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Today's big stories

  1. Luxury group Kering – owner of Gucci – reported better-than-expected sales growth, boosting its stock price
  2. As a wave of new psychedelic stocks come to market, our analysts explain how to avoid becoming an acid casualty – Read Now
  3. Ecommerce platform Shopify made a profit for the first time, and its shares soared
1/3

Right-Hand Mannequin

Right-Hand Mannequin

What’s Going On Here?

Luxury group Kering reported better-than-expected sales growth in the final quarter of 2019 – and it was all thanks to one of its flagship brands, Gucci.

What Does This Mean?

Given that Gucci makes up over 80% of Kering’s profits, investors tend to use the Italian brand’s performance as a barometer of how Kering itself is doing. And while ongoing protests saw Gucci’s sales in Hong Kong halve during the last three months of 2019, strong growth elsewhere pushed its overall fourth-quarter sales up 11% from a year ago.

Investors’ focus is now shifting from Hong Kong to the mainland, where the coronavirus has forced Kering to close half of its stores. The company said it’s too soon to know the full extent of the damage, but it’s wasting no time redirecting goods away from China and slashing its marketing budget in the country.

Why Should I Care?

For markets: (Alcohol) free beers all round!
Kering’s shares rose over 5% on Wednesday, just as European stocks hit another record high. And that’s a party Heineken wasn’t about to miss: the world’s second-largest brewer rose 5% as sales of the company’s eponymous beer grew by the most in a decade. That boom might not be unfamiliar, but the reason for it was: Heineken’s alcohol-free beer saw double-digit sales growth.

Zooming out: Not worth a Daimler.
Europe’s stocks might be having a field day, but the same can’t be said for the continent’s manufacturers. Data out on Wednesday showed European industrial production in December fell by the most in almost four years. And that’s before the coronavirus struck: European carmakers have already warned there’ll be further disruptions due to factory shutdowns in China. Not the best news for German carmaker Daimler, which was hoping for a better 2020 after reporting its worst annual performance in a decade on Tuesday.

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2/3 Premium Story

Acid Test

Market euphoria may well be coming for firms creating  treatments from drugs like MDMA, LSD, and psilocybin (the active ingredient of magic mushrooms). Our analysts explain how to invest without losing your tie-dye t-shirt 👕

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3/3

Shopify Till You Dropify

Shopify Till You Dropify

What’s Going On Here?

After Shopify announced it made a profit for the first time last quarter, the Canadian ecommerce platform’s investors went on a stock market spending spree.

What Does This Mean?

Shopify makes the software that big-name brands like Kylie Cosmetics, Allbirds, and Staples use to power their online stores. And as the ecommerce industry grows, it stands to reason Shopify will too. That might be why investors have been so patient with the company – patience that was duly rewarded when, on Wednesday, Shopify announced it made $771,000 in profit last quarter. What’s more, a surge in Black Friday and Cyber Monday spending pushed revenue up 47% higher than the year before, beating investors’ expectations. Little wonder, then, that its shares went up by as much as 15% on Wednesday.

Why Should I Care?

For markets: Let’s get physical.
Overall, US retail sales are up 4% from a year ago. But that rise has been driven by online sales – up a massive 15% compared to the year before – from the likes of Shopify and Amazon. Physical retailers haven’t been quite as fortunate. In fact, the uptick on the world wide web comes at the expense of stores like Kohl’s, L Brands, and Bed Bath & Beyond – all of which just reported weak results for the last quarter. Eyes will be on Macy’s, Walmart, and Target – due to report in the coming weeks – to see if they can get one over on Amazon and Shopify.

Zooming out: Pull yourselves together.
Shopify isn’t the only company to have beaten expectations this earnings season: 71% of all companies that have reported earnings have topped forecasts. But while that may sound good, it’s actually below the five-year average. Companies tend to underpromise and overdeliver, and they’ve done the same this year – just less successfully than normal. Still, it’s not all bad news: US stocks are on track to report 0.7% higher earnings than the year before – the first signs of growth since this time last year.

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💬 Quote of the day

“The truth is, when all is said and done, one does not teach a subject: one teaches a student how to learn it.”

– Jacques Barzun (a French-born American scholar, historian, critic, teacher, and editor)
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⚡️ Lightning insights

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📚 What we're reading

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