Whether prompted by a tiny improvement in mortgage rates or the first stirrings of a spring market, mortgage activity reversed course last week. The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) reports that its Market Composite Index, a measure of application volume, increased 9.7 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 12.0 percent. The Refinance Index gained 8.0 percent during the week ended March 1, trailing the same week in 2023 by 2.0 percent. The refinance share of mortgage activity decreased to 30.2 percent from 31.2 percent the previous week. [refiappschart] The index measuring purchase applications jumped 11,0 percent higher on a seasonally adjusted basis and 13.0 percent before adjustment. The index was 8.0 percent lower than the same week one year ago. [purchaseappschart] "The latest data on inflation was not markedly better nor worse than expected, which was enough to bring mortgage rates down a bit, with the 30-year fixed mortgage rate declining slightly last week to 7.02 percent,” said Mike Fratantoni, MBA’s SVP and Chief Economist. “Mortgage applications were up considerably relative to the prior week, which included the President's Day holiday. Of note, purchase volume – particularly for FHA loans – was up strongly, again showing how sensitive the first-time homebuyer segment is to relatively small changes in the direction of rates. Other sources of housing data are showing increases in new listings, which is a real positive for the spring buying season given the lack of for-sale inventory. "