Hello reader,

On Monday 29 January, I’ll be hosting a special livestreamed event with the Guardian’s political correspondent Kiran Stacey; the former special adviser to Sajid Javid, Salma Shah; and the director of More in Common, Luke Tryl. Together, we’ll discuss a Conservative party scrambling for survival. Tickets are available here.

Though the polls are now predicting a Tory wipeout at the upcoming general election, senior Labour figures are warning that nothing is in the bag yet. Could Rishi Sunak still stage a comeback, perhaps off the back of a tax-cutting March budget? If not, might a divided Conservative party even try to change leader at the last minute? And if they really are headed for defeat this time, how long might it take the Tories to come back from the wilderness? Join us to discuss this year's big political question – are the Conservatives finished?

I hope to see you there.

Gaby Hinsliff
Columnist, the Guardian