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Health, Wealth, and Happiness
May 01, 2023
An investment in knowledge pays the best interest.

- Benjamin Franklin
In today's issue: In September 2021, China cracked down on crypto. It was a move that slowed the growth and adoption of crypto, DeFi, and blockchain technologies.

That could soon change, however, as Hong Kong has expressed an interest in becoming a Web3 hub. That's interesting in itself, but it also seems the city has the backing of mainland China for its ambitions.

There's already been massive interest in Hong Kong, not only from established global crypto powerhouses, but from aspiring blockchain projects still located in mainland China. This could mark a huge opportunity, not just for the blockchain projects themselves, but also for interested investors.

Read on to learn more.
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Today's most important story for crypto investors.
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China Exploring Hong Kong as a Crypto Hub
by Anatol Antonovici
Executive summary: Despite China's ban on crypto operations, Hong Kong is positioning itself as a regional crypto and Web3 hub, attracting blockchain firms and legalizing retail crypto trading. With a robust regulatory framework in place, Hong Kong has received expressions of interest from over 80 companies providing crypto-related services.

Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) are expected to be the chief beneficiaries, but emerging Web3 services also warrant attention. Investors should monitor the evolving regulatory landscape and follow mainland China’s moves, as loosening crypto restrictions could cause the market to surge.

China’s Evolving Stance on Crypto

During the initial years of bitcoin’s existence, China was one of the most important countries for the crypto industry as it hosted many companies operating exchange platforms, wallets, and other services. Moreover, China alone accounted for abouttwo-thirds of all bitcoin mining in 2019 through 2020.

However, the Chinese government subsequently decided BTC and other cryptos pose many risks that outweigh the potential benefits. The result was Chinese authorities gradually cracking down on all retail crypto operations.

In 2017, it started with initial coin offerings (ICOs). The government shut down all ICO platforms and operations when they were at their peaks. If a local exchange sold ICO tokens, they had to return the funds to investors.

During that time, China cracked down on many crypto exchanges, but the countrywide ban came in 2021. As bitcoin skyrocketed to fresh records, China banned crypto mining and prohibited crypto transactions altogether, forcing mining and exchange companies to relocate.
Evolution of the countries’ share of mining operations. Via Cambridge Centre for Alternative Finance.

Hong Kong as an Experiment

Even though Hong Kong is part of China, it remains somewhat separate due to its status as a special administrative region (SAR). This status gives the city more freedom, so it may choose not to enforce Beijing’s crypto rules. Due to its proximity to mainland territory, many crypto companies might relocate to Hong Kong in search of better conditions.

The good news is Hong Kong plans to become a regional crypto and Web3 hub and compete with Singapore to attract blockchain firms, especially after Singapore moved to a tough stance on crypto businesses last year. Crucially, Hong Kong has reportedlyobtained the nod from Beijing.

At the end of 2022, Hong Kongsaid during its government-backed fintech week event that it planned to legalize crypto retail trading and develop a licensing system for crypto exchanges and other blockchain companies. Some believe China will closely monitor Hong Kong’s crypto story before returning to the crypto question itself.

Deng Chao, CEO of digital asset manager Hashkey Capital,commented on Hong Kong’s crypto initiative:

In the future, it may serve as a model for policy formulation in other regions [in China] if it proves successful.”

Strong Regulation Expected

As Hong Kong prepares to become crypto-friendly, it's creating an extensive regulatory framework for digital assets and blockchain operations. In February 2023, the city’s Securities and Futures Commission (SFC)released draft rules enabling investors to trade certain major cryptocurrencies starting June 1, 2023. However, it didn’t mention which coins would be supported.

The financial regulator plans to introduce a new licensing regime to take effect on June 1. The new rules will require all centralized crypto exchanges doing business in Hong Kong to be licensed by the SFC. The regulatory requirements are expected to be similar to those for licensed securities brokers and automated trading venues.

SFC CEO Julia Leung stated:

In light of the recent turmoil and the collapse of some leading crypto trading platforms around the world, there is clear consensus among regulators globally for regulation in the virtual asset space to ensure investors are adequately protected and key risks are effectively managed.”

Who's Interested?

In February, the city’s Department for Foreign Direct Investment received “expressions of interest” from more than 80 companies offering crypto-related services. The companies, located in mainland China and abroad, include crypto exchanges, blockchain infrastructure firms, blockchain network security firms, crypto wallets, payment operators, and other Web3 companies.
KuCoin, one of the largest crypto exchanges by trading volume, stated last year that it would open an office in Hong Kong. Other major companies planning to expand their presence in the city are Huobi, OKX, and Gate.io.

Interestingly, crypto firms have found an unexpected ally: Chinese, state-owned banks. Bloombergcited people familiar with the matter saying Chinese banks, including Shanghai Pudong Development Bank (600000:CH), the Bank of Communications Co. (BKFCF:US), and Bank of China Ltd. (3988:HK) have either started providing banking services to crypto companies in Hong Kong or made inquiries with crypto firms.

Institutional investors are also monitoring Hong Kong’s transformation into a potential crypto hub. They're looking to become early beneficiaries in the competition to win market share.

Which Tokens Might Benefit Most?

Hong Kong is about to shortlist the cryptocurrencies to be accepted for trading starting on June 1. While it hasn’t indicated which digital assets would be accepted, the list will likely include bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), which will probably remain the primary beneficiaries.

Ethereum can be a major winner as Hong Kong has suggested it plans to become a Web3 hub. The majority of decentralized applications (dapps), non-fungible tokens (NFTs), and other Web3 elements rely on Ethereum as their underlying infrastructure.

In terms of currently popular dapps in the Asian region, the decentralized exchange 1inch (INCH) continues to see great interest. In terms of centralized exchanges, leaders include Binance (BNB),Kucoin (KCS), and OKX.

Another potential winning blockchain will be Polygon (MATIC). This ties into the popularity of gaming in Asia in general and in China specifically. Per a DappRadar study, Polygon is the favored blockchain for game development, with 30.8% of web studio game developers choosing Polygon. This is important, as Asia has 55% of the total global gamers (representing some 1.7 billion users).

In China, gaming is dominated by Tencent (TCEHY:US), and while the company isn’t currently developing blockchain games, it has announced several partnerships that indicate it may be moving into the blockchain space in response to the news. Tencent will jointly develop a suite of blockchain API services with Web3 infrastructure provider Ankr (ANKR). It's also partnering with several Web3 infrastructure builders including Avalanche (AVAX); Scroll (a Layer-2 scaling solution for Ethereum); and Sui (SUI), a relatively young Layer-1 blockchain created by ex-Meta employees.

Can Hong Kong Become a Crypto Hub?

Despite the strict regulations anticipated, the Hong Kong crypto hub plan has all prerequisites to become a reality. The city’s initiative is becoming even more relevant today as the U.S., until recently one of the best jurisdictions for crypto businesses, has been cracking down on crypto operations in reaction to the collapse of FTX.

Coinbase, the largest crypto exchange in the US, is consideringrelocating due to “regulatory uncertainty.” As we can see, the lack of clear regulation can be a problem. It remains to be seen how restrictive Hong Kong will be.

Investor Takeaway

As Hong Kong takes steps to become a crypto and Web3 hub, investors should keep a close eye on the evolving regulatory landscape and the potential impacts on the crypto space. It makes sense to monitor the list of approved tokens when it becomes public and the level of support from mainland China. If the latter starts loosening its crypto ban, the market may explode.

Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) are expected to be the major beneficiaries, but emerging Web3 services deserve attention as well.
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