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Tracking Key Shifts in the Legal Ecosystem

Each week, the Law.com Barometer newsletter, powered by the ALM Global Newsroom and Legalweek brings you the trends, disruptions, and shifts our reporters and editors are tracking through coverage spanning every beat and region across the ALM Global Newsroom. The micro-topic coverage will not only help you navigate the changing legal landscape but also prepare you to discuss these shifts with thousands of legal leaders at Legalweek 2025, taking place from March 24-27, 2025, in New York City. Registration will be opening soon.

The Shift: Horizon Scanning the Election’s Impact on Antitrust Regulation

 

Every presidential election brings the possibility of immense changes to the regulatory environment. But according to the experts, this year these potential changes are compounded by the nearly diametrically opposed visions that former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris have for administrative agencies and corporate regulation, particularly around antitrust.

 

One of the biggest questions looming is whether Federal Trade Commission Chair Lina Khan, one of the most high-profile regulatory body leaders, will stay on. While Khan has served as an influential regulator in the Biden administration, the agency leader’s future remains uncertain as her term is set to expire on Sept. 25 amid a contentious battle for the White House.

The Conversation

 

When looking into the crystal ball on Khan’s future as FTC chair, there are competing opinions.

 

Former FTC Chair William Kovacic said, “It’s not unheard of that an individual will serve beyond the tenure of an incumbent president, either when there’s a regime change or when there is not.”  However, “it is certainly the case that new presidents from whatever party tend to have in mind their own people, even if they’re very happy with the incumbent,” Kovacic added.

 

As FTC chair, Khan has taken an aggressive stance against corporate mergers and big tech’s allegedly monopolistic practices that may harm workers, consumers and competition. The FTC has brought cases against Amazon, Meta and Microsoft.

 

Khan “has certainly become a politicized figure,” said New York University School of Law professor Harry First. “It’s really quite interesting in the way that very few FTC chairs have.” 

 

He added that, “if Harris wins, there very well might be a fight over whether to continue her or not [but] maybe first it would depend on whether she wants to continue.” 

 

Khan’s fate, however, would likely be sealed if Trump regains the White House, said Cornell University law professor George Hay.

 

“Khan is certainly not going to be a favorite for Trump,” Hay said. “If Trump had his way, she’d be out of the door.” 

 

Trump would likely want his Republican party to lead the agency and might elevate one of the FTC’s two GOP commissioners, Melissa Holyoak or Andrew Ferguson, to be chair, Hay added. 

 

But Khan has received praise—of sorts—from Trump’s vice presidential pick. Sen. J.D. Vance, R-Ohio, said in February that Khan was “one of the few people in the Biden administration that I think is doing a pretty good job.”

The Significance

 

Antitrust impacts many industries, but none as high-profile as the tech industry.

 

Under the Biden administration, the FTC and DOJ have waged high-level antitrust cases against Big Tech companies not only based on competitiveness issues but also their impacts on labor and consumers. But it is not a given that the Trump administration wouldn’t do the same. If we look back at the first Trump administration, it also took on big tech companies like Meta and Google, but that doesn’t automatically mean a Trump administration would keep Khan on.

 

“It’s very unlikely that he [Trump] would reappoint Lina Khan to be the chair given the likelihood that he will diverge from the Biden program on the number of fronts dealing with consumer protection or antitrust,” said Kovacic, the former FTC chair. “It’s very hard to imagine that he would reappoint Khan even though she has her enthusiasts in the Republican Party.”

 

In the same vein, not all are convinced that continuing with a democratic administration means Khan’s position is safe.

 

Advocacy groups such as the American Economic Liberties Project and the Open Markets Institute—which support Khan’s antitrust approach—fear that Harris would, in fact, name a new chair, Kovacic said. 

 

“They are suspicious of Harris because they don’t trust the California DNA and the extensive exposure to the tech industry that she had when she was an elected official from California,” he said, referring to Harris’ tenure as the state’s attorney general and later a U.S. senator.

 

In addition, the Harris campaign has received donations from those in the very tech industry that Khan has targeted. 

 

For example, LinkedIn founder Reid Hoffman has given $7 million to the vice president’s effort. Hoffman said on CNN recently that Harris should replace Khan. 

 

The Information

 

Want to know more? Here’s what we’ve discovered in the ALM Global Newsroom:

  • Lacking Votes but Not Vigor, GOP FTC Members Trying to Slow Down Lina Khan's Steamrolling Majority Any Way They Can
  • Competition, Consumers, Workers Drive FTC's Aggressive Antitrust Approach, Khan Says
  • Google Lawyer Heads to Freshfields' Antitrust Practice
  • Merger Guidelines at Risk in a Trump Administration, Antitrust Law Professors Say
  • Compliance Chiefs See Pay Surge as Regulatory Onslaught Buries Perception It's a Backwater Role
  • California DOJ Fines Robinhood $3.9M in First-Ever Crypto Enforcement Action

 

The Forecast

 

No matter who wins, there will be substantial change, according to experts. A re-elected Trump will almost certainly return to his administrative policies, reversing the reversals of the current administration, while a President Harris may, consistent with her 2020 campaign promises and her votes as a Senator, press an even more progressive regulatory agenda than President Biden.

 

University of Pennsylvania law professor Herbert Hovenkamp said Harris’ focus on labor in her bid for the presidency is telling.

 

“[Harris] has tried very hard in her campaign the last couple of months to reach out to labor of various types, and I do not see her letting up one bit on the Biden administration’s interest in using the antitrust laws to protect labor,” Hovenkamp said. “Based on her enthusiasm about labor, she will continue the Biden administration’s efforts to use antitrust to protect against anti-poaching agreements that suppress wages or noncompetes, or the use of merger law to go after mergers that harm labor.”

 

Americans are concerned about the prices of food, medical care and gasoline, which antitrust enforcement can address, Hovenkamp said.

 

“If you ask Americans what is your biggest concern, they’re mainly pocketbook issues, and antitrust can speak to those, particularly in areas like price fixing and conventional market dominance concerns,” Hovenkamp added.

 

But according to experts, no matter who wins in November, the world of executive regulation will be remade, thanks to shifts in both law and policymaking.

 

 

Heather D. Nevitt is the Editor-in-Chief of Corporate Coverage, Corporate Counsel and Global Leaders in Law at ALM. Email her at hnevit@alm.com and find her on Twitter @HeatherDNevitt 

 

 

 

 

 
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