Sterling sentiment appeared to improve markedly on Thursday as investors become increasingly optimistic in their outlook towards Brexit amid reports that the EU is warming to the idea of a softer exit for the UK
 

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Daily Market Analysis

January 19th 2018
 

GBP climbs as Brexit outlook brightens

Sterling sentiment appeared to improve markedly on Thursday as investors become increasingly optimistic in their outlook towards Brexit amid reports that the EU is warming to the idea of a softer exit for the UK.

The pound appears to be consolidating Thursday’s gains this morning. GBP/EUR, GBP/AUD, GBP/NZD are all trending narrowly at €1.1356, AU$1.7343 and NZ$1.9046 respectively, meanwhile GBP/USD continues to climb today, rising 0.34% to US$1.3940 while GBP/CAD is up 0.27% at CA$1.7289.

Read on to find out why GBP/USD is close to striking its best levels since the Brexit referendum…


 
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Today's Rate

Euro (EUR)
1.13527
US dollar (USD)
1.39368
Australian dollar (AUD)
1.73458
S. African rand (ZAR)
16.9284
Japanese yen (JPY)
154.033
View more rates

The rates above are using the British pound (GBP) as the base rate. All rates are for indication purposes only. Prices can vary dramatically based on amount and delivery date.


 
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"The pound performed particularly well against the US dollar yesterday as it climbed back above $1.39, close to its highest levels since the Brexit referendum."

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What’s been happening?

Despite a lack of political and economic developments on Thursday the pound was still able to push higher as investors turned their attention to the currency’s long-term outlook.

Markets appear to have become a little more upbeat about Sterling’s prospects in recent days, especially in regards to Brexit.

With both Spain and the Netherlands hinting last week that they would support the UK remaining closely aligned with the EU in terms of trade, and Jean-Claude Juncker suggesting that Britain could rejoin the EU after Brexit.

Investors are also hopeful that positive progress in talks will help to clear up some of the uncertainty surrounding Brexit. In addition to reassuring markets this may also facilitate another rate hike from the Bank of England (BoE) this year.

At the same time, hints that the UK and EU are close to an agreement over a transition period are lifting the pound on hopes this will help to avoid a ‘cliff-edge’ Brexit next year.

Finally the economic outlook is also looking a little brighter for the UK, with markets hopeful that Britain’s growth will continue to perform robustly in 2018.

The pound performed particularly well against the US dollar yesterday as it climbed back above $1.39, close to striking its highest levels since the Brexit referendum.

The uptick was in part thanks to the broad-based sell-off in USD, with markets remaining overly sensitive to any downside risks to the US currency.

Meanwhile the euro showed a little more reliance against Sterling on Thursday, following some positive comments from the European Central Bank’s (ECB) Benoît Cœuré, although it left GBP/EUR still advanced enough to strike a new one-month high.

 
 
What's coming up?

With the remainder of the UK’s data calendar this week looking empty GBP investors are likely to turn their attention to next week’s employment figures.

Markets are likely to pay close attention to November’s wage growth figures when they are released on Wednesday amid concerns that a persistent gap between wages and inflation is dragging on the British economy.

It’s set to be a quiet day for Eurozone data today, although the euro could still see some movement if ECB speculation continues to run rampant, as it did earlier in the week.

The US will publish its latest consumer sentiment index this afternoon, which could lead to a rebound in the US dollar if confidence strengthens as expected.

We’re here to talk currency whenever you need us, so get in touch if you want to know more about the latest news or how it could impact your currency transfers.

 
 

Reaz Rahman
Senior Dealer

Reaz, our Senior Currency Dealer, joined us in January 2015. Reaz draws on his detailed knowledge of the foreign exchange markets to help customers to choose the right service and time to transfer.