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Good afternoon and welcome back to Firepower,

Euractiv’s weekly briefing on European defence is here to help you stay on top of what’s really going on with policy, strategy and spending. 

You’ll find us in your inbox every Friday, and we’ll be going daily during the week of the NATO and European summits later this month.

Scroll down for news on fresh cash for EU ammo production subsidies, the defence industry’s ambitions to dodge green regulations, Zelenskyy’s limited NATO summit invite and more.

First, though: A whole flock of top defence executives (and Firepower) are travelling over to Paris this weekend for the Bourget Air Show, one of the few places where top American and European aerospace firms showcase their fighter jets side-by-side.

That gives the illusion of competition – unless you remember that most European air forces fly American fighters. Even penny-pinching Belgium bought F-35s this year.

The likes of Saab, Dassault and Airbus hope that Donald Trump’s disdain for Europe pushes countries to buy European (Portugal, for instance, is considering ditching the F-35 for Swedish Gripens).

But the consensus is high-end US jets rule the skies. As the Belgian defence minister said in March: “There will be no European alternative available for the F-35 in the decades to come.”

Trump moved ahead with development of a new sixth-generation fighter, the F-47, this spring.

The Europeans, meanwhile, are working on two competing options for their own sixth-gen aircraft: the Italian-British-Japanese GCAP/Tempest and the French-German-Spanish FCAS.

“There’s no place for both on the continent,” high-level defence execs repeat regularly.

What’s in today’s edition:

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EUROPE CHIPS IN FOR MORE AMMO. Our sources say that EU countries have raised north of a half-billion euros to extend the EU’s ASAP subsidy scheme for artillery ammo and missile production by another year. The exact amount is oscillating between €750 million and €1 billion, according to two people briefed on the matter. That would more than double the size of ASAP, which is currently funded with €500 million. The Commission’s proposal to prolong the programme is in the hands of the EU countries, who are expected to give their opinions on Friday.

EIB TRIPLES DEFENCE PORTFOLIO. The once-squeamish European Investment Bank announced this week that it will unleash €3 billion in loans and guarantees for the defence industry with a focus on SMEs. The bank’s president, Nadia Calviño, announced a partnership with Deutsche Bank for research, supply chain resilience and military infrastructure such as training facilities on Wednesday, and said a similar deal with France’s BPCE will be made official in the coming days. Last week, the EIB unveiled a deal with five European national banks to jointly back defence and security projects.

… AND MORE COMING. A little birdie tells us that the EIB’s board of governors will approve raising EIB’s financing targets for defence to record levels when they meet next Friday. The bank is also reviewing several security-related projects for approval, including financing military housing for a German armoured brigade being permanently stationed in Lithuania.

NEWS OF THE DAY: ISRAEL STRIKES IRAN. Israel launched a series of strikes on Iran early on Friday, hitting sites linked to the Iranian nuclear programme and military leadership. Israeli PM Benyamin Netanyahu said the attack aims to “roll back the Iranian threat to Israel’s very survival”, and that the targets included Iran’s main uranium enrichment facility in Natanz. The top commander of Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guards, Hossein Salami, was reportedly killed. The attack took place just days after the United Nations said Iran is not complying with its nuclear obligations, and Teheran announced the construction of a third nuclear enrichment facility. Europe has reacted by urging ‘restraint’.

DEFENCE LOBBY’S BIG MFF BUDGET ASK. According to an internal document seen by Euractiv, the top lobby group for Europe’s defence industry, ASD, is pushing for the EU’s next seven-year budget to combine various funding streams for security related industries into a single pot. The “Securing Europe Facility” would bring together EU funds for cybersecurity, border management and various types of research – and push for EU-made security products to replace foreigner suppliers from the US or China. The funding should support to-be-created European Security Projects of Common Interest (ESPCI) to “address the urgently required protection of Europe’s transnational energy, transport, and communication networks”, ASD argues in the document. “Without its own robust industrial base for security, Europe risks losing control over sensitive technologies and critical networks, and its ability to respond effectively in crises.”

NEXT TARGET: GREEN RULES? The defence industry is also hoping for exemptions from a litany EU rules, particularly on the environment and sustainability. A position paper from ASD seen by Euractiv asks for changes to more than fifty current regulations, with chemical bans, emissions restrictions, sustainable production guidelines and sustainable finance rules all on the list. Other requests include new European reserves of critical raw materials, shorter approval processes for mining projects, and carve outs in EU supply chain reporting, artificial intelligence and antitrust competition rules.

‘OMNIBUS’ PREVIEW. The European Commission is preparing an overhaul of existing EU regulations that would make arms making easier, which they’ve dubbed “Omnibus”, to be unveiled next Tuesday. As Defence Commissioner Andrius Kubilius put it on Tuesday, the goal is to give “more flexibility to Member States in common procurements, on framework agreements, and facilitate innovation procurement” by simplifying directives on defence procurement and intra-EU exports. Kubilius said they’ll also look at competition rules and business reporting obligations. The package is also expected to facilitate better access to financing for defence firms, as stated in the Commission’s White Paper.

ENDLESS EDIP. Poland restarted debate over the EU’s landmark €1.5 billion defence industrial plan this week in hopes of finding compromise, though a deal has remained elusive. Warsaw hoped to get the other 26 EU countries to agree on a text before handing over leadership of the Council to Denmark in July – but France and several other countries are still fighting over derogations to the rules for allowing defence companies from outside the EU to participate. Some member states remain hopeful they can strike a deal by the next leaders’ summit on 26-27 June – where Council President Antonio Costa plans to keep the focus on defence, as it comes directly on the heels of NATO’s summit in The Hague.

POLAND’S SAFE BID. Poland is hoping for as much as €25 billion from Europe’s new €150 billion SAFE envelope, Polish Minister of State Assets Jakub Jaworowski told Euractiv in Warsaw on Monday. He added that Poland and Ukraine are considering partnering on joint projects. EU countries, along with Norway and Ukraine, have six months to apply for SAFE loans by pitching joint procurement deals that involve at least two countries.

THE NEW TRANSLATLANTIC RELATIONSHIP. The EU and Canada have officially started work on a defence and security partnership deal that could be sealed at the Canada-EU summit on 23 June. A deal would clear the way for Ottawa to join EU-sponsored defence procurement programmes under SAFE.

NATO's Headquarters in the north of Brussels are getting a new garden

MORE GRIPENS IN EUROPE? The CEO of Saab was tight-lipped about what European countries are considering new deals for the company’s Swedish-made Gripen fighter jets when he sat down with Euractiv this week, but he acknowledged increased interest as Donald Trump stoked concern about dependence on US-made aircraft. “We are in initial sort of discussions,” Micael Johansson said. “There is a market out there definitely in the next coming years.”

In our interview, Johansson also touched on the need for clearer European priorities for long-term weapons production capacity, how Saab is positioned to weather Trump’s tariffs and his interest in integrating with the Ukrainian defence industry.

GOT THOUGHTS ON MILITARY MOBILITY? The Commission might want to hear from you about what their future Military Mobility Package’s regulations should look like. The effort to cut the time it takes to move troops and heavy equipment across European borders has gotten a lot of attention since the Russian invasion of Ukraine reiterated that need.

AMERICAN MISSILES. There might be chatter in Europe about shifting away from American defence suppliers, but Patriot air-defence systems have never been more in demand, with decade-long waiting lists for deliveries. Tom Laliberty, who heads land and air defence systems for Patriot-maker Raytheon, told us in an interview this week that the company is looking to further expand in Europe with more plants and maintenance facilities after launching a missile factory in Germany. 

“We've had a rich partnership with European industry over our decades-long supply into NATO and Europe,” he said, with no plans to withdraw. In fact, Raytheon hopes to crank out more Patriots and other missiles soon: “We're working with our supply chains to increase production capacity.”

The EU will develop a satellite network that can beam "very high-resolution geointelligence data" to capitals, along with enhanced military-grade positioning systems, Defence and Space Commissioner Andrius Kubilius said on Wednesday.

ZELENSKYY’S COMING TO DINNER. Ukraine’s Volodymyr Zelenskyy will get to dine informally with NATO leaders in The Hague on 24 June, a person with knowledge of the plans said. But as Euractiv previously reported, the war leader didn’t manage an invite to the NATO summit’s main sessions, unlike in recent years. The allies, we’re told, are keen to do anything to avoid possibly upsetting Donald Trump. Discussions over a potential NATO-Ukraine Council meeting at ministerial level are ongoing.

NEW GERMAN NATO ENVOY. Germany’s new government plans to name Detlef Wächter as ambassador to NATO, according to German media reports. He will replace Géza Andreas von Geyr, who headed back to Berlin to take a top post at the foreign ministry. Wächter is currently Germany’s ambassador to Norway.

...AND AN ITALIAN DEPARTURE. Marco Peronaci, Italy’s current ambassador to NATO, will head to Washington where he’ll try to charm Trump as ambassador to the United States.

CANADA will hit NATO’s current 2% GDP defence spending target this year – “half a decade ahead of schedule”, Prime Minister Mark Carney declared this week. Carney framed a higher military budget as reducing Canada’s security dependence on the US – and suggested new weapons orders will shift elsewhere as well. Given the hostility coming from Trump’s Washington, Carney said “we should no longer send three-quarters of our defence capital spending to America”.

ITALY, long one of NATO’s military spending laggards, is now aiming to raise defence spending to 5% of GDP within the next decade, as Antonio Tajani, Italy’s deputy prime minister, announced alongside the visiting NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte in Rome on Thursday.

SERBIA is facing backlash from RUSSIA over the use of Serbian-made weapons by Ukrainian forces. But as Euractiv’s Laurent Geslin explains, don’t expect this spat to push Belgrade into Brussels’ waiting arms.

HUNGARY plans to sell off most of its holdings in several defence industry firms to the 4iG Group in a deal valued at around €205 million, the economy ministry announced this week. According to Reuters, the portfolio includes stakes in Rheinmetall and Airbus Helicopters factories in Hungary.

European Union

Commission

  • 2024 Annual Management and Performance Report for the EU budget, Tuesday, 17 June
  • Omnibus on defence, Tuesday, 17 June
  • EU Defence Commissioner Andrius Kubilius meets with Lithuanian Energy Minister Žygimantas Vaičiūnas, Tuesday, 17 June.
  • EU diplomacy chief Kaja Kallas’s agenda will be available here
  • President Ursula von der Leyen’s agenda will be available here

Council

  • Coreper II meets on Monday, 16 June, Wednesday, 18 June and Thursday 19 June
  • Political and Security Committee meets on Tuesday 17, Wednesday, 18 and Thursday, 19 June
  • European Union Military Committee meets on Wednesday, 18 June
  • President António Costa attends the G7 Summit in Canada on Monday, Monday, 16 -Tuesday, 17 June. The full agenda will be available here
  • European Investment Bank Board of Governors, Friday 20 June

Parliament

  • Plenary on 16-19 June. Watch out for a question time on Tuesday, 17 June with Kallas. MEPs will debate the upcoming NATO Summit on Wednesday, 18 June.
  • Security and Defence Committee meets on Monday, 16 June, 20:30 - 21:15, and Tuesday, 17 June, 20:30 - 21:30

NATO

  • Secretary-General Mark Rutte meets with Swedish Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson, Friday, 13 June
  • Rutte also attends the Bilderberg Meeting, Stockholm, Friday, 13 June
  • Final week before the NATO summit in The Hague, with key decisions looming on defence spending goals

International

  • G7 Summit on Sunday, 15 – Tuesday, 17 June, in Kananaskis, Canada, with Ursula von der Leyen and António Costa

Events

  • Bourget Air show, on 16-22 June, with a visit by Andrius Kubilius on Wednesday, 18 June
  • GLOBESC Forum in Prague, until tomorrow
  • OPEWI’s seminar “three distinct roads to save NATO” Tuesday, 17 June, Brussels
  • FRS and IRSEM’s seminar “Ten years to survive: Europe's nuclear and space challenges”, in Brussels on Thursday, 19 June, Brussels. The event will be available here
  • SWP Conference “The Weimar Triangle and European Autonomy in Defence:” on Wednesday, 18 June, Brussels. The event will be available here

Thank you for reading,

Firepower was brought to you by Euractiv’s defence team.

Tell us how we’re doing, what you know and see! You can contact us at defence@euractiv.com.

Each team member is available at firstname.lastname@euractiv.com

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Aurélie Pugnet Chief Defence Correspondent
Aurélie Pugnet
Bryn Stole Editor
Bryn Stole
Kjeld Neubert Reporter
Kjeld Neubert
Charles Cohen Reporter
Charles Cohen
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