Katusa's Investment Insights |
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Here’s What The “Media Blackout” on $2,900 Gold Means For You By Marin Katusa |
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When Bridgewater's Ray Dalio increased his gold allocation in Q4 2023, he noted something crucial: "History shows that assets you might not want to own are typically the most undervalued." The current conflict between institutional positioning and public attention suggests we're at a similar inflection point. Consider Stanley Druckenmiller's legendary 2003 gold trade… He spotted the same pattern—institutional accumulation amid public indifference—and turned $200 million into $1.2 billion. The Media’s Blindspot and “Brown’s Bottom” Moment In 1999, Britain announced it was selling most of its gold reserves, when the price was $252 per ounce. This became known as "Brown's Bottom," after then-Chancellor Gordon Brown, and marked the start of a 12-year bull market. Today's media silence on gold feels eerily similar to that moment. Every major shift in wealth happens when the public is focused elsewhere. The signs suggest we're watching one unfold right now. While the media obsesses over AI and tech stocks, something unprecedented is happening in the gold market—and even veteran traders are missing it. |
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There's a puzzling disconnect in today's market: Gold has surged past $2,900 per ounce, yet Bloomberg's gold news coverage index shows media attention at pre-Covid levels. The last time we saw such a stark divergence was in March 2020, right before gold shot up 40% in six months. Things could be picking up, especially with a potential audit of the gold held at Fort Knox. Friday Morning Update: The story count has just made a sizeable spike up in the last 48 hours. The media blackout could turn into a cover story very quick. And that’s not all... The $241 Billion Secret: Wall Street's Quiet Accumulation Dig deeper, and you'll find something even more remarkable. |
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Global gold ETFs now hold a record-breaking $241 billion in bullion, surpassing the previous peaks of $233 billion last month and $223 billion set in 2020. For perspective, that's more gold than the central banks of France and Italy combined. BlackRock's data shows institutional investors have increased their gold allocations by an average of 12% in 2024 alone. Morgan Stanley's latest commodity report (January 2024) upgraded their gold price target to $3,000, citing "unprecedented institutional accumulation." The Dollar's Warning Sign Here's where patterns from the past become impossible to ignore. |
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The Dollar Index (DXY) is flashing the same warning signals we saw during the 2018 trade tensions. Back then, the dollar weakened by 8% in six months. Today, with similar policy shifts looming, we're seeing an almost identical technical setup. The Gold Borrow is Unprecedented As one analyst said, "Gold is trading like someone robbed Fort Knox." Gold loans have hit record costs in early 2025, forcing traders to pay 10% to borrow shares of the popular gold ETF, up from just 1% in late 2024. |
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This substantial increase in the borrow fee rate could indicate: Growing demand to borrow GLD shares, possibly for short-selling. Reduced availability of GLD shares to borrow. This steep jump signals a major shift in the gold market. Four Catalysts Aligning Media Blackout: Current news coverage is 40% below the 5-year average despite record prices. Institutional Positioning: ETF holdings have grown by $40 billion in just 90 days. Dollar Vulnerability: Technical patterns mirror the 2018 pre-rally setup. The Gold Borrow Rates. And don’t forget the China factor. What many miss is China's strategic gold accumulation. The People's Bank of China has added gold reserves for 16 consecutive months, accumulating over 6.75 Million ounces of gold (225 tons of gold). The last time they went on such a buying spree? 2009, right before gold doubled. |
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Why 2024 Is Different Than 2011 During the 2011 gold peak, CNBC ran an average of 12.4 gold-related segments per day. Today? Less than 2. The World Gold Council's latest report shows retail investment making up just 15% of total gold demand, the lowest level since 1973. Today's gold market shows the exact setup that preceded the last three major rallies: 2001-2002: Low media coverage, high institutional buying, 142% gain followed. 2009-2010: Similar pattern, 185% rally ensued. 2019-2020: Same signals, 43% surge in 6 months. The Opportunity Hidden in Plain Sight The World Gold Council's latest flow data shows institutional buying accelerating. The last three times we saw similar institutional inflows combined with below-average media coverage (2002, 2010, 2019), gold averaged 75% gains in the following 24 months. Every major shift in wealth happens when the public is focused elsewhere. So how do we make money? Getting positioned… |
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“Doctor Q’s” $4 Billion Legend's Secret Gold Play in America's Richest Soil A legendary mining CEO who sold his last company for nearly $4 billion just revealed his next move - and he's working for free. Why? Because he owns 8.5 million shares of a company sitting on America's next great gold producer. This past producing, multimillion ounce gold deposit on private-land gold project, next door to a +$200M cash generating mine, just doubled the amount of gold within one of its deposits. With $300M in financing on standby ready to go when Doctor Q says go, and gold at $2,900, Wall Street is about to notice what smart money already sees. Click here to discover why I've invested 7 figures of my own money in what could be America's next multi +100,000 oz/year producer. Yours truly, Marin Katusa P.S. A major catalyst hits in Q2 2025. You’ll want to learn about this opportunity today. |
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