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GM. This is Milk Road – the ‘hydraulic press’ of crypto newsletters. |
(We pack everything you need to know about crypto, into an easy-breezy daily read.) |
Here’s what we got for you today: |
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 | Prices as of 2:00 PM ET. |
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HOW TO SPOT MEMECOIN RUG PULLS (BEFORE THEY HAPPEN) 👀 |
It almost (almost!) happened. |
We got so close to getting our wish of a weekend free of memecoin skulduggery (yeah, you heard us — skulduggery — we’re bringing it back!). |
And while this isn’t a ‘presidential-level’ grift – it’s still pretty damn obvious… |
That is: the upcoming ‘$YZY’ token launch from Kanye West. |
Kanye is (apparently) trying to use the token to sidestep payment platforms that have cut ties with him since he became a self-proclaimed n*zi (👈 don’t want to get sent to spam). |
…say it with us now: “Consequences very rarely show up lubed.” |
We’re going to give you a brief overview of the tokenomics and rumors surrounding this launch – but for the most part, we want to paint a picture of how these things work, so you can spot and avoid them altogether. |
Sound good? Great! Let’s get into it… |
1/ Tokenomics and rumors |
Like $TRUMP before it, $YZY’s tokenomics are god awful. |
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And people are already questioning whether or not Kanye sold his X account to alleged memecoin pump n’ dumpers. |
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TL;DR of that thread is: |
Fashion designer, turned ‘crypto guy’, @barkmeta seems to be linked to the $YZY launch He has been accused of multiple rug pulls in the past The rumor is barkmeta bought Kanye’s X account for $17M (but nothing has been confirmed yet)
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2/ How these things tend to work |
Step 1 (the launch): A famous figure launches a token with the majority of the supply locked up in their name. |
Step 2 (the pump): They release a small amount of tokens, and snipe the launch (aka: buy up the initial circulating tokens for cheap, the moment the whole thing launches), pushing prices up. |
Step 3 (the dump): As initial retail volume comes in, they get to selling – moving money from the public holders’ wallets, to their own – dumping the price in the process. |
Step 4 (the rally): After the first three steps are complete, they then try to instigate a ‘community take over’ – the goal being to bring hype back to the token in an attempt to save all the people that got burned, helping the price to stabilize/recover. |
Step 5 (the second dump): They wait for the unlock. If the token’s price can remain stable (or even increase) after the initial dump, the orchestrators have an opportunity to rug holders a second time once the supply unlocks hit. |
So how do you identify these kinds of launches? |
Famous figure + insane token lock ups + small public distribution = giant red flag. |
How do you avoid them altogether? |
Stack majors n’ chill. 👇 |
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WHAT TO LOOK OUT FOR THIS WEEK 📅 |
The US economy is about to have its most important single earnings call of the quarter, there’s a major unlock you need to know about, and the regulatory landscape just got more chill. |
Here’s everything you need to know about this week: |
1/ Macro 📊 |
CB Consumer Confidence data - Tuesday - a vibe check with consumers January New Home Sales data - Wednesday - an increase in new home sales indicates people have money and are willing to spend it US Q4 2024 GDP Data - Thursday - how much did the US economy grow/contract in the last quarter of 2024 January PCE Inflation data - Friday - Personal Consumption Expenditures Inflation measures how much prices are going up for things people buy, like food, clothes, and services.
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Right now, everyone is watching this data in hopes that it gives the Federal Reserve an excuse to lower interest rates and potentially print money (lowered inflation + weakened economy = the perfect excuse to do both). |
But remember what Kyle went over in last week’s Flash Update: The US isn’t the only player in the game with the ability to pump global liquidity (aka: add fresh cash to the global economy). |
Other major nations can (and will likely be forced to) pump new liquidity into the system (*cough* China *cough*) in the coming months. |
So don’t freak out if this data doesn’t spell out “The US is about to start cutting/printing”. |
2/ Earnings Season 💣 |
The US economy is about to have its most important single earnings call of the quarter! |
$NVIDIA is reporting on Wednesday, after the market closes. |
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What does this have to do with crypto? |
Crypto is heavily tied to the tech sector, and Nvidia is like one big barometer for the tech industry. |
If tech companies are buying $NVIDIA’s chips at increased levels → the sector is growing. |
3/ Token unlocks 🔓 |
Things to remember here: token price impact often starts ~30 days before the unlock event, and team unlocks tend to have the most effect on price. |
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This is one of the smaller weeks for unlocks we’ve seen in a while – but (and we’re not sure why) the unlock that everyone should be watching this week has not been included in this chart. |
This Saturday, March 1st, ~$1.5 billion worth of $SOL will be unlocked. |
The unlock will go to teams, seed investors, the Solana Foundation, and firms that bought $SOL at heavily discounted prices through the FTX bankruptcy. |
This is likely why Solana’s price has been taking a beating over the past 30 days or so, as investors have front run the potential selling event. |
(Hopefully this will mean the unlock itself will be a bit of a nothingburger.) |
4/ Regulatory easing 🧑⚖️ |
In the past week, the SEC has dropped its cases against Coinbase, Robinhood, and OpenSea. |
The next big case everyone has now turned their attention to is Ripple ($XRP). |
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Keep your eyes peeled! 👀 |
Alright, that’s everything you need to watch this week! |
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BITE-SIZED COOKIES FOR THE ROAD 🍪 |
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Ooof! Three swings, three misses. Three bills aimed to introduce state-run Bitcoin reserves have failed so far. — DL News |
Saylor’s buying more $BTC. Strategy just got a $2B interest-free loan, giving lenders the right to buy $MSTR at a set price in the future (+35% from where it is today). |
A masterclass in crisis PR: Bybit CEO Ben Zhou says they've fully replaced the $1.4B worth of Ethereum that was hacked last Friday |
Moar institutional adoption! $64B asset manager Citadel is about to start offering crypto trading and become a liquidity provider for cryptocurrencies |
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DISCLAIMER: None of this is financial advice. This newsletter is strictly educational and is not investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any assets or to make any financial decisions. Please be careful and do your own research. |