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It’s only mid-March and already a slew of prominent retailers have announced thousands of store closures around the U.S. And the pace of closings isn’t expected to slow anytime soon. So far this year, 10 national retail chains have filed bankruptcy. “This phenomenon definitely hasn’t abated since last year in terms of retailers that are struggling,” says Ana Lai, senior director and analytical manager at S&P Global Ratings.

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Mega-deals helped spur foreign investment in U.S. commercial real estate to a near record level in 2018, and many are watching to see if that momentum can carry over into 2019. According to research firm Real Capital Analytics (RCA), cross-border acquisitions of U.S. commercial real estate surged to $94.9 billion last year, jumping 73 percent over the $55.3 billion reported in 2017 and nearly on par with the $100 billion recorded in 2015. 

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As major real estate players target large manufactured home communities, other investors see opportunity for acquisition and growth among the smaller “mom & pop” properties." “Actually, it’s a pretty active market; you just don’t hear about it,” says industry consultant George Allen, a manufactured housing manager and emeritus member of the Manufactured Housing Institute.

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Although it has not been the star of this extended commercial real estate cycle, the office sector has delivered its fair share of strong performance and solid returns. Occupancy rates and rents rose, cap rates fell and development has been kept in check. But now, for the first time in the five years since NREI began its exclusive research gauging sentiment in the sector, cracks have begun to emerge. 

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