The latest moves in crypto markets, in context By Lyllah Ledesma, CoinDesk news reporter Was this newsletter forwarded to you? Sign up here. |
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Welcome to a new week! Here’s what you need to know today in crypto: |
- Bitcoin might be about to slide to $47,000.
- Oanda opens an FCA-registered crypto trading platform in the U.K.
- Frax Finance could soon offer a Uniswap-like reward mechanism for token stakers.
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CoinDesk 20 Index: 1,943 −0.5% Bitcoin (BTC): $51,143 −1.0% Ether (ETC): $3,060 +0.9% S&P 500: 5,088.80 +0.0% Gold: $2,042 +0.1% Nikkei 225: $2,042 +0.1% |
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The bitcoin (BTC) price was little changed Monday, in line with subdued weekend volatility, with one trader saying it could drop to as low as $47,000. “The price of bitcoin has fallen below $51K, which is near the bottom of the consolidation range of the last eight days,” Alex Kuptsikevich, FxPro senior market analyst, told CoinDesk in an email. The CD20 broad market gauge has dropped 0.4% in the past 24 hours. Bitcoin hovered around the $51,500 mark, while ether (ETH) regained $3,100 on the back of the relatively new narrative for spot ether exchange-traded funds (ETFs). After a buoyant week for artificial intelligence (AI)- related tokens, prices fell with Worldcoin (WLD) and SingularityNET (AGIX) both losing around 4%. Tokens of Ethereum layer-2 platform Mantle zoomed 30% to a lifetime peak at 93 cents. There was no immediately apparent catalyst for the price gains, but it came on the back of mantleETH, a staked version of ether, crossing the $1.5 billion value-locked mark last week. |
U.S.-based forex pioneer Oanda is opening a U.K. cryptocurrency trading platform registered with the country’s regulator, the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA), based in London and dubbed Oanda Crypto. It’s the summation of last year’s acquisition of a majority stake in FCA-registered Coinpass, and will offer trading in over 63 cryptocurrency pairs, including bitcoin, ether and XRP, with plans to add more tokens and features over the course of the year, the company said. While some crypto-focused companies tend to stay away from places like the U.S. and other heavily regulated jurisdictions, this was an attractive feature for Oanda, the firm’s head of digital assets, Lucian Lauerman, said. The core team behind decentralized finance (DeFi) protocol Frax Finance could soon follow the leading decentralized exchange (DEX) Uniswap's proposal to distribute a portion of protocol fees to stakers of its native token, Frax's CEO and founder Sam Kazemian told CoinDesk. The ecosystem's governance and utility token is (FXS). Users who lock their FXS receive veFXS tokens, allowing them to keep their utility and governance rights. The veFXS tokens can be staked on the Ethereum mainnet and natively on Frax Finance's layer 2, Fraxtal. The proposal will recommend sharing protocol revenue with veFXS stakers, Kazemian said in an interview. The community voted to stop revenue sharing in 2022. |
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Market Insight: BTC Indicator Suggests Potential for Leverage Washout |
A bitcoin (BTC) indicator is suggesting a build-up of speculative froth in the market, often a recipe for leverage flushout and a sudden drop in price. The ratio between the implied yield basis, or annualized spread between prices for one-month futures and prices in spot markets, and options-induced one-month implied – or expected – volatility has more than doubled to around 0.34 this year, according to data tracked by crypto structuring and trading solutions firm STS Digital. "When the implied yield basis is large relative to the underlying volatility, it can signify outsized levels of leverage and speculation," Jeff Anderson, a senior trader at STS Digital, told CoinDesk. |
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- The chart shows the annualized funding rate for the top 25 cryptocurrencies by market value. The yellow bars represent an annualized percentage rate (APR) of nearly 50%, which indicates excess bullish leverage.
- The market for most coins looks overheated, with APR nearing 50%.
- Excess leverage often presages mass liquidations and rapid price corrections.
- Source: Velo Data
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Disclaimer: The information presented in this message is intended as a news item that provides a brief summary of various events and developments that affect, or that might in the future affect, the value of one or more of the cryptocurrencies described above. The information contained in this message, and any information liked through the items contained herein, is not intended to provide sufficient information to form the basis for an investment decision. The information presented herein is accurate only as of its date, and it was not prepared by a research analyst or other investment professional. You should seek additional information regarding the merits and risks of investing in any cryptocurrency before deciding to purchase or sell any such instruments. |
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