APRIL 17, 2025

 

Welcome back to Buffering, and happy Netflix Earnings Day to all who celebrate. Earlier today, the home of Everybody’s Live With John Mulaney let investors know how much money it made during the first quarter of 2025: a cool $2.9 billion in net profits, better than the $2.4 billion it forecast, and up a strong 24 percent compared to the same frame last year. For the first time in forever, the streaming colossus did not reveal how many subscribers it gained or lost over the past three months. A year ago, Netflix said it would stop reporting that metric on a regular basis because it believes the real measure of its success should be its revenue and profits. I believe more data is always better, but Netflix does have a point about what’s most important right now — and it’s also hard to ding it for following the example of fellow tech companies Apple and Amazon and staying mum on the matter. 

In this week’s newsletter, we’ve got the results of a big survey diving into how audiences watch TV today as well as a conversation about said survey with two of my esteemed Vulture colleagues. Thanks for reading!

—Joe Adalian, West Coast editor, Vulture

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THE BIG STORY

How We Watch Today


 

Last year — more than a decade after Netflix’s first binge-drop series, House of Cards, established a new mode of TV consumption, and with popular weekly release series such as Shōgun and Hacks on our minds — we started to wonder about the preferences that were settling in with modern TV viewers. Had the on-demand appeal of streaming’s binge releases achieved primacy? Was the traditional weekly rollout enjoying a cultural resurgence? Were we, an entertainment-journalism outlet, the only ones who cared about such things?  (New York did, after all, coin the term "couch potato.")

Guided by that curiosity, we partnered with the Vox Media Insights and Research team, which enlisted the analytics firm Two Cent Insights, to help us survey more than 2,000 U.S. adults who watch TV content at least three time a week on at least one of the streaming platforms. We asked about their relationship to TV: How do consumers feel about bingeing shows nowadays? (They’re mixed.) Do zoomers (respondents ages 18 to 27) feel differently about shows or streaming services than millennials (28 to 44), Gen-Xers (45 to 58), or boomers (59 to 77)? (Yes.) And how has the success of the binge model affected the shows produced by those services? (It’s complicated.)

To parse the results, we asked our critic Nick Quah to moderate a conversation between our TV critic Kathryn VanArendonk and our streaming columnist Josef Adalian. They dug into the survey’s most notable findings and, through them, our relationship to the 21st century’s dominant form of TV consumption.

One big takeaway from the survey is that practically everyone toggles between binge-watching and tuning in along a fixed release schedule. We take this for granted now, but our modern understanding of “binge-watching,” largely popularized by Netflix, is just over a decade old. Both of you have been paying attention to television for much longer than I have. Could you remind me what life was like before Netflix?

Joe Adalian: For one, Netflix absolutely did not invent the idea of binge. The earliest binge-viewing experiences were marathons on broadcast television. Independent stations, for example, would sometimes do New Year's Day marathons of The Twilight Zone. Cable networks had a lot of time to fill, and binges became more common that way. 

Physical media contributed to the behavior, too. VHS tapes helped, but they were expensive — it was really with DVD boxed sets that bingeing became much more popular. TiVo and DVRs helped even more, but you were still limited by the scheduling whims of networks and hard-drive space. What Netflix and streaming did was make everything incredibly easy and efficient. Then House of Cards came out in 2013, and that marked the first binge release of a new show.

Kathryn VanArendonk: I'm going to out myself as a criminal: When I was in college, I spent a fair amount of time binge-watching things that I had illegally downloaded. I certainly was not alone in that, and it was all fueled by the DVD boxed-set boom. TV at the time was beginning to be structured for an audience that could watch a show when they wanted to rather than needing to wait for a scheduled time. For example, highly serialized shows like Lost or The Sopranos were best watched in sequence, and the rise of DVRs and DVD boxed sets made that a lot easier.

The arrival of Netflix accelerated the idea that on-demand viewing is the norm rather than the exception. It used to be that if you wanted to watch Grey's Anatomy, you waited until nine o’clock on Thursdays. Now the fact that the show has a time slot feels incidental to the existence of every episode of every season of Grey's on Netflix.

Let’s put a finer point on it. What did Netflix change?

KVA: That you can watch a TV show when you decide to watch it. That unmoored you from any other collective experience of when that show is happening in other people's lives.

JA: I remember the weekend House of Cards premiered in 2013. The thinking then was that releasing every episode at once was crazy. Why not get people to subscribe to Netflix for three months? They said, “No, it's convenient.” We thought it was a gimmick, but they had engineered this show to be addictive. I watched it all within 72 hours. That changed the calculus for creating shows. In the past, we binged to catch up and reexperience stuff. Now, the first window for a project was the binge.

 
 

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How often do viewers cancel subscriptions?

74% of Boomers say almost never.

48% of Gen-Zers say at least occasionally.

 

I’m interested in this finding, which reflects the way audience behavior differs generationally: Gen-Zers and millennials are more likely than boomers to identify as binge-watchers — and to plan their viewing habits accordingly. Kathryn, how has that impacted the way you think about the concept of a show?

KVA: In the beginning, there was quite a bit of conversation around: What is a streaming episode of television? Is it actually different from linear or a cable show? It took a couple years for the norms to start shifting to the extent I am now able to look at a Netflix season and say, “That has a different shape and requirements than a network season, a premium cable season, or an HBO season.”

We can see things like how episodes of Netflix shows often have limited interesting load-bearing internal structure — instead, their seasons feel like a sloshing bucket of story beats and character arcs. Or how Netflix seasons have shallow cliffhangers between episodes. This is different from how storytelling works in other models.

That relates to another finding: neither binge nor scheduled watchers find cliffhangers that appealing. (Only 13 percent do. In contrast, about 22 percent find them the least appealing part of the viewing appearance.) How would you describe the major differences between the archetypal linear show and the archetypal streaming show in 2025? And how did that become defined over the past decade?

KVA: A linear show still needs to be legible and pleasurable within the episode, one hour at a time. That doesn't necessarily mean that it has what we would think of as an “episodic plot.” What it means is, “This is a unit of a story that offers you something on its own whether or not there’s a thematic wholeness.” An episode of Mad Men tends to have this lovely thematic unity to it. HBO's The Last of Us does not have what I would describe as thematically whole units, but it does often have a dramatic structure to each episode — to the point that it has the capacity to have departure or flashback episodes.

Traditionally, streaming seasons — that is, until The Pitt— do not do this for the most part. They are almost indistinguishable from one another. There will not be different guest stars. There will not be a different directing style; that's a whole different issue on television. There's not going to be an episode where they just all go and hang out at the beach. It will be this one big interwoven movement from episode one through to the end of the season.

JA: I actually think streaming is now broad enough and has tried so many different forms that even Netflix has shows that are more episodic in nature. To me, the difference is that the quintessential streaming show feels like eight hourlong movies and a whole bunch of miniseries that have subsequent sequels to those miniseries. The idea of six-hour movies — which streaming invented and which critics like Kathryn and others bemoan as not being television — is also a different form, a hybrid of TV and movies. 

Within traditional linear television, there can be differences, too. You can have a procedural like Matlock or Elsbeth, which will have continuing story lines but also stand-alone elements. Or something that's extreme, like Law & Order or a sitcom, where every episode is self-contained. Even before streaming, TV was evolving to become more sophisticated on this front, like Alias. You could drop in anytime and get that episode, but if you're watching every week it will be an enhanced experience because you're going to understand a lot more. 

With these shifts in how audiences relate to release orders and availability, there’s tension in the business models. Linear is structured in such a way that you prioritize getting the most audiences at the head of the release, while with streaming, dropping all at once maybe sorta maximizes engagement. Is that the right read?

JA: I’d push back a bit here. TV networks don’t always need everyone to watch something as soon as a show premieres. It's not like movies. Certainly, the most successful TV shows are ones that connect with viewers right from the start, and that’s why a lot of marketing money gets spent to put eyeballs on that premiere. But if it doesn’t connect, networks can move a show to a different time slot or give it a better lead-in. Linear networks tend to treat shows as organic things they can grow and nurture if they believe in the project and there are at least some signs audiences are responding. Not all the time, obviously, but the whole concept of linear TV in some ways serves as a marketing tool to connect audiences to a project. 

What things like weekly releases, time slots, and appointment television do is establish a habit. It reminds you, “I like this show. I'm going to keep returning to it and have an engagement over the course of nine months.” In some ways, streaming is even more dependent on getting you to watch right away, because if you watch one episode and don’t love it, you may forget to come back. It's going to sit in the queue, but you're going to move on. 

Kathryn, I suspect the behavior of younger audiences stacking up episodes to watch all at once later contributes to the difficulty of shows breaking through in the cultural conversation. What do you think?

KVA: It raises an interesting question: For viewers who are uninterested in a communal TV experience, how do we think about the best way to write about television, to promote and market shows, and to have a functional economic model that sustains the medium? It’s a more challenging business if it's just all this big backlog and there aren't reliable moments to market.

But I don’t think this is baked in forever. I don't believe that for the rest of their lives, Gen-Z viewers are going to be like, “I never want to watch a thing at the same time as my friends.” And there are ways — thanks to algorithmic behavior and emerging platforms — that shows are having moments. Audiences are consuming clips of The Good Doctor on TikTok. Young people are all watching them all together, just not in a way that registers with Nielsen. 

This also explains why shows like The Pitt and The White Lotus can still have monoculture-like moments despite being more connected to release schedules and a traditional TV calendar: There are all these different spaces where a communal experience can form. I see lots of talk about The Pitt on TikTok. When you throw a big enough party, people will want to come, even if they don't usually go to parties.

JA: The smarter streamers are realizing that you can serve both binge and scheduled audiences rather than use the Netflix model, which is dogmatic. Yes, there are a lot of viewers who want to watch all the episodes at once, but if you look at something like The Pitt, not only did Max drop one episode every week after the first two, it did a traditional thing in that it dropped them at 9 p.m. ET on Thursdays rather than, like, 3 a.m. That's what Netflix does and what Max previously did, because that’s what you're supposed to do to maximize total numbers for internal data. Casey Bloys, the head of Max content, looked at that and said, "Why are we doing that? That's dumb.”

With scheduled releases, a lot of people might not watch it right away, but you basically get several weeks of free marketing courtesy of the people who are watching. You have social media going crazy with clips from episodes. In the end, most of the viewing will not take place within the linear time period. But it’s marketing, and it's effective because Max isn't spending anything more by releasing these episodes over four months, right? It costs them the same. They don't have to buy any ads. The internet does the work for them. It pierces people's attention, and that can accumulate in the ratings. Those big numbers you see for The Last of Us, House of the Dragon — those are not who watches on Sunday night. That’s maybe 4 million people. The 30 million comes when you add up the people who watch over 40 days.

Netflix has stubbornly stuck to what was a good way to introduce its service and to differentiate itself, but is not good for keeping its shows in the public consciousness.

Where are we in the project of combining the upsides of linear with the conveniences from streaming? 

KVA: Think about what you can watch at this moment: We have Elsbeth, Matlock, High Potential, all of these network-y things, and also every single thing on Netflix. Having lots of different kinds of television available at once is good. What’s frustrating is that it’s taking a long time to figure out a model that blends the hybridization that you were describing. But I’m hopeful that something like The Pitt represents a way forward for more kinds of streaming shows.

JA: We’re seeing everyone experimenting. For example, networks are taking runs of streaming shows and putting them on their prime-time schedule. Paradise is getting a linear run on ABC now after releasing weekly on Hulu. Paradise could have been a binge show — and probably would have worked better as a binge show. It's designed that way. But I agree you need to make different kinds of shows for different kinds of audiences. It’s about balance.

I want to run these two lists in the findings by both of you:

The most-binged shows among the respondents in 2024 were Yellowstone, The Boys, House of the Dragon, Stranger Things, Bridgerton, Grey's Anatomy, Criminal Minds, The Office, Ted Lasso, and Game of Thrones. 

And their most-watched weekly release shows in 2024 were 90 Day Fiance, Big Brother, Survivor, Love Island, The Bachelorette, The Masked Singer, The Boys, House of the Dragon, and counterintuitively, Evil.

What are the biggest through-lines that stand out to you?

KVA: Obviously, there's a huge reality contingent in the weekly shows. It’s interesting how few traditional “comedies” are in that binge list. And there are shows like Game of Thrones and The Boys that are big enough phenomena, particularly for men, that they can exist in both of these release-schedule spaces.

JA: It’s not a surprise that reality is up there on the weekly list. Survivor is a strong performer with all age groups, but it has twice as many adult viewers under 50 as anything else on TV Wednesday nights in Nielsen’s same-day ratings.The Chicago shows on NBC actually have a slightly bigger overall audience, but they’re far behind in that demo. Younger viewers love Survivor, and they want to watch it in real time. Why? Because there are spoilers.

That's why something like House of the Dragon does well. People want to see these plot twists. They are communal experiences. So it's a matter of: How do you construct your shows to do that? How do you make them events people want to watch immediately and not whenever they get around to it?

Let’s stay on reality. One of the narratives about linear television these days is that it’s propped up by live sports. Is it fair to say unscripted shows are also helping the cause?

JA: Unscripted does two things. First, it's less expensive than sports and scripted shows. That’s why you see so much of it. Plus, even though reality shows may have a smaller overall viewership, it’s often a younger audience, which advertisers love. Second, it's a more effective way of keeping people. Competition shows like The Voice and American Idol, which people thought would be dead by now based upon their declining ratings a few years ago, are stable because they have audiences that keep watching every week. 

Even Netflix is trying to get into this: It’s taking Pop the Balloon from YouTube and making it into a live reality show. It’s going to be its first true weekly reality live show. It also has the John Mulaney show. Why? Because those shows cost next to nothing compared to Stranger Things, and they allow people to make an appointment to watch Netflix. 

For a long time, Netflix didn't have to worry about people opening its app, but as other streamers mature — and as more people think Netflix isn't worth it and cancel — it needs things to get people to return. I could see it having a different live show that releases episodes on Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday, then having a big event on Friday. They'll never admit it, but I bet there's a little bit of a problem with getting people to reopen the app, and they're looking to solve that.

KVA: Yeah, Netflix is in a sticky place where it has decided that it’s not just going to binge-drop a whole season at once. Shows like Love Is Blind have been doing chunks of episode drops, rather than all 12 at once, and they've been doing that for several seasons now. That has been a successful model for them: People get a sense of satisfaction from having many episodes that they can chew on over the weekend, but Netflix still enjoys cliffhanger opportunities and long-term marketing benefits. I have no idea whether it will make weekly work. John Mulaney is an interesting but not ideal test case for it given that it’s very specific and fairly small. It’s not the kind of show that you put on TV thinking, Four quadrants, let's go! 

The survey had some findings about choice paralysis and overabundance. Forty-one percent of people say they give platforms five to ten minutes of their time as they're searching around before giving up. Gen Z and millennials take a little longer, but in general, it feels like looking for something to watch is a drag. Is this a problem with home pages?

KVA: There’s a lot about home pages that generally work. The fact that Netflix has a top ten …

JA: Alleged top ten.

KVA: Well, even if it’s not accurate, I’m curious what it wants to tell me most people are watching on this app. 

Where I find Netflix fails — most platforms tend to fail at this — is informing me when there's a new installment of a thing I have previously watched. And for all of the algorithm's alleged ability to know my viewing habits, I find it bad at being able to recommend the kinds of things that I’m actually interested in. Whether that's because I'm a critic who watches so many different things that it can't get good pattern data from me, I’m not sure. But my kids have their own profiles, and I watch them also endlessly click around. 

JA: There's the realistic home page and my ideal home page. My dream one is actually the home page of my Apple TV device. It pulls everything in from all your subscriptions. The first thing I see is a little stream of everything that's on Apple, and then there’s “Continue Watching.” And it shows me if there's a new episode of something I’m already engaged with. It automatically keeps track across every major service (with the exception of Netflix, which refuses to play ball with Apple). And that’s great, because people want an experience where they can get a sense of everything that’s going on, all collected in one place.

In general, I would advocate for streamers to create channels within their apps that can present different experiences on the home page. I did a story on Netflix about eight years ago that mentioned its different channels, or “verticals.” You could have a channel for Virgin River people, for Hot Frosty people, and then you have another channel that does reality shows. Some platforms already have hub experiences, but they're poorly curated. What we need is curation. We need service operators to act like programmers.

KVA: It helps if they had a sense of what their own programming was in a broader sense, which does not often feel like the case for me. 

 

Viewers say decision fatigue drives nostalgia and repeat watches:

70% — “I’ll rewatch a show I’ve seen before over starting a new one if I’m feeling overwhelmed by browsing.”

68% — “I sometimes settle for a show that isn’t my top choice to avoid the frustration of endless scrolling.”

 

Seventy percent of respondents say that feeling overwhelmed by choice is the thing that prompts them to keep going back to old shows. This tracks to me: It informs the stories around buying big back catalogues like The Office and Friends. In my mind, it’s also an argument for the popularity of free ad-supported streaming television (FAST) channels. When you see this finding, what do you see?

KVA: That the value of familiarity is underappreciated. We have this obsession with novelty, particularly when we're talking about what’s exciting. The other thing is that there is little understanding of how to surface old things and get them in front of people who are consuming similar new things. There's so much opportunity there.

JA: Nostalgia has always been powerful, and it's something that streamers haven't always leveraged. Suits took people at Netflix and the industry by surprise, but it shouldn't have, because rediscovering shows is common. For the longest time, in the heyday of syndication, some of the most popular shows on TV would be shows from ten years previous that aired at 11 at night. Old episodes of Friends and Seinfeld would do incredibly well on syndication, and The Big Bang Theory has been a force in cable for going on 15 years now. 

The reason is that stations created time slots for them, and then they marketed. There was a strong sense of where and when I could find these shows. Streamers have failed to fix the fact that they unmoored us from time. There is no time slot. There is no sense of “this is the time of day when I get what I want.” There could be ways to get back into that if you change what your home page looks like based upon the time. 

People like the ability to lean back and experience television. Streaming makes you do all the work. FAST can solve for that. Unfortunately, too many FAST platforms are lazy — they’re basically just random binges. TV programming is about curation. Scheduling and programming are lost arts. If those come back, I think it will solve some of the frustration people have with not being able to find things. There's no reason Netflix can't do it. 

There are interesting findings about the behavior of parents. They're more likely than non-parents to cancel their subscriptions after finishing a show, to be influenced by online recommendations, to watch a show because people are talking about it, to tell everyone that you just binge-watched a show. Kathryn, what do you make of that?

KVA: It tracks to me. The experience of early parenthood is often isolating, and you have this need to use television the way that any kind of collective cultural experience is good for, which is that you show up at a preschool party with a bunch of parents and you're like, "Hey, what are you watching?" You’re desperate for these things that you can connect with other people about.

It’s a moment in your life where you need water-cooler things, and your available television time is more limited. So you want that appointment-television experience. You’re also more likely to be sitting and looking at your finances and say, "We're not going to pay for Netflix this month because we're paying for Peacock instead because the only thing that will get me through this child's teething is Love Island USA."

JA: I bet if we limited the survey to Disney+, we would see lower churn rates. It was the first of the legacy companies to really challenge Netflix, and it also had Disney marketing behind them. The fact is it's an essential product for parents. It has this huge library. Much of its viewing time is done through repeat library viewing. It works.

KVA: Bluey’s on Disney+. That’s all I need.

 

Binge-watching is messy:

~1 in 4 Gen-Zers and millennials say “I enjoy it, but sometimes feel a little embarrassed by how much I do it.”

 

It still seems that there are complicated feelings about the act of binge-watching. Roughly one in four Gen-Zers and millennials say they enjoy bingeing but feel a little embarrassed about doing it. Do you think this stigma has any effect on how platforms think about their relationship with viewers?

KVA: There was this moment where the cultural conversation around the behavior was like, "Oh my God, people are bingeing,” which invoked negative associations we have with a lack of self-control or lack of social interaction. It was as if everyone was sitting in the Wall-E pod in the spaceship. All these ideas are terrible and lacking in self-reflection about what a binge is.

Binge-viewing is also tied up in narratives about the negativity of screen time overall. We have not really sat and thought about what we mean when we say, “I binged something” versus “I just sat and I looked at my phone for 20 hours,” which has the same kinds of positive and negative associations. We really need to move past it. For my own kids, I spend a lot of time thinking about what they're watching rather than how much they are watching. 

JA: There's a bit of a difference between “bingeing” and “super-bingeing.” We didn't define this in the survey, but is watching all eight episodes of a Netflix drama over a course of a weekend really as much of a binge as “I’ve chosen one show I'm going to watch for days and days without stopping”? The reason Netflix does the binge is because it wants to control your time. Insidiously, there is this world where super-bingeing distracts people from watching current shows. If you're catching up on ER or Grey's Anatomy, you may take yourself out of the current ecosystem for a couple weeks.

At the same time, networks and streamers know they've got to create new long-binge experiences. Streamers are absolutely thinking about the future of that behavior. One of the reasons Casey Bloys was intent on making sure each season of The Pitt had 15 episodes is he saw what happened with Suits. He needs to create something that's going to have 120 episodes. You can't do that if you're only making eight episodes in three or four seasons. Everyone is aware they need to create shows with longer libraries, because they need to set up the next generation of binges.

***

Thanks to Two Cents Insights, a boutique research agency that partners with brands and digital platforms to transform research into actionable insights. Their expertise lies at the intersection of consumer needs and business goals, fueling differentiated go-to-market strategies and customer-centric product development.

 

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