The latest moves in crypto markets, in context By Omkar Godbole, CoinDesk Markets Reporter Was this newsletter forwarded to you? Sign up here. |
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Happy Friday! Here’s what you need to know today in crypto: |
- Bitcoin consolidated before a U.S. inflation report.
- The KAS token price outperformed the broader market.
- Trump’s victory odds surged after the presidential debate.
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CoinDesk 20 Index: 2,137 +2.2% Bitcoin (BTC): $61,637 +0.8% Ether (ETC): $3,454 +1.5% S&P 500: 5,482.87 +0.1% Gold: $2,345 +0.9% Nikkei 225: $2,345 +0.9% |
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Bitcoin consolidated above $61,000, lacking a clear directional bias before the release of the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, the core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE). Economists expect the PCE to show the annualized inflation rate slowed to 2.6% in May from 2.8%, according to Bloomberg. While that would be the lowest reading in over two years, it is still above the Fed's 2% goal. "A lower-than-expected figure would suggest a continued inflation decline and potentially boost cryptocurrencies in the coming months," Valentin Fournier, digital assets analyst at advisory firm brn, said. |
Solana's SOL token has outperformed Ethereum's ETH token this week after New York-based investment management firm VanEck filed an S-1 registration statement for its VanEck Solana Trust. "We believe the native token, SOL, functions similarly to other digital commodities such as bitcoin and ETH," VanEck's head of digital assets research, Matthew Sigel, wrote in a post on X arguing that SOL is a commodity, not a security. The consensus is that CME futures are a prerequisite for ETF approval, which SOL currently does not have. Meanwhile, ether futures have been trading on the CME for some time and spot ether ETFs are likely to begin trading in the U.S. in July. For now, the path of least resistance for the SOL/ETH ratio appears to be on the higher side. The SOL/ETH ratio has risen 12% this week, more than reversing the past week's decline in a bullish engulfing candlestick pattern. Blockchain bettors were skeptical of President Joe Biden's performance in the first debate of the 2024 presidential election, pushing former President Donald Trump's odds of winning the November vote to as high as 67%. A contract asking bettors to declare the outcome of the election currently has close to $188 million on the line, with around $23 million on Trump and $21 million on Biden. A Trump victory in November could signal a shift toward more favorable regulatory conditions for the crypto industry, according to analysts at Bitfinex. “A Trump administration might prioritize creating a clear and supportive regulatory framework, encouraging innovation and investment in the crypto sector. This could lead to increased adoption of digital assets and a more robust integration of cryptocurrencies into the financial system, potentially spurring further growth in the industry,” analysts at Bitfinex said in an email. |
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Market Insight: Long Dormant Whale Sends $61M BTC to Coinbase, OnChain Data Shows |
Out of the blue, a whale wallet that had been inactive for six years sprung to life early Friday, moving bitcoin (BTC) to crypto exchange Coinbase as the leading cryptocurrency faded the spike above $62,000. The crypto wallet identified as 12EMDoUhaNCuWZeeT6ey61AkjKyzmjV2m3 deposited 1,000 BTC, valued at over $61 million, to Coinbase Pro, according to data tracked by Lookonchain and Arkham Intelligence. The coins were acquired six years ago for $6.68 million. A whale is a wallet that holds 1,000 BTC or more. This quarter, there has been a noticeable increase in dormant bitcoin wallets stirring into action by moving coins to exchanges. On Thursday, a wallet tied to a bitcoin miner woke up for the first time in 14 years and sent 50 BTC to Binance. |
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- Google Trends, a widely used tool to gauge general or retail investors' interest in trending topics, shows search query "NVDA" over the past five years is nearing the peak value of 100.
- A score of 100 represents peak popularity – the maximum number of searches observed for the query during a given time frame.
- The tool may be a good indicator to watch as the masses are often driven by emotions and frequently the last to enter a bull market and exit a bear market.
- Source: Google Trends.
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Disclaimer: The information presented in this message is intended as a news item that provides a brief summary of various events and developments that affect, or that might in the future affect, the value of one or more of the cryptocurrencies described above. The information contained in this message, and any information liked through the items contained herein, is not intended to provide sufficient information to form the basis for an investment decision. The information presented herein is accurate only as of its date, and it was not prepared by a research analyst or other investment professional. You should seek additional information regarding the merits and risks of investing in any cryptocurrency before deciding to purchase or sell any such instruments. |
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