A bullish 'personality change' is coming... Marc Chaikin's prediction for 2023... All that cash has to go somewhere... These stocks take off first after a sell-off... 'Like converting your cash into rocket fuel'... New Year's Day won't just mark a new year... The calendar turning to 2023 will also bring a bullish "personality change" to the stock market. That's according to Marc Chaikin, our friend and founder of our corporate affiliate Chaikin Analytics. This morning, Marc went live in a new online event and made this call to tens of thousands of viewers. And, importantly, he suggested a plan to put into action today that could make folks lucrative gains over the next 12 months... After a brutal year for the markets in 2022, maybe this sounds refreshing to you... or maybe you don't believe Marc's prediction and feel that the worst is yet to come. So be it – different opinions are welcome, of course – but ignore Marc's latest message at your own peril... The risk here, he says, is missing out on potentially massive gains in certain overlooked individual stocks. These stocks could make you twice or even five times your money next year – even if the direction of the broader market is inconclusive, or folks can't tell whether the bottom is in or not. As Marc put it... If you sit around trying to predict the exact top or bottom, you'll end up sitting in cash and miss it completely, or worse, hang on to the losers and get into the wrong stock entirely, like popular stocks that are supposedly on sale. That's the biggest mistake people will make in 2023, hoping they've nailed the bottom on the best-known companies when in reality many of them won't go anywhere even after the bottom... Marc suggested that many of the leading names of the past decade's bull market could take years to reclaim their former highs, if they do at all. Over the next year, he said, look elsewhere to make money instead... If you're unfamiliar with Marc's work, just know he's a living Wall Street legend... During a 30-year professional investing career, he worked with some of the biggest names on Wall Street, created a stock analysis tool used on every Bloomberg Terminal in the world to this day... and was able to retire early back in 1999. Fortunately for us and his subscribers, after the 2008 and 2009 financial crisis, Marc decided to "un-retire" and created a research platform for everyday investors to use... We partnered with the firm he created, Chaikin Analytics, in 2021. As I (Corey McLaughlin) have written before, I could listen to Marc talk about the markets all day long. He oozes investing wisdom with nearly every word he speaks. Today was no exception. I was blown away by his message about the opportunity he sees ahead. If you missed the event, click here to watch a replay for free right now... And, for today's Digest, I will explain a few more details, starting with this observation Marc made to begin his presentation... Right now, a lot of cash is on the sidelines... Marc began his presentation by showing that the amount of cash that institutional investors have sitting on the sidelines – not invested in anything – has rarely been higher. Our Stansberry NewsWire editor C. Scott Garliss has shared this recently too... Cash levels held by institutional investors have risen from 5.6% last month to 6.1% this month. That's the highest level since October of 2001... If you've heeded our guidance since early this year that "cash is your friend," you might have behaved similarly. But we want to look ahead... And the amount of cash on the sidelines today – be it from institutional investors or individuals – could be a contrarian bullish indicator for the future. Eventually, that money will start going somewhere, Marc says. And he told today's viewing audience that next year, he predicts more of it will start flowing to a particular set of investments that tend to take off after a broad market sell-off. We've obviously seen a bear market this year already. But you might remember the market "top" was irregular – with certain tech stocks peaking way back in February 2021 and others rising until the start of this year. The 'bottom' could look the same way... And we might already be seeing it... If you've been following along the past few months to my "bottom is (probably) in" indicators, you'll know that my last update leaned more bullish than anything I'd shared previously. Of late, market breadth – the number of stocks going up versus down – has strengthened... A good measure of a long-term market-breadth trend is the percentage of S&P 500 stocks trading above their 200-day moving averages. Over the past two weeks, that percentage has gone above 50%, its highest level since March. At the same time, the U.S. dollar's relative strength has weakened significantly – counter to a key theme we've seen in 2022, even in bear market rallies. A strong dollar has been a headwind for stocks all year. If that ends, it helps stock prices. Conversely, the 10-year/2-year Treasury yield spread hasn't been so inverted since the early 1980s. There's no more reliable indicator of a recession than a "yield curve" inversion. So trouble for the economy could still be ahead, including for companies that haven't seen their worst earnings hits yet. At the same time, though, certain stocks are already down 80% or 90%... and can't go much lower. This is all to say stocks won't all "bottom out" on the same exact day... or rise in tandem over the same time period. This makes sense when you say it out loud, but the truth is many folks don't realize these concepts. And this is why there are opportunities to make money... Over his five decades in the market, Marc has learned a thing or two... like patterns that repeat themselves throughout market history, including which stocks tend to take off first after market busts... and how to position yourself to identify them before they soar. As he said... Has the market already bottomed? Perhaps. But does it matter? Not really... The important thing is to isolate which stocks will see the biggest moves and to get in before the marketwide shift is complete. How to do that? Well, we've told you before about the Power Gauge tool that Marc created... and why it's so powerful. In fact, one happy subscriber wrote in just yesterday talking about it... This tool combines all the important factors Marc considers for a stock and lands on a "bullish," "bearish," or "neutral" rating for roughly 5,000 stocks and exchange-traded funds. Part of the secret sauce is Marc's Money Flow indicator that tracks which stocks are seeing inflows or outflows of cash, and how much. You can use this information a lot of different ways. Marc and his team have used it to identify the stocks that are positioned to take off by 100% or more in the period after the type of market bust that we've seen in 2022. Marc shared a laundry list of examples in his new video... After the dot-com crash, when the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index lost 76% and cash piled up on the sidelines amid the sell-off – in the ensuing 12 months – utility company PG&E (PCG) rose 215% and Hanover Insurance (THG) went up 200%. He found similar behavior in the market after 2008. At that time, following this strategy could have resulted in a 782% gain in online furniture retailer Wayfair (W) and 527% in Enphase Energy (ENPH) in the 12 months after the COVID-19 panic bottom. These stocks might not have any obvious relation to one another, other than the fact that Marc's system has identified money flowing into them "ahead of 99% of other investors" noticing. That's enough to make a trade. Now, this isn't a buy-and-hold strategy... Nor is it "buy the dip" in the conventional sense of the past 15 years. It's more of a tactical, short-term trading strategy that can be applied to precisely this moment in the markets, which only comes up about once every 10 years. As Marc said... I think of these stocks more as vehicles of storing and growing your wealth than as actual investments. It hardly even matters what business they are in. It's the perfect thing to consider if you have cash to put to work today and want to dip a toe back into the market. The reward could be potentially huge gains as the market's "personality change" unfolds next year... and more and more cash comes back off the sidelines. As he said... These bullish personality changes never happen overnight. Instead, they get started when you least expect it and slowly build in volume. If any of this sounds interesting to you, hear Marc out. As he said in his brand-new presentation, after the market sell-off we've seen, this is a once-in-a-decade opportunity. If you follow this trading plan, he said... It's like converting your cash into rocket fuel. Marc also created a special report designed specifically for Stansberry Research subscribers. During the event, you'll hear more about that... along with insights from our Ten Stock Trader editor Greg Diamond and our publisher Brett Aitken. For much more detail, watch Marc's latest free event now. You'll hear more about his prediction for 2023 and how to find the stocks that will take off if he's right. And just for tuning in, he shares his top bullish recommendation right now and his No. 1 stock to avoid. Click here to watch now. If you've been following along with us this year, I think you'll find this is a worthwhile message to hear... even if you don't buy into Marc's prediction or strategy. The Excess-Liquidity Era Has Come to an End The economy will get worse from here, not better, says Will Rhind, founder and CEO of global exchange-traded fund company GraniteShares. He tells our Daniela Cambone that the era of excess liquidity "has come to an end"...
Click here to watch this episode of the Daniela Cambone Show right now. And to catch more videos and podcasts from the Stansberry Research team, be sure to visit our Stansberry Investor platform anytime. | Recommended Links: | 'A Gold Wave Is Coming' Some of the richest men in the world are jumping in right now... because evidence suggests we could see MUCH HIGHER gold prices before the end of this year. But if you're not taking advantage of a little-known way to invest for less than $10, you're missing out. Click here for full details. | |
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| New 52-week highs (as of 11/14/22): Aehr Test Systems (AEHR), Biogen (BIIB), Covenant Logistics (CVLG), Chevron (CVX), and Gilead Sciences (GILD). In today's mailbag, a pair of thank-you notes. As always, we appreciate the feedback – praise, rage, or anything else. Send your comments to feedback@stansberryresearch.com. "A BIG 'THANK YOU' goes to [Crypto Capital and Crypto Cashflow editor] Eric Wade for the warning to get any funds in BlockFi [or other centralized lending or yield platforms] out. I had already significantly reduced my account from what it was last year, but still had $2,200 in my interest account. When I saw his warning, I went to BlockFi and transferred it out. But BlockFi withdrawals are never immediate. There is always a couple of days delay. The next day after I put in the withdrawal, BlockFi stopped all withdrawals. So I thought I was too late. But this morning I received the notice from Coinbase (where I sent the crypto from BlockFi) that the transaction has been completed. "So with Eric's warning, I was just in the nick of time. THANK YOU!" – Stansberry Alliance member Robert S. "I want to let you know how much I enjoyed the Bulls, Bears or B.S. video. You should consider making it a quarterly event. I really appreciate all you do to educate and entertain your subscribers." – Stansberry Alliance member Tom M. All the best, Corey McLaughlin Baltimore, Maryland November 15, 2022 Stansberry Research Top 10 Open Recommendations Top 10 highest-returning open positions across all Stansberry Research portfolios Stock | Buy Date | Return | Publication | Analyst |
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ADP Automatic Data | 10/09/08 | 880.6% | Extreme Value | Ferris | MSFT Microsoft | 11/11/10 | 863.4% | Retirement Millionaire | Doc | MSFT Microsoft | 02/10/12 | 740.8% | Stansberry's Investment Advisory | Porter | HSY Hershey | 12/07/07 | 518.8% | Stansberry's Investment Advisory | Porter | ETH/USD Ethereum | 02/21/20 | 458.7% | Stansberry Innovations Report | Wade | BRK.B Berkshire Hathaway | 04/01/09 | 447.7% | Retirement Millionaire | Doc | AFG American Financial | 10/12/12 | 445.0% | Stansberry's Investment Advisory | Porter | WRB W.R. Berkley | 03/16/12 | 384.6% | Stansberry's Investment Advisory | Porter | ALS-T Altius Minerals | 02/16/09 | 322.9% | Extreme Value | Ferris | FSMEX Fidelity Sel Med | 09/03/08 | 299.3% | Retirement Millionaire | Doc |
Please note: Securities appearing in the Top 10 are not necessarily recommended buys at current prices. The list reflects the best-performing positions currently in the model portfolio of any Stansberry Research publication. The buy date reflects when the editor recommended the investment in the listed publication, and the return shows its performance since that date. To learn if a security is still a recommended buy today, you must be a subscriber to that publication and refer to the most recent portfolio. Top 10 Totals |
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4 | Stansberry's Investment Advisory | Porter | 3 | Retirement Millionaire | Doc | 2 | Extreme Value | Ferris | 1 | Stansberry Innovations Report | Wade | Top 5 Crypto Capital Open Recommendations Top 5 highest-returning open positions in the Crypto Capital model portfolio Stock | Buy Date | Return | Publication | Analyst |
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ETH/USD Ethereum | 12/07/18 | 1,106.9% | Crypto Capital | Wade | ONE-USD Harmony | 12/16/19 | 1,095.1% | Crypto Capital | Wade | POLY/USD Polymath | 05/19/20 | 1,057.0% | Crypto Capital | Wade | MATIC/USD Polygon | 02/25/21 | 862.1% | Crypto Capital | Wade | TONE/USD TE-FOOD | 12/17/19 | 416.7% | Crypto Capital | Wade |
Please note: Securities appearing in the Top 5 are not necessarily recommended buys at current prices. The list reflects the best-performing positions currently in the Crypto Capital model portfolio. The buy date reflects when the recommendation was made, and the return shows its performance since that date. To learn if it's still a recommended buy today, you must be a subscriber and refer to the most recent portfolio. Stansberry Research Hall of Fame Top 10 all-time, highest-returning closed positions across all Stansberry portfolios Investment | Symbol | Duration | Gain | Publication | Analyst |
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Nvidia^* | NVDA | 5.96 years | 1,466% | Venture Tech. | Lashmet | Band Protocol crypto | 0.32 years | 1,169% | Crypto Capital | Wade | Terra crypto | 0.41 years | 1,164% | Crypto Capital | Wade | Inovio Pharma.^ | INO | 1.01 years | 1,139% | Venture Tech. | Lashmet | Seabridge Gold^ | SA | 4.20 years | 995% | Sjug Conf. | Sjuggerud | Frontier crypto | 0.08 years | 978% | Crypto Capital | Wade | Binance Coin crypto | 1.78 years | 963% | Crypto Capital | Wade | Nvidia^* | NVDA | 4.12 years | 777% | Venture Tech. | Lashmet | Intellia Therapeutics | NTLA | 1.95 years | 775% | Amer. Moonshots | Root | Rite Aid 8.5% bond | 4.97 years | 773% | True Income | Williams |
^ These gains occurred with a partial position in the respective stocks. * The two partial positions in Nvidia were part of a single recommendation. Editor Dave Lashmet closed the first leg of the position in November 2016 for a gain of about 108%. Then, he closed the second leg in July 2020 for a 777% return. And finally, in May 2022, he booked a 1,466% return on the final leg. Subscribers who followed his advice on Nvidia could've recorded a total weighted average gain of more than 600%. |