The US slapped China with more tariffs | Meme stocks came back, 2021-style |
Finimize

TOGETHER WITH

Hi John, here's what you need to know for May 15th in 3:12 minutes.

🔎 Spot the odd one out: Ray Dalio, Jamie Dimon, Mark Cuban, Cathie Wood, and your company. Trick question, there isn't one. Nominate your CEO or company to join this year's Modern Investor Summit – the biggest investing event of its kind – and join the ranks. Sign up here

Today's big stories

  1. The US announced new tariffs on $18 billion of Chinese imports
  2. Real estate investments could soon have brand-new curb appeal – Read Now
  3. Meme stocks GameStop and AMC shot “to the moon” once again

Trade Wars Episode III: Revenge Of The Tariff

Trade Wars Episode III: Revenge Of The Tariff

What’s going on here?

The US government announced fresh taxes – a.k.a. tariffs – on $18 billion worth of Chinese imports.

What does this mean?

The US brought in tariffs on Chinese products over five years ago, and now it’s kicking them up a notch. Specifically, semiconductor tariffs will double from 25% to 50% by next year, directly impacting the chips that vehicle, aerospace, and defense sectors rely on. The EV industry will be hit particularly hard, with tariffs on electric cars moving from 27.5% to an eye-watering 102.5% this year. On top of that, lithium-ion batteries will see levies rise from 7.5% to 25%, while solar panel tariffs will also double to 50%, potentially reshaping the US renewable energy sector.

Why should I care?

The bigger picture: Write a pros and cons list.

The increased tariffs – which will be phased in over the next two years – are designed to protect jobs and critical industries in the US of A. But that comes with risks: if history’s anything to go by, China will respond with fresh tariffs of its own on US imports. That would likely push down sales for stateside firms that rely on international trade and add another drag on the economy. In fact, Goldman Sachs previously estimated that every percentage point increase in the tariff rate would shrink the US economy by 0.03%.

For you personally: Up, up, and away.

Tariffs typically spark up inflation, because companies pass higher costs onto customers. And while the US insists that these new taxes are targeted enough to avoid widespread damage, any increase in inflation could force the Federal Reserve to delay cutting US interest rates. After all, April’s producer price inflation came in higher than expected on Tuesday, and economists may now expect the same from consumer prices on Wednesday, suggesting there’s little wiggle room in getting inflation down and stable.

Copy to share story: https://app.finimize.com/content/trade-wars-episode-iii-revenge-of-the-tariff

🙋 Ask a question

Analyst Take

Why It Might Be Time To Think About Real Estate Again

Why It Might Be Time To Think About Real Estate Again

Strong stock performances and attractive bond yields have stolen investors’ attention for much of the past two years.

Thing is, that’s had a lot of folks forgetting all about alternative assets like real estate.

But with interest rates likely to start falling, those investments might soon find their way back into our memories.

That’s today’s Insight: what you’ll need to know when you take another look at real estate.

Read or listen to the Insight here

SPONSORED BY VANTAGEPOINT

Don’t (only) sweat the Fed

One big question is plaguing independent traders, institutional investors, and US economists.

“When will the Federal Reserve start cutting rates?”

But the analysts over at VantagePoint are paying that topic next to no mind. They’re using AI trading technology to find proactive pointers, rather than only watching lagging indicators.

The combination of using more speculative information and trend-tracking in addition to backward-looking data isn’t necessarily new – but this AI-driven method sure is.

So instead of just waiting nervously for the next Federal Reserve meeting, you might want to discover a new way to assess the markets in the meantime.

Discover The Free Webinar

This content is for US investors only

When you support our sponsors, you support us. Thanks for that.

If you want your brand featured here, get in touch.

Back To The Future

Back To The Future

What’s going on here?

Shares of GameStop and AMC were on track to almost double early on Tuesday, after the internet fell back into its meme-stock craze on Monday.

What does this mean?

An American investor with the screen name “Roaring Kitty” took to social media with a cryptic post. The same day, shares of electronics retailer GameStop and US movie theater chain AMC jumped 79% and 75% respectively. No, this isn’t an accidental copy and paste from the Wall Street Bets saga of 2021: the same instigator of the famed Reddit rally – which inspired a full-blown film – was at it again earlier this week. AMC cashed in quickly, selling $250 million worth of stock, while retail investor favorites Reddit and Robinhood saw their stocks tick up too.

Why should I care?

Zooming in: Don’t let the tail wag the dog.

Retail investors are often characterized as meme-stock fanatics, with a penchant for following hype over fundamentals. But the data doesn’t back that up: regular Finimize surveys of thousands of retail investors show that only 15% of respondents have ever invested in meme stocks. And these days, they’re approaching online furor with caution. Nearly half of recent survey respondents said they’re using social media “significantly less” than they used to for investment advice, viewing it as one of the least trustworthy sources for financial information.

For markets: We go again.

The meme stock rally of 2021 was born from a coordinated buying spree, which pushed up the share prices of targeted companies and forced those “shorting” the shares – that is, betting their price will fall – to buy more to undo their bets. And because that sent prices even higher, some of those in the know pocketed a tidy profit. So now, investors might be scanning for the next “short-squeeze” candidates, and according to FactSet data compiled by CNBC, SunPower Corporation, Maxeon Solar Technologies, Phathom Pharmaceuticals, and Beyond Meat could fit the bill.

Copy to share story: https://app.finimize.com/content/back-to-the-future

🙋 Ask a question

💬 Quote of the day

“In this business, it’s easy to confuse luck with brains."

– Jim Simons (an American mathematician and philanthropist, who died on Friday)
Tweet this

💸 hey, big spenders

It’s early days for AI.

So naturally, there are lots of unanswered questions – and one of the big ones is about how much companies will spend on the technology.

A team of researchers at Morgan Stanley attempted to answer that, by checking out the capital expenditure plans of some of the world’s biggest spenders.

Read The Quicktake

🤠 Howdy, partner

Your partner can dump you, you can get fired with barely any notice, and your landlord can kick you out.

You'll always have a friend in us, though.

Introduce your brand to our million-strong community of active, savvy investors, and secure yourself a real stable gang.

Talk To The Team

🎯 On Our Radar

1. Tesla cut its interns loose. Experts say the company will regret it.

2. DeFi yield farming can be extremely lucrative. Just check out these common strategies and pitfalls before you pick up your plow.*

3. It’s not personal. No one can get a dinner reservation these days, so much so that the problem has spawned a new industry.

4. Size up the opportunities. You can trace the world’s biggest stock indexes without paying mammoth prices.*

5. Private equity doesn’t stop at boardrooms. Just look at this ski town.

When you support our sponsors, you support us. Thanks for that.

🤔 Q&A · RE: Sell-By Date

“How much upside do analysts see in Magnificent Seven stocks after their recent earnings updates?”

– From Sagar in Switzerland

“You can look at publicly available sources like Yahoo! Finance to see what the average analyst 'price target' is for each Magnificent Seven stock. That shows their view on what the shares should be worth roughly a year from now. Then, compare it to the current share price of the companies to see what the potential upside might be. We’ve run the numbers for you, Sagar, and analysts see an average potential upside of 20% for Amazon, 14% for Microsoft, 13% for Alphabet, 11% for Apple, 8% for Meta, and 7% for Tesla. Last but not least, they see a 13% potential upside for Nvidia’s shares – but the company’s quarterly update is due next Wednesday, so that could change pretty quickly and dramatically.”

Finimize

🙋 Ask a question

🌍 Finimize Live

🤩 Coming up soon...

All events in UK time.

🏔️ Gaining An Edge Beyond ETFs: 8pm, June 19th
🚀 2024 Modern Investor Summit: 2pm, December 3rd

❤️ Share with a friend

Thanks for reading John. If you liked today's brief, we'd love for you to share it with a friend.

You stay classy, John 😉

We’d love to hear your thoughts. Give feedback

Want to advertise with us too? Get in touch

Image Credits:

Image credits: dall-e | dall-e

Preferences:

Update your email or change preferences

View in browser

Unsubscribe from all Finimize Emails

😴

Crafted by Finimize Ltd. | 280 Bishopsgate, London, EC2M 4AG

All content provided by Finimize Ltd. is for informational and educational purposes only and is not meant to represent trade or investment recommendations. You signed up to this mailing list at finimize.com or through one of our partners. © Finimize 2021

View Online