inversely to bond prices – to new lows. And remember, those investors might also be anticipating global central banks to lower interest rates, which would benefit both gold and bonds.

The bigger picture: Warren needs a buffer.
Famed investor Warren Buffett acknowledged on Monday that the virus will affect businesses, but since he still expects stocks to outperform bonds in the long term, he isn’t selling up. Of course, he doesn’t seem to be buying new stocks either: the Oracle of Omaha struggled to find companies to invest in last year, and bought a record amount of shares in his own company instead.

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2/3 Premium Story

Back In Stock

After a slew of exits in recent months, there was some good news for Facebook’s “cryptocurrency” project Libra late last week, as much-favored ecommerce upstart Shopify announced it was getting on board.

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Zen Master

Zen Master

What’s Going On Here?

Accounting software company Intuit is meditating on whether to buy personal finance portal Credit Karma for $7 billion, in the hope good things will come back around for its business.

What Does This Mean?

The deal would be Intuit’s biggest acquisition ever, and is expected to push the company further into the fast-growing sphere of online personal finance. That might be a shrewd move: while Credit Karma's flagship product – providing customers access to their borrowing histories and credit scores – is free, the company does big business tailoring third-party products to its customers based on their circumstances. And clearly Credit Karma’s efforts to align its chakras have been paying off so far: the potential $7 billion bid is $3 billion more than the company's valuation just two years ago. Namasté.

Why Should I Care?

The bigger picture: Intuit is watching you.
Intuit’s looking to beef up its existing personal finance services like Mint – its online budgeting platform – and TurboTax, the software used by millions to file taxes. By combining with privately owned Credit Karma, Intuit can expand the trove of financial data it collects on customers, and better tweak recommendations to suit them.

For markets: Take the next exit.
Credit Karma’s private-equity investors have been looking to get a return on their investment since last year, when they thought about listing the company on the stock exchange. But after a string of disappointing initial public offerings in 2019 – think Uber, Peloton, Lyft – they decided to look elsewhere. Fortunately for them, the “merger market” is still going strong – especially among financial technology companies. In fact, there have already been a couple of major acquisitions this year: Morgan Stanley announced it’s buying online brokerage E*Trade, while Visa’s shelling out for financial technology startup Plaid.

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💬 Quote of the day

“Life shrinks or expands in proportion with one’s courage.”

– Anaïs Nin (a French-Cuban American diarist, essayist, and novelist)
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💁‍♀️ There’s a pattern here

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⚡️ Lightning insights

Warren Buffett just called it “probably the best business I know in the world.” You probably know it better as Apple.

Our analysts look into what makes Buffett so sure about the business, and why even the “best business in the world” has its own Achilles’ heel(s?). You’ll find it all in our Pack, Where Does Apple Go Next?

📚 What we're reading

  • An article about anti-bacterial duck semen, because sure (Inverse)
  • The streaming giants are going all guns blazing (Slate)
  • Enough of the jargon already (Vulture)
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