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Wednesday, September 27, 2023 |
Justin Fields was one of the free squares on the preseason breakouts bingo board. Everyone had him as a breakout pick after he emerged as a must-start Fantasy QB last season on the strength of his historic rushing production and then added DJ Moore as his No. 1 option in the passing game. |
To say things haven't gone according to plan would be a pretty significant understatement, and at this point, I'd bet against him being the Bears starting quarterback at this point next season. We've come a long way from the optimism of the preseason, but there is a significant reason to be optimistic about him turning things around in Week 4, at least: The Broncos might be as big a disaster as the Bears right now. |
I'll give a little tip of the cap to our editor, R.J. White, for this note that sums up why you might want to be optimistic about the Bears offense this week: Over the past seven quarters, the Broncos defense has allowed 14 touchdowns on 21 drives, while forcing a punt just twice. This defense was actually pretty good last season even while the team scuffled, but they'd fallen apart even before the Dolphins pushed them off the cliff in Week 3 -- they gave up 35 points and 388 yards to the Commanders in Week 2! |
Fields still has the potential to be a must-start Fantasy QB, and I think he probably will end up being one the rest of the way. And in Week 4, especially, expectations should be pretty high. |
You can read more about why Jamey expects big things from Fields this week, along with the rest of his Start 'Em & Sit 'Em calls here, and the rest of today's newsletter has start/sit calls for every position to help you make the best decisions possible. Tomorrow, we'll have our preview of every game on the Week 4 schedule, with more start and sit calls, the latest injury news, and more: |
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"Love was impressive in Week 3 against New Orleans when he rallied the Packers from a 17-point deficit to win 18-17 in his first start at Lambeau Field. He scored 26.3 Fantasy points against the Saints, and he's now scored at least that many points in all three starts this season. He's done that without Christian Watson (hamstring) for all three games, as well as being without Aaron Jones (hamstring) for the past two outings, and having offensive line issues. Watson and Jones are hopeful to play Thursday night against the Lions, which makes Love that much more appealing as a starter in all leagues. Detroit also has allowed at least 23.5 Fantasy points to a quarterback in two of three games this season." |
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"Watson did a great job against the Titans in Week 3 with 25.2 Fantasy points, but most quarterbacks will beat up on Tennessee's secondary. This is a step up in competition, and we should see Watson struggle like he did in Week 2 against the Steelers when he was held to 13.6 Fantasy points. The Ravens are allowing an average of just 15.1 Fantasy points per game to opposing quarterbacks on the season, and no quarterback has more than 19.4 points against them in three outings. Watson scored 14.6 Fantasy points against Baltimore in Week 15 last year, and in three career meetings against the Ravens, his best outing was 16.7 points in 2020 with Houston." |
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"I was wrong about Moss in Week 3 at Baltimore, and he was impressive with 30 carries for 122 yards, along with two catches for 23 yards and a touchdown on three targets. He's scored at least 20.7 PPR points in two games in a row, and he should be started in all leagues in Week 4 against the Rams . He's now scored at least 12.0 PPR points in eight of his past 10 games where he's had at least 14 total touches, and he's played at least 76 percent of the snaps in each of the past two games. The Rams have allowed a running back to score at least 14.0 PPR points in each of their past two games, and Moss has top-10 upside in Week 4." |
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"I thought Robinson would struggle in Week 3 against Buffalo, and he did with 7.0 PPR points. He failed to score a touchdown or catch a pass for the first time this season, although he averaged 7.0 yards per carry. He faces another tough matchup in Week 4 against the Eagles, and Philadelphia has yet to allow a running back to score this season. Rhamondre Stevenson in Week 1 is the lone running back with more than 9.3 PPR points against the Eagles, and Robinson is only worth starting as a flex option at best in Week 4." |
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"Just start both Rams WRs against the Colts in Week 4. This could be the last game where Nacua and Tutu Atwell are featured since Cooper Kupp (hamstring) is eligible to return in Week 5, and both have a great matchup at Indianapolis. There have already been six receivers to score at least 13.0 PPR points against the Colts this season, including two games where a pair of receivers -- Jacksonville with Calvin Ridley and Zay Jones in Week 1 and Houston with Nico Collins and Nathaniel Dell in Week 2 -- scored at least 16.5 PPR points. Nacua has scored at least 12.2 PPR points in each game, and Atwell has scored at least 15.2 PPR points in each outing." |
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"We'll see what the Jets do with Trevor Siemian this week now that he's on the roster, and hopefully a quarterback change can save Wilson. Zach Wilson isn't getting the job done for Garrett Wilson, who had another rough game in Week 3 against the Patriots with five catches for 48 yards on nine targets. This is the downside for Wilson when he doesn't find the end zone, and I can't trust him in two-receiver leagues in Week 4 against the Chiefs . While Kansas City has allowed four receivers to score at least 12.0 PPR points this season, the Chiefs are still No. 7 in fewest Fantasy points allowed to wideouts this year." |
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"LaPorta has been impressive to start his career with at least five catches in each of the first three games, and he just had eight catches for 84 yards and a touchdown on 11 targets in Week 3 against Atlanta. He's become a must-start Fantasy tight end heading into Week 4 at Green Bay, and the Packers have already allowed three tight ends to score at least 8.0 PPR points this season. I like LaPorta as a top-five Fantasy tight end in all leagues." |
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"Ertz started out with two solid games against Washington and the Giants, catching 12 passes for 77 yards on 18 targets and scoring at least 8.1 PPR points in each outing. But he cooled off in Week 3 against Dallas with two catches for 6 yards on two targets, and he should struggle again in Week 4 at San Francisco. The 49ers haven't allowed a tight end to gain more than 20 receiving yards this season, including matchups with Pat Freiermuth, Tyler Higbee and Darren Waller, and Ertz is not worth starting in most leagues." |
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Start 'Em: Colts vs. LAR |
" Matthew Stafford comes into Week 4 with four interceptions in his past two outings against the 49ers and Bengals, and he was sacked six times in Week 3 at Cincinnati. The Rams have offensive line concerns with right guard Joe Noteboom (knee) and left tackle Alaric Jackson (thigh) banged up, and the Colts have 10 sacks in their past two outings. Indianapolis has also held Houston and Baltimore to 20 points or less, and the Colts DST should be considered a top streaming option for this week." |
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" Tua Tagovailoa has been sacked just once, and the Dolphins only have three turnovers on the season (one fumble and two interceptions). Miami is averaging 43.3 points on the year, including a whopping 70 points in Week 3 against Denver, but the Dolphins have two games with at least 36 points in three outings. The Bills defense is the toughest test Miami has faced, and Buffalo has held the Raiders and Commanders to just 13 points in the past two games, with nine sacks and six interceptions over that span. But the Bills aren't going to completely stop the Dolphins, and the Bills DST isn't worth using in most leagues in Week 4." |
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| | | | | | WE NEED TO TALK begins its 10th year on the air with a special episode on CBS and Paramount+. Tracy Wolfson, Lisa Leslie, Summer Sanders, and Andrea Kremer break down the biggest news in sports on Saturday, September 30 at 1 PM Eastern. Tune In | | SailGP moves to the South of France and the glamour of Saint Tropez for the third round of Season 4. After a slow start to their campaign, could this be the round that the United States SailGP team start to turn things around? Good wind and the blue waters of the French Riviera await the ten teams. Tune In |
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