India's in and China's out, Perplexity is keeping the AI hype going, and the queen of game shows |
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Hi John, here's what you need to know for August 10th in 3:14 minutes.

📈 Hannah Grove, abdrn board member and former CMO of State Street, believes Net Promoter Score (or NPS) should be a marketeer's top priority. Tune into the latest episode of our Generation Podcast episode, and find out how to bring in 10s. Listen here

Today's big stories

  1. Perplexity’s AI search engine is only getting more popular, putting long-time leader Google under pressure
  2. Six day-to-day changes you can make to better handle a market sell-off – Read Now
  3. Global firms like PepsiCo and Unilever have been tailoring products for India’s shoppers, concerned over China’s recent thriftiness

Clear The Way

Clear The Way

What’s going on here?

Perplexity made sure there was no confusion about its position as a Google challenger, completing a funding round that tripled its valuation.

What does this mean?

Perplexity’s search engine – which pulls information from the web in real time to answer queries – is one of the world’s fastest-growing generative AI applications. It answered roughly 250 million questions last month, compared to 500 million queries for the whole of last year. And the startup’s monthly revenue, made from subscriptions to its more powerful Pro model, has swollen sevenfold since the start of the year. The inner circles are clearly impressed: Perplexity just raised $250 million from investors – including SoftBank’s Vision Fund 2 – in a deal that valued the startup at $3 billion, triple the figure it secured only four months ago.

Why should I care?

The bigger picture: Hold onto your search bars.

Google’s hold over the $300 billion search advertising industry is under threat. And not just from Perplexity: OpenAI recently launched its own AI-powered search tool, SearchGPT. But Google can’t count on its usual tricks anymore. A US federal judge ruled on Monday that the firm acted illegally to maintain its monopoly on online search and related advertising. Now, the court hasn’t given Google its orders yet, but it’s safe to say that none of the solutions will help the leader hang onto pole position.

For markets: What goes down might come up.

Investors have become wary of the amount of money being funneled into AI, concerned that the tech’s real-world uses won’t be as lucrative as expected. Yet, as Perplexity’s success shows, there’s still plenty of demand for super-smart services. So when global markets tumbled on Monday, big-money investors seized the rare opportunity to buy tech stocks while they were less eye-wateringly expensive than usual. They won’t have any regrets yet: the S&P 500 has been steadily recovering since then.

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Analyst Take

How Not To Get Caught Out In A Market Rout: Don’t Confuse Volatility With Risk

How Not To Get Caught Out In A Market Rout: Don’t Confuse Volatility With Risk

By Theodora Lee Joseph, CFA, Analyst

Let’s face it, Monday was mayhem for markets. But as investing lessons go, it was sublime.

See, figuring out how to handle price swings is just as important as picking the right assets.

Honestly, most investors struggle even to comprehend their own appetite for risk. They binge on it during good times and become suddenly averse after a loss.

And when you get caught up in day-to-day market movements, it’s easy to confuse risk with volatility – and that can throw you off track in reaching your financial goals.

That’s today’s Insight: risk, volatility, and six things that can help you handle the market’s swings.

Read or listen to the Insight here

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Money Where The Mouths Are

Money Where The Mouths Are

What’s going on here?

Major multinational brands like PepsiCo and Unilever have shifted their focus to India, eager to fill an appetite somewhere now that China’s on a slimming diet.

What does this mean?

India boasts the biggest population in the world, and the country’s shoppers aren’t afraid to propel the economy by spending big. So global brands are determined to create some loyal customers in the country’s largely untapped rural areas: PepsiCo’s rolling out KurKure Chaat Fills, inspired by Indian street food, Coca-Cola is upgrading packaging to extend product shelf life, and Nestlé plans to bring its premium coffee brand Nespresso to the Indian market this year.

Why should I care?

For markets: Watch out, America.

Investors are laser-focused on the Indian market, too. The Nifty 50, which tracks India’s 50 biggest companies by market value, has climbed 12% this year, right in step with the S&P 500. Two main factors are keeping India’s stocks at the head of the pack. First, the country’s economy doesn’t rely on the US as much as peers like Taiwan and China. Second, foreign investors are piling in, attracted by the country’s stable currency, strong corporate earnings, and hardy returns – compared to China at least.

The bigger picture: Talk about an Indian summer.

India sizzled under near-record temperatures this summer, with a brutal heatwave keeping shoppers indoors. The disruptive scorcher was mentioned a record-breaking 80 times in the earnings reports of companies in India’s Nifty 500 index, according to Bloomberg. That’s a serious increase from seven mentions this time last year. And that might partly explain why out of the 46 Nifty 50 index members that have reported results so far, about half have missed the average analyst estimate – notably worse than the previous quarter’s 39%. So companies might want to work on their ice cream brands: the G20’s Climate Risk Atlas says India’s heatwaves are set to get 25 times longer over the next three decades.

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💬 Quote of the day

"Whatever you vividly imagine, ardently desire, sincerely believe, and enthusiastically act upon... must inevitably come to pass."

– Paul J. Meyer (an American motivational speaker)
Tweet this

Your world stage is ready – and the gold medal can be arranged

So you didn't make it in bouldering, beach volleyball, or breakdancing.

The Olympics might be out of your grasp, then, but another world stage is calling you.

We're looking for speakers for our Modern Investor Summit this December this year – you know, the stage that hosted Jamie Dimon a few months ago.

Take a look at last year’s recording of CFA Institute’s session to get a feel for it. If you’re ready for your turn, talk to the team before the slots fill up.

Drop Us A Line

📕 a page from the retail crowd’s playbook

When global markets plunged on Monday, something surprising happened.

Hedge funds and other big-money investors jumped at the opportunity to buy the dip – stealing a much-loved tactic from the retail crowd, who in this case pounced at the chance to sell.

And if history is anything to go by, those fund-managing institutions probably played it right.

Read The Quicktake

🎯 On Our Radar

1. Breakdancers took to the Olympic stage. Clue yourself up on the Games' new sport, then you can be the judge.

2. Gyms, restaurants, car dealerships. Celebrities and the ultra-wealthy have been investing in franchises for years, and now you can too.*

3. Pancakes are done for. One company is making dosas a global household staple.

4. Bitcoin's highs have come with some serious lows. Find out how to invest in crypto without the emotional rollercoaster.*

5. At some point, your specialist subject is the game itself. Meet the quizzer who’s graced 25 game shows.

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🚀 2024 Modern Investor Summit: 2pm, December 3rd

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