Everything you need to make sense of the crypto markets and beyond By the CoinDesk Markets Team Edited by Lawrence Lewitinn, Managing Editor, Global Capital Markets May 19, 2021 (Price data as of May 19 @11:00 UTC) If you were forwarded this newsletter and would like to receive it, sign up here.
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Market Moves by Omkar Godbole Bitcoin Drop Below $40K Triggers $3B in Liquidations
Bitcoin tumbled for a fifth-straight day, extending the largest cryptocurrency’s losses so far in May to 34%, the most for a single month since November 2018.
The top cryptocurrency slipped early Monday below its 200-day simple moving price average (SMA) around $39,825, seen as a key level of support. The average has come into play for the first time since April 29, 2020. Back then, the long-term technical line was located around $7,977.
While bitcoin has shed 15% in the past 24 hours, other top 10 coins such as ether (ETH), internet computer token (ICP), binance token (BNB), cardano (ADA), XRP have suffered more significant losses, according to data source Messari.
However, total liquidations seen in the past 24 hours are still just a third of the record $10 billion worth of forced closures observed on April 17, when bitcoin fell sharply from $60,000. Since then, the market has mostly seen daily liquidations of less than $4 billion, barring a spike on April 12. Crypto futures market-wide liquidations (Source: bybt) The data shows the recent decline from $55,000 to below $40,000 is primarily driven by increased selling in the spot market. The number of bitcoins held on exchanges has risen by more than 65,000 BTC in the past seven days, per data provided by Glassnode. Investors transfer coins to exchanges when they want to liquidate their holdings.
The first leg of the ongoing correction – the drop from $60,000 to $52,000 seen in mid-April – was mainly due to the record liquidations. Forced closure of longs added to bearish pressures around the cryptocurrency, leading to an exaggerated price drop.
What's next for bitcoin
The correction could soon run out of steam as technical indicators show oversold conditions. Further, the order book is flashing signs of capitulation, the point at which traders trying to enter longs begin throwing in the towel.
“We are nearing capitulation to the downside,” crypto research firm Jarvis Labs noted in a Medium post early Wednesday while drawing attention to the relatively low concentration of leveraged longs at deeper price levels on Binance, the world’s largest crypto exchange as per trading volumes.
Binance bitcoin liquidity map (Source: Jarvis Labs)
“The pink bubbles buried underneath the price represent 25x leveraged longs. Red bubbles are 50x longs, which hardly exist, and yellowish-orange are 100x longs, which are virtually non-existent,” the medium post said. “Bubbles above the price line are showing not only a large amount of 25x shorts but also 50x and even 100x.”
Capitulation is widely considered the final stage of the price sell-off.
However, analysts stand divided on whether the market has bottomed out. Patrick Heusser, head of trading at Swiss-based Crypto Finance AG, told CoinDesk that the market needed a correction, and prices could consolidate at lows before moving higher.
“Our desk is buying the dip,” Heusser told CoinDesk.
Stack Funds’ COO and co-founder Matthew Dibb said the pullback to the 200-day SMA is nothing out of the ordinary, but a further decline to $30,000 could be seen.
Bitcoin has taken a beating over the past week, falling sharply from over $50,000 to 3.5-month lows under $40,000.
“The BTC enthusiasm has been sucked out last week by the confluence of “Elon’s corporate ESG stamp of disapproval, the SEC’s public un-enthusiasm for any ETF & the CME backwardation,” QCP Capital noted in its Telegram channel.
Tesla’s Musk attempted to calm market nerves late Sunday with a Twitter announcement stating that the company hasn’t sold its bitcoin holdings. So far, however, that has failed to put a floor under the cryptocurrency. Read the original story here: Bitcoin Drop Below $40K Triggers $3B in Liquidations, Heads for Worst Month in 3 Years
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Technician's Take by Damanick Dantes Bitcoin Breaks Below $42K; Next Support at $34K as Intermediate Trend Turns Bearish Bitcoin (BTC) sellers are in control as the cryptocurrency broke below initial support at $42,000 on Tuesday. BTC was trading around $39,000 at the time of writing and could see further declines towards the next level of support around $34,000. Price recoveries should remain limited at short-term resistance levels between $42,000 and $45,000. Daily bitcoin chart shows intermediate-term support and resistance levels with oversold RSI (Source: TradingView)
Original story found here: Bitcoin Breaks Below $42K; Next Support at $34K as Intermediate Trend Turns Bearish
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A message from CoinDesk Will bitcoin pump? Is a pullback around the corner? Is ether a better way to position? Next week at Consensus by CoinDesk, our virtual big-tent conference, we help investors hone their skill sets with trading and yield generation strategies. investment theses and market intelligence and get up to speed on crypto market developments. Join our Explorations track "Trade Secrets" with Philip Gradwell of Chainalysis, Matthew Roszak of Bloq, Darius Sit of QCP Capital and more at Consensus by CoinDesk, May 24-27. Register today.
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Gary Vaynerchuk On NFTs, Meme Investing, Elon Musk Serial entrepreneur Gary Vaynerchuk joins "First Mover" to discuss today's hot topics and what's on his mind leading up to his upcoming keynote speech at next week's Consensus by CoinDesk conference. He discusses his new NFT marketplace, the overall NFT opportunity, and his reaction to Dogecoin (DOGE) and other meme investing. Also, Nick Mancini of Trade the Chain provides markets analysis and Figure CEO Mike Cagney on the future of home lending.
A message from CoinDesk Bitcoin Miner Metrics: Hashrate and Thermocap
How is hashrate calculated? What does thermocap represent? What do hashrate ribbons say about bitcoin price cycles? This research note looks at Bitcoin miner metrics and how investors can use them to glean insight into the asset’s price and network fundamentals. Download the free report here.
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