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Sunday, December 26, 2021
Should you start your studs in Week 16? Well, as with anything, there's no "one weird trick" that's going to provide the right answer to every single lineup question, so be wary of anyone who tries to tell you there is. Your lineup, the matchups, and your own personal willingness to take risks will determine your decision making process, as always. 
However, I will say, "start your studs" is probably more right than wrong. Obviously, that doesn't mean you should start Saquon Barkley over Alexander Mattison with Dalvin Cook out just because of their draft prices, but that's because Mattison is a stud in his own right! But, given the stakes at this point in the season, it's easy to overthink your lineup decisions. I just had someone on Twitter ask me if they should start Justin Jackson over Tyreek Hill, and I can sort of see the logic that would get you to that point; Hill is coming off a bout with COVID and the Chiefs offense has been more miss than hit lately, while Jackson's got a great matchup against the Texans
But think of it this way: Who would you feel stupider about having on your bench if they blow up? Yeah, exactly. You don't always need to start your studs, but when in doubt, lean in that direction. That's why, despite the fact that they almost ruined my season last week, I'm going right back to my Joe Mixon/Tee Higgins/Ja'Marr Chase combination in one league. Sometimes, in the immortal words of The Hold Steady, you've gotta dance with who you came to the dance with
Of course, that doesn't mean that's an easy answer for every lineup decision. We're here to try to help you with the tough questions, and the first thing you should do is read the rest of this newsletter for all the injury updates and my latest rankings. The next thing you should do is reach out directly to us for help. Adam Aizer, Frank Stampfl and I are going live on the Fantasy Football Today YouTube channel at 11:30 to answer as many of your questions as we can -- literally hundreds of them. Come watch the stream, get your questions in, and let's get you some answers. 
And, of course, Jamey Eisenberg, Dave Richard, and Heath are on CBS Sports HQ until kickoff of the 1 p.m. games to answer your questions and keep you updated on all of the news you need to know on the FFT live show. You can also go to Twitter and use the hashtag "#AskFFT", where our whole team will be answering questions all morning. That's what Sunday morning is all about. 
Here's the rest of our preview content to get you ready, and check out my updated position rankings at the bottom of the newsletter to help with any early lineup dilemmas you may have: 
Quarterbacks
Injury Report
  • Out: Daniel Jones (neck), Lamar Jackson (ankle), Tyler Huntley (COVID), Taysom Hill (COVID), Teddy Bridgewater (concussion), Jared Goff (COVID), Trevor Siemian (COVID), Andy Dalton (hand)
So, that means Ian Book will be getting his first taste of NFL action for the Saints Monday against the Dolphins, while Josh Johnson will start for the Ravens against the Bengals, Drew Lock will start for the Broncos against the Raiders, and Tim Boyle will start for the Lions against the Falcons. None are recommended starters, but Book might be the most intriguing of the bunch for his rushing abilities. 
  • Questionable: Justin Fields (ankle)
Fields is questionable for Sunday's game, but Nick Foles has already been named the starter for the game against the Seahawks. Fields should get his starting job back in Week 17, but you can't use him this week -- and Foles is just a low-end QB2. 

It's also worth noting that Sam Darnold is off the IR after overcoming his shoulder injury and could see significant playing time this week, rendering Cam Newton unusable in all formats.   
Week 16 QB Rankings
  1. Justin Herbert @HOU
  2. Tom Brady @CAR
  3. Josh Allen @NE
  4. Jalen Hurts vs. NYG
  5. Patrick Mahomes vs. PIT
  6. Matthew Stafford @MIN
  7. Dak Prescott vs. WAS
  8. Russell Wilson vs. CHI
  9. Joe Burrow vs. BAL
  10. Tua Tagovailoa @NO
  11. Kirk Cousins vs. LAR
  12. Matt Ryan vs. DET
  13. Ben Roethlisberger @KC
  14. Derek Carr vs. DEN
  15. Trevor Lawrence @NYJ
  16. Ian Book vs. MIA
  17. Nick Foles @SEA
  18. Mac Jones vs. BUF
  19. Josh Johnson @CIN
  20. Drew Lock @LV
Running backs
Injury Report
  • Out: Dalvin Cook (COVID), Austin Ekeler (COVID), Leonard Fournette (hamstring), J.D. McKissic (concussion), Rhamondre Stevenson (COVID), D'Andre Swift (shoulder)
Alexander Mattison is my No. 2 RB for the week even against a tough matchup against the Rams. He's just been too good (and has gotten too many touches) when Cook is out to not view as an absolutely elite Fantasy option. Justin Jackson (@HOU) and Ronald Jones (@CAR) aren't far behind with Cooks and Fournette out respectively, as both are top-12 RBs for me. I would start both over, among others, Ezekiel Elliott, Javonte Williams, Cordarrelle Patterson, and Miles Sanders
  • Legitimately questionable: Antonio Gibson (toe), Damien Harris (hamstring), Brandon Bolden (knee), David Johnson (quad)
Gibson would be in the RB2 range if they play but wouldn't necessarily be must-start options given questions about their potential usage even if they do play. Gibson in particular looks risky given the nature of his injury and the fact that he dealt with a similar injury that lingered for months last year. Even if he plays, I would rank him behind, among others, Michael Carter, Myles Gaskin, and Devin Singletary.
If Harris plays, he'll be in the high-end RB3/low-end RB2 range for me. He should see plenty of carries, but the Bills are still a tough matchup and he'll always be pretty touchdown dependent because of his limited passing game role. He's a solid RB2 in non-PPR formats, thought. 
Week 16 RB Rankings
  1. Alexander Mattison vs. LAR
  2. James Robinson @NYJ
  3. Joe Mixon vs. BAL
  4. Alvin Kamara vs. MIA
  5. Josh Jacobs vs. DEN
  6. David Montgomery @SEA
  7. Najee Harris @KC
  8. Nick Chubb @GB
  9. Justin Jackson @HOU
  10. Ronald Jones @CAR
  11. Ezekiel Elliott vs. WAS
  12. Javonte Williams @LV
  13. Cordarrelle Patterson vs. DET
  14. Miles Sanders vs. NYG
  15. Sony Michel @MIN
  16. D'Andre Swift @ATL
  17. Saquon Barkley @PHI
  18. Clyde Edwards-Helaire vs. PIT
  19. Devin Singletary @NE
  20. Melvin Gordon @LV
  21. Myles Gaskin @NO
  22. Michael Carter vs. JAX
  23. Damien Harris vs. BUF
  24. Devonta Freeman @CIN
  25. Antonio Gibson @DAL
  26. Ameer Abdullah vs. TB
  27. Chuba Hubbard vs. TB
  28. Rex Burkhead vs. LAC
  29. Rashaad Penny vs. CHI
  30. DeeJay Dallas vs. CHI
  31. Darrel Williams vs. PIT
  32. Jamaal Williams @ATL
  33. Darrell Henderson @MIN
  34. Brandon Bolden vs. BUF
  35. Le'Veon Bell @CAR
  36. Mike Davis vs. DET
  37. Joshua Kelley @HOU
  38. Latavius Murray @CIN
  39. Jordan Howard vs. NYG
  40. Tevin Coleman vs. JAX
Wide receivers
  • Out: Mike Evans (hamstring), Chris Godwin (knee; IR, out for season), Brandin Cooks (COVID), Mike Williams (COVID), Cole Beasley (COVID), Gabriel Davis (COVID), Allen Robinson (COVID), Sterling Shepard (Achilles; IR), Breshad Perriman (COVID), Nelson Agholor (concussion), Jamison Crowder (calf), Tajae Sharpe (foot), Devin Duvernay (ankle), Laviska Shenault (COVID), John Ross (COVID), Jakeem Grant (concussion)
  • Legitimately questionable: Kadarius Toney (oblique), Curtis Samuel (hamstring), N'Keal Harry (hip), Tre'Quan Smith (shoulder), Josh Reynolds (thigh), Marquise Goodwin (foot), Kalif Raymond (shoulder), 
  • Expected to play: Adam Thielen (ankle), D.J. Moore (hamstring), 
So, wide receiver is where the most questions are this week, though there aren't actually that many real questions here. Or at least, there aren't many waiting for answers, since most of the relevant names have been ruled out already. Antonio Brown is a top-five WR for me with Evans and Godwin out, and Emmanuel Sanders is in the high-end WR3 discussion with Davis and Beasley out; Josh Palmer becomes an intriguing flier in PPR leagues with Williams out, though not more than a WR4 in 12-team leagues. The rest of the absences (or potential absences) are among pretty low-end guys, so there isn't much to be concerned about there.
Moore and Thielen, however, represent some pretty tough questions. I'm likely going to start both unless I have multiple really good options. I have Moore ranked ahead of, among others, Amon-Ra St. Brown, Marquise Brown, and Russell Gage, because he continues to see a ton of targets and is still averaging 70 yards per game in Cam Newton's four starts. Thielen ranks just behind him and that group because his yardage totals have been pretty lackluster even when healthy -- he'll need to find the end zone to have a great game, though he's more reliable in that regard than most. He's a top-24 WR for the week. 
Week 16 WR Rankings
  1. Cooper Kupp @MIN
  2. Davante Adams vs. CLE
  3. Justin Jefferson vs. LAR
  4. Tyreek Hill vs. PIT
  5. Keenan Allen @HOU
  6. Stefon Diggs @NE
  7. Antonio Brown @CAR
  8. Diontae Johnson @KC
  9. Hunter Renfrow vs. DEN
  10. Tyler Lockett vs. CHI
  11. Jaylen Waddle @NO
  12. CeeDee Lamb vs. WAS
  13. Tee Higgins vs. BAL
  14. D.J. Moore vs. TB
  15. Amon-Ra St. Brown @ATL
  16. Marquise Brown @CIN
  17. Russell Gage vs. DET
  18. Adam Thielen vs. LAR
  19. Ja'Marr Chase vs. BAL
  20. Terry McLaurin @DAL
  21. D.K. Metcalf vs. CHI
  22. Jarvis Landry @GB
  23. Amari Cooper vs. WAS
  24. Emmanuel Sanders @NE
  25. Chase Claypool @KC
  26. DeVante Parker @NO
  27. Odell Beckham @MIN
  28. Mike Williams @HOU
  29. Braxton Berrios vs. JAX
  30. Jakobi Meyers vs. BUF
  31. Jerry Jeudy @LV
  32. DeVonta Smith vs. NYG
  33. Van Jefferson @MIN
  34. Michael Gallup vs. WAS
  35. Tyler Boyd vs. BAL
  36. Allen Lazard vs. CLE
  37. Darnell Mooney @SEA
  38. Kenny Golladay @PHI
  39. Nico Collins vs. LAC
  40. Marvin Jones @NYJ
  41. Adam Humphries @DAL
  42. Rashod Bateman @CIN
Tight ends
  • Out: Darren Waller (knee/back), Travis Kelce (COVID), Pat Freiermuth (concussion), Donald Parham (concussion; IR), Adam Trautman (COVID), Juwan Johnson (COVID), Will Dissly (concussion)
Kelce is the biggest issue here, because there's just no possibility of replacing him with anyone you'd feel good about. Your top choices are probably Jared Cook, Gerald Everett, or James O'Shaughnessy, if they are available. If you really want to take a big swing, Evan Engram plays the Eagles, who have allowed the second-most receptions, yards, and touchdowns to tight ends. He had just three catches for 37 yards last time he faced the Eagles, but teammate Chris Myarick did find the end zone. Maybe that'll be Engram this time around. 
Week 16 TE Rankings
  1. Mark Andrews @CIN
  2. Rob Gronkowski @CAR
  3. Kyle Pitts vs. DET
  4. Dallas Goedert vs. NYG
  5. Dawson Knox @NE
  6. Dalton Schultz vs. WAS
  7. Gerald Everett vs. CHI
  8. Tyler Higbee @MIN
  9. James O'Shaughnessy @NYJ
  10. Ricky Seals-Jones @DAL
  11. Foster Moreau vs. DEN
  12. Jared Cook @HOU
  13. Mike Gesicki @NO
  14. Tyler Conklin vs. LAR
  15. Hunter Henry vs. BUF
  16. Cole Kmet @SEA
  17. Evan Engram @PHI
  18. Noah Fant @LV
  19. Brevin Jordan vs. LAC
  20. C.J. Uzomah vs. BAL
Flex Top 150
  1. Cooper Kupp @MIN
  2. Davante Adams vs. CLE
  3. Justin Jefferson vs. LAR
  4. Mark Andrews @CIN
  5. Tyreek Hill vs. PIT
  6. Keenan Allen @HOU
  7. Alexander Mattison vs. LAR
  8. James Robinson @NYJ
  9. Joe Mixon vs. BAL
  10. Alvin Kamara vs. MIA
  11. Stefon Diggs @NE
  12. Josh Jacobs vs. DEN
  13. David Montgomery @SEA
  14. Najee Harris @KC
  15. Nick Chubb @GB
  16. Justin Jackson @HOU
  17. Antonio Brown @CAR
  18. Ronald Jones @CAR
  19. Diontae Johnson @KC
  20. Ezekiel Elliott vs. WAS
  21. Javonte Williams @LV
  22. Hunter Renfrow vs. DEN
  23. Cordarrelle Patterson vs. DET
  24. Miles Sanders vs. NYG
  25. Sony Michel @MIN
  26. Tyler Lockett vs. CHI
  27. Jaylen Waddle @NO
  28. CeeDee Lamb vs. WAS
  29. D'Andre Swift @ATL
  30. Tee Higgins vs. BAL
  31. Saquon Barkley @PHI
  32. Clyde Edwards-Helaire vs. PIT
  33. Devin Singletary @NE
  34. D.J. Moore vs. TB
  35. Amon-Ra St. Brown @ATL
  36. Marquise Brown @CIN
  37. Rob Gronkowski @CAR
  38. Melvin Gordon @LV
  39. Myles Gaskin @NO
  40. Russell Gage vs. DET
  41. Michael Carter vs. JAX
  42. Damien Harris vs. BUF
  43. Adam Thielen vs. LAR
  44. Devonta Freeman @CIN
  45. Antonio Gibson @DAL
  46. Ameer Abdullah vs. TB
  47. Ja'Marr Chase vs. BAL
  48. Terry McLaurin @DAL
  49. D.K. Metcalf vs. CHI
  50. Jarvis Landry @GB
  51. Kyle Pitts vs. DET
  52. Amari Cooper vs. WAS
  53. Emmanuel Sanders @NE
  54. Chase Claypool @KC
  55. Chuba Hubbard vs. TB
  56. DeVante Parker @NO
  57. Rex Burkhead vs. LAC
  58. Odell Beckham @MIN
  59. Rashaad Penny vs. CHI
  60. Mike Williams @HOU
  61. Braxton Berrios vs. JAX
  62. Jakobi Meyers vs. BUF
  63. Dallas Goedert vs. NYG
  64. DeeJay Dallas vs. CHI
  65. Jerry Jeudy @LV
  66. Darrel Williams vs. PIT
  67. DeVonta Smith vs. NYG
  68. Van Jefferson @MIN
  69. Dawson Knox @NE
  70. Michael Gallup vs. WAS
  71. Tyler Boyd vs. BAL
  72. Allen Lazard vs. CLE
  73. Darnell Mooney @SEA
  74. Jamaal Williams @ATL
  75. Kenny Golladay @PHI
  76. Darrell Henderson @MIN
  77. Nico Collins vs. LAC
  78. Brandon Bolden vs. BUF
  79. Dalton Schultz vs. WAS
  80. Le'Veon Bell @CAR
  81. Gerald Everett vs. CHI
  82. Marvin Jones @NYJ
  83. Mike Davis vs. DET
  84. Adam Humphries @DAL
  85. Tyler Higbee @MIN
  86. James O'Shaughnessy @NYJ
  87. Joshua Kelley @HOU
  88. Latavius Murray @CIN
  89. Jordan Howard vs. NYG
  90. Tevin Coleman vs. JAX
  91. Ricky Seals-Jones @DAL
  92. Rashod Bateman @CIN
  93. Foster Moreau vs. DEN
  94. Laquon Treadwell @NYJ
  95. Duke Johnson @NO
  96. Jared Cook @HOU
  97. Mike Gesicki @NO
  98. Donovan Peoples-Jones @GB
  99. Bryan Edwards vs. DEN
  100. Tim Patrick @LV
  101. Devontae Booker @PHI
  102. Robby Anderson vs. TB
  103. Mark Ingram vs. MIA
  104. Samaje Perine vs. BAL
  105. Tyler Conklin vs. LAR
  106. K.J. Osborn vs. LAR
  107. Hunter Henry vs. BUF
  108. Kendrick Bourne vs. BUF
  109. Tyler Johnson @CAR
  110. Cole Kmet @SEA
  111. Olamide Zaccheaus vs. DET
  112. Scott Miller @CAR
  113. Albert Wilson @NO
  114. Marquez Callaway vs. MIA
  115. Laviska Shenault @NYJ
  116. Peyton Barber vs. DEN
  117. Nelson Agholor vs. BUF
  118. Freddie Swain vs. CHI
  119. Evan Engram @PHI
  120. Noah Fant @LV
  121. Brevin Jordan vs. LAC
  122. C.J. Uzomah vs. BAL
  123. Corey Clement vs. WAS
  124. Zay Jones vs. DEN
  125. Mecole Hardman vs. PIT
  126. DeAndre Carter @DAL
  127. Courtland Sutton @LV
  128. Jonathan Williams @DAL
  129. Curtis Samuel @DAL
  130. Sammy Watkins @CIN
  131. O.J. Howard @CAR
  132. Josh Palmer @HOU
  133. Dare Ogunbowale @NYJ
  134. Ray-Ray McCloud @KC
  135. Zach Gentry @KC
  136. Demarcus Robinson vs. PIT
  137. Albert Okwuegbunam @LV
  138. Jamison Crowder vs. JAX
  139. Craig Reynolds @ATL
  140. Travis Kelce vs. PIT
  141. Gabriel Davis @NE
  142. Tajae Sharpe vs. DET
  143. Jalen Reagor vs. NYG
  144. Quez Watkins vs. NYG
  145. Keelan Cole vs. JAX
  146. Jonnu Smith vs. BUF
  147. Rhamondre Stevenson vs. BUF
  148. Kenneth Gainwell vs. NYG
  149. Marquez Valdes-Scantling vs. CLE
  150. James Washington @KC
 
 
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