Editor's note: We're in the golden age of social media "influencers" – but they may not be telling you the whole truth. Today, we're sharing an updated DailyWealth essay, last published here in January 2022. In it, Director of Research Matt Weinschenk explains how to get the best market advice without falling prey to expensive fees... or the get-rich-quick schemes of unqualified investors.
How FinTok Broke Finance... Again By Matt Weinschenk, director of research, Stansberry Research
We had a shot to fix finance... But we missed it. Instead, we got this... a 45-second video titled "An Average Monday of Any Stock Trader 💹🏅." It was originally posted on social media platform TikTok. Here's how the day goes... You begin the morning doing a little work... staring at four trading screens with your feet up. Then, you choose whether to drive your Ferrari or your Bentley to the beach club, followed by a cruise on a yacht with friends. Later in the day, you do some watch shopping, make a couple TikTok videos, then have dinner – served by your personal butler – by the pool. This is one of thousands of similar videos you can find on "FinTok," a community on TikTok that offers tips and tricks to get rich quick... Most of FinTok is hype. It shows clips of kids who look 17 standing in front of digital backgrounds of six trading screens, acting as if it's their real work environment. Then they go "supercar" shopping. Others share photos of themselves on private jets... which are likely taken on studio sets that you can rent for Instagram photo shoots. When the FinTok videos do discuss finance, the facts are dead wrong... One famous FinToker revealed his "system" in a video. Standing next to his wife or girlfriend, he explained... Here's my strategy in a nutshell. I see a stock going up, and I buy. And I just watch it until it stops going up, and then I sell it. And I do that over and over, and it pays for our whole lifestyle. Thanks for the tip. Another built a following claiming that maxing out a 401(k) is the dumbest thing you can do with your money. I am a professional equity analyst. My day involves a lot more spreadsheets than these FinTok jockeys seem to deal with. And as I said, we almost fixed finance in America... However, this is where we ended up. Before FinTok, Wall Street was the villain... Wall Street has long been criticized as a scheme for turning ordinary people's money into investment bankers' wealth. You may have heard the anecdote that starts Fred Schwed's 1940 book subtitled A Good Hard Look at Wall Street... An out-of-town visitor was being shown the wonders of the New York financial district. When the party arrived at the Battery, one of his guides indicated some handsome ships riding at anchor. He said, "Look, those are the bankers' and brokers' yachts." "Where are the customers' yachts?" asked the naive visitor. And Wall Street partly deserved this image. For decades, we saw individual investors paying 2% and 3% annually on the amount of their money their broker held under management... plus front-end loads (or payments) for mutual funds that lagged the markets. We saw brokerage commissions of more than $50 a trade and demands to trade round lots of 100 shares... We saw complex financial instruments designed to hide fees from confused customers. But starting in the mid-1990s, we saw a democratization of investing. 401(k)s became mainstream, allowing savers to control their own retirement accounts... Online discount brokers cut commissions to $10 or less... Internet sites began to provide instant and trustworthy financial data. That wave inspired an army of day traders who drove the dot-com boom. But like today's FinTokers, they got intoxicated by easy money. The bubble burst... And the traders, for the most part, went away. Following that bubble, index funds led to the next wave that empowered everyday investors. These funds roughly tracked the market's returns for drastically lower fees. From 2000 to 2010, the assets in index funds more than quadrupled... and then quadrupled again from 2010 to 2020. That meant no more fees for underperformance or high front-end loads on mutual funds... And with a simple exchange-traded fund ("ETF") portfolio, investors didn't need to pay expensive advisers. But it turns out, folks aren't satisfied with just "average" returns. While index funds are still popular, people are increasingly getting into active investing. That coincides with efforts from financial technology ("fintech") companies to democratize finance even more... Led by Robinhood and other brokerages, trading commissions have been cut to zero, and margin lending is widely available. It seemed an admirable goal. But it turned investing into a game. And this "gamification" of trading led people to overtrade. Then, the pandemic kept people locked at home with plenty of time to play the market... And play they did. Worse, cryptos and non-fungible tokens exploded. Today, more and more people feel that financial speculation is the way to get rich, because "everybody's doing it." All this together has led to an entire class of people who are under-researching, overtrading, and winning and losing vast sums of money. Alongside the FinTok "stars" showing off rented wealth, you can watch videos of blowups... screenshots of accounts that lost six figures in a day. We followed one FinToker who posted a catastrophic tale over several months. He quit his job and put all his money ‒ all his savings and funds from his individual retirement accounts ‒ into bitcoin. (I'd argue that he could have kept his job and still bought bitcoin, but let's not go there.) Bitcoin fell, and he took a big loss. He started using trading coaches he discovered on social media. They suggested using leverage to earn back his losses. But leverage can work against you even if an asset goes up. Ultimately, he got wiped out. He moved back in with his father at age 45 and got a job as a waiter. You can find many sad tales out there like this one. America broke free of Wall Street's fees... But it left behind the level-headed guidance those fees brought with them. So, who should manage your money in the 2020s? The answer is somewhere between Wall Street's exorbitant fees and the hubris of a 20-year-old whose advice is to sell when the stock stops going up. There is a better way... If you combine the tools of modern finance – low commissions, abundant information, and low-cost ETFs – and pair them with solid, independent research... you have found the secret sauce of smart, self-directed investing. Good investing, Matt Weinschenk
Editor's note: On Tuesday, August 13, at 9 a.m. Eastern time, join us online to celebrate our 25th anniversary of delivering financial research. We're airing a special broadcast to share our business's No. 1 secret – a strategy our top subscribers can thank for much of their success. And we'll explain why it's the perfect way to prepare your portfolio for a potentially bumpy ride... Click here for the full details. Further Reading "When they first start investing, many people focus only on the possibility of big returns," Dr. David Eifrig says. But risky speculations won't help most folks "catch up" to the ultra-rich. You're much likelier to build lasting wealth by following a few simple tenets... Read more here. "Narrative and enthusiasm lead to big losses," Dan Ferris writes. Hype is no substitute for real knowledge. When the last bear market began in 2022, meme-stock investors got crushed – and some never learned to start doing their homework instead... Get the full story here. |
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