Some restaurants still got it | Investors are caught short |

Hey John, you’re on the free edition of Finimize.
Upgrade to Premium: no ads, a third story every day, free events, and loads more on our mobile app. Start for free here

SPONSORED BY

Hi John, here's what you need to know for January 29th in 3:15 minutes.

🏠 The US real estate market is kicking off right now, so join Caliber’s CEO on February 3rd for an insight into where to find the very best opportunities – and how platforms like theirs can help you bolster your portfolio. Sign up here

Today's big stories

  1. McDonald's reported earnings below analysts' expectations, but it wasn’t all bad news
  2. One of our analysts has explained how you can spot the next GameStop – Read Now
  3. We’ve unpacked the mechanism driving up shares of GameStop, AMC Entertainment, and more...

Thrive-Thru

Thrive-Thru

What’s Going On Here?

McDonald's reported quarterly earnings on Thursday that were below expectations, but there’s a light at the end of the golden arches.  

What Does This Mean?

Europe was crippled yet again by another wave of lockdowns last quarter, and McDonald’s felt the impact: it sold fewer Big Macs and McFlurries, and spent more on safety equipment and marketing itself as a home delivery go-to. That one-two punch hurt its revenue and profit, which came in below analysts' forecasts.

But there was better news on home turf: the company’s sales in the US jumped to 5.5% from the previous quarter’s 4.6%. That might have something to do with the fact it has more drive-throughs than it does in Europe, making it a whole lot easier to maintain social distancing rules. Its promotional pushes seemed to be working too, with long-standing favourites and newfangled crowd-pleasers alike selling like hotcakes.

Why Should I Care?

The bigger picture: Drive-throughs never looked so good.
Big chains like McDonald’s and Starbucks – which reported strong earnings of its own earlier in the week – are doing better than the rest of the restaurant industry. That might be because of their sheer size: they can adapt to social distancing guidelines more easily than their independent rivals, and offer cheap, no-frills food in these tough economic times. And the future looks bright: analysts reckon McDonalds will dominate the restaurant industry even once the pandemic's lifted.

Zooming out: Americans are turning to burgers and booze. 
Americans weren’t just tucking into fast food last quarter: the world’s biggest spirit maker Diageo reported a surprise surge in sales for the six months till January compared to the previous year. Turns out Americans have been drinking more tequila at home than Europeans aren’t drinking in bars. And that’s in keeping with wider drinking trends during the pandemic: everyone is choosing spirits over beer and wine during the pandemic, and trying to turn nights in into… well, nights out.

Copy to share story: https://www.finimize.com/wp/news/thrive-thru/

🙋 Ask a question

2. Analyst Take

How To See The Next GameStop Coming

What’s Going On Here?

The best-performing stocks of 2021 so far have one thing in common: an army of Redditors love them, and professional investors hate them.

The most extreme example is video game retailer GameStop, which has now seen its share price rise almost 1900% this year.

But it’s by no means the only example: the 10 most-shorted stocks in the Russell 3000 index have on average gained 73% in January alone.

Of course, not every heavily shorted stock will be a GameStop-like “short squeeze”. So we identified the three ingredients separating the average from the epic.

That’s today’s Insight: how you can spot the next GameStop, and which companies are in a similar position right now.

Read or listen to the Insight here

SPONSORED BY ATMOS HOME

The smartest decision you ever made?

So you might have heard that smart homes are the next big thing.

That’s why you might want to invest in Atmos Home – “Apple of the Smart Home” – via StartEngine.

See, every smart device you bring into your home – appliances, lights, music players, cameras – uses its own app, but Atmos Home is building one voice-activated system for everything.

It’s called AtmosControl, and it has the potential to become the leading device in a market set to be worth $135 billion by 2023.

After all, there are 4.4 million smart households in the States, and that’s expected to be 7.9 million by the end of this year alone.

And you can get invested in Atmos from $250: find out more here.

Find Out More

Freshly Squeezed

Freshly Squeezed

What’s Going On Here?

GameStop and AMC Entertainment really got investors’ juices flowing this week, and it’s largely down to one thing: a “short squeeze”.

What Does This Mean?

First, the “short”: an investor can borrow shares from an owner for a fee and sell them on the stock market, hoping to profit by later buying them back at a lower price. That means they’re effectively betting against the stock.

Now for the “squeeze”. Other investors' purchases of highly-shorted stocks drives their prices up, so short-sellers – who see their potential losses racking up – might then try to reverse their bet by buying the shares they’d initially sold. But if the sheer volume of buyers limits the supply of shares, short-sellers’ sudden demand for them will just push prices even higher – until they’re high enough to convince someone to sell. And since there’s no telling what price that’ll be, short-sellers’ losses are potentially infinite.

Why Should I Care?

For you personally: Easy come, easy go.
It can be wildly profitable to buy into the first throes of a short squeeze: early investors in GameStop, AMC, and BlackBerry have shown as much. But the positive momentum can turn on a dime, and you might be caught out if you’re a late-to-the-game buyer (tweet this). If, for instance, short-sellers do get their hands on enough shares to undo their bets, their desperate demand for shares will vanish as quickly as it appeared. And if no one else is willing to pay what they did, you might have to accept large losses when you sell up…

The bigger picture: The money has to come from somewhere.
If investors unexpectedly caught in a short squeeze need to repurchase their shorts, they might have to fire-sell some of their stocks to free up cash. And fresh data from Bloomberg this week suggests that’s exactly what happened: some of hedge funds’ most popular stocks saw their prices tumble, likely contributing to all this week’s volatility.

Copy to share story: https://www.finimize.com/wp/news/freshly-squeezed/

🙋 Ask a question

💬 Quote of the day

“History is one long processional of crazy ideas.”

– Phil Knight (an American businessman)
Tweet this

SPONSORED BY ATMOS HOME

Atmos Home by numbers

You might not have thought of investing in a smart home control company like Atmos Home, but the numbers tell you all you need to know…

1000s: The number of devices compatible with their flagship product, AtmosControl.

5 billion:
The number of smart home devices in use across the States.

4.4 million: The number of smart households that want a single control like AtmosControl.

7.9 million: The number of smart households projected to want a single control by the end of 2021.

$135 billion: The size of the smart home market by 2023.

$2 million: The amount that’s been invested in Atmos Home already.

$250: The amount you can invest to buy into Atmos Home’s potential.

Find Out More

📚 What we're reading

  • Ah, Craigslist (The Drive)
  • Even joint replacement tech can be disrupted (Monogram)*
  • Can capitalism and climate go hand in hand? (Sierra)
  • Don’t be a slow cheese (Bored Panda)

*This sponsored content helps keep this newsletter free.

🤔 Q&A · RE: Cloud Pleaser

“You’ve said a lot of companies’ valuations are really high at the moment. But given how much debt they accumulated last year, how can those valuations stay high even when growth gets back to normal?”

– John in Maine, USA

A: “You’re right, John: valuations are high at the moment, which is why there’s so much talk around stock market bubbles. Thing is, stocks actually look quite reasonably priced relative to ultra-low interest rates. See, investors barely earn any money on bonds or cash when interest rates are low, which means they’re more likely to shoot for a higher return by buying stocks. And as long as major central banks keep interest rates low – which is what they’re expected to do in the short term, even when economic growth bounces back – investors will likely keep snubbing cash and bonds for stocks. Of course, if central banks suddenly raise interest rates or even hint that they might, investors might switch back to bonds in the hopes that they’ll get decent returns for lower risk. And if that happens, the stock market could spiral downward.”

Finimize

🙋 Ask a question

🌍 Finimize Community

👑 Yes, my liege

Our founder and CEO, Max Rofagha, will be hosting our January Town Hall today. This is your chance to hear about all the cool things we have in store for you, and for you to share your ideas with us. He doesn’t expect you to call him “founder and CEO Max Rofagha”, though. Just “visionary” is fine.

💪 Live Q&A with Finimize CEO & Founder: 1.30pm UK Time, January 29th
🚀 Future of Fintech in Latin America: 6pm UK Time, February 2nd
🏡 Crowdfunding US Real Estate: 12pm NYC Time, February 3rd
👾 Bitcoin vs Ethereum: 7pm France Time, February 5th
✌️ Dimensional Investing Explained: 9pm Singapore Time, February 9th
🙋 Developing a Framework to Invest in Women: 6pm UK Time, Februaury 25th

❤️ Share with a friendYour Referrals: 0

Thanks for reading John. If you liked today's brief, we'd love for you to share it with a friend. If they sign up on your unique link, you’ll earn some sweet swag.

Share your unique link:

https://finimize.com/invite/?kid=12T6MV

You stay classy, John 😉

We’d love to hear your thoughts. Give feedback

Want to advertise with us too? Get in touch

Image Credits:

Image credits: Olha Kostiuk, Tomasz Bidermann - Shutterstock | Tom Wang - Shutterstock

Preferences:

Update your email or change preferences

View in browser

Unsubscribe from all Finimize Emails

😴

Crafted by Finimize Ltd. | Third Floor, 1 New Fetter Lane, London, EC4A 1AN, UK.

All content provided by Finimize Ltd. is for informational and educational purposes only and is not meant to represent trade or investment recommendations. You signed up to this mailing list at finimize.com or through one of our partners. © Finimize 2020

View Online