| Lemonade brings investors to its yard | An oldie but a goodie |
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Hi John, here's what you need to know for July 6th in 3:12 minutes.

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Today's big stories

  1. Fintech Lemonade’s stock bubbled up after its initial public offering
  2. One major investment manager thinks the potential for attractive returns lies in more adventurous markets – Read Now
  3. The world’s largest pension fund was wrong-footed by the first-quarter selloff
1/3

Ever Sodalicious

Ever Sodalicious

What’s Going On Here?

Lemonade’s eagerly awaited initial public offering (IPO) last week had investors lined up around the block for the insurance fintech’s sweet, refreshing shares.

What Does This Mean?

Lemonade is one of a handful of new so-called “insurtechs” using artificial intelligence and behavioral economics to determine how much homeowners and renters should pay for insurance – hopefully more efficiently than its incumbent rivals. And it has all the hallmarks of a fast-growing tech business: revenue that was 200% higher last year than the year before, annual losses that eclipsed said revenue, and the all-too-familiar warning that the firm may never become profitable.

But thirsty investors wanted that nectar no matter what. Lemonade initially set its share price between $23 and $26, but such was the demand that it was soon raised to between $26 and $28. And after its shares hit the stock exchange at a still-higher $29, they went on to more than double just a few hours later – meaning Lemonade is already worth over $3 billion. Who said insurance was boring? (Tweet this)

Why Should I Care?

The bigger picture: The IPO Strikes Back.
Alongside Lemonade, benefits platform Accolade completed its IPO last week, raising $220 million and gaining investors’, sigh, accolades. Then news broke on Friday that Chinese beverage giant Wahaha was weighing up an IPO to raise $1 billion. Throw in the three Japanese companies that went public last month, and it's starting to seem like IPOs are back with a vengeance…

For you personally: IP-Nope.
A new stock’s first-day performance often determines whether investors see its IPO as a success, especially in the US. But buyer beware: the average day one rise of a new stock in the US is 18%, but according to Bloomberg, most of that benefit falls at the feet of existing investors – SoftBank, in Lemonade’s case – as new backers drive up the stock price. What’s more, 60% of IPO stocks will be trading below their initial price five years down the line.

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2/3 Premium

Emergency Measures

What’s Going On Here?

Target interest rates in emerging economies are also at historic lows – and with many central banks’ bond-buying programs ongoing, adventurous investors may find opportunities abroad.

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3/3

Senior Moment

Senior Moment

What’s Going On Here?

The world’s biggest pension fund – Japan’s Government Pension Investment Fund – was none too pleased to have suffered its worst-ever loss in the first quarter, but at least it’s started to clean up its mess…

What Does This Mean?

Like almost everyone else, Japanese investors were wrongfooted by the coronavirus outbreak. But the country’s government pension fund was so out of step that it lost a grand total of $165 billion – pretty much everything it’d made throughout 2019.

Most of the blame rests on the shoulders of the foreign and domestic stocks that make up roughly half the pension fund’s investment portfolio. Bonds, which made up the other half, did much better: the country’s own lost “just” $2 billion in the first quarter, while international bonds made $1 billion – perhaps thanks to the global investors who flocked to their relative safety.

Why Should I Care?

For you personally: We’re doomed! Just kidding.
Investors are right to be worried by news that the fund lost dramatic sums. Pensioners rely on regular income from funds like this one, after all – and even if you’re some way away from retirement yourself, you’re looking at the same potential difficulties your own future pension payer could hit one day. But before you start hiding your cash under the bed, here’s the good news: a little bit of portfolio rebalancing and the Japanese government pension fund has already bounced back – which is why you might want to do the same to your own investments.

For markets: You win some, you lose some.
Japan’s Government Pension Investment Fund has been split more evenly between local and international stocks and bonds since April, which should help it avoid another embarrassing mishap if things take a turn for the worse. Of course, it also meant the fund didn’t benefit as much from the stock market recovery last quarter as it would’ve if it’d had a greater proportion of risky assets.

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💬 Quote of the day

“A good compromise is one where everybody makes a contribution.”

– Angela Merkel (a German politician and the Chancellor of Germany)
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😍 Thank goodness for Yusuf…

It’s true: we put a lot of focus on the US, Europe, and Asia in our daily newsletter. But that’s why we’re so lucky to have so many smart Finimizers to fill in the gaps for us. Case in point: our Nigerian Finimizer, Yusuf, who’s hosting his very own event on COVID’s impact on his country’s economy. Trust us, you’re in safe hands.

🇳🇬 Nigeria: COVID-19 & The Nigerian Economy – 5pm West Africa Time, July 11th
🇭🇰 Hong Kong: Imagining Asia’s Next Decade – 9pm Hong Kong Time, July 14th
🇩🇪 Germany: Is Cash Still King in Germany? – 3pm Berlin Time, July 15th
🇺🇸 USA: IP Risk During A Pandemic – 11am New York Time, July 15th
🇦🇺 Australia: Women & Money (in-person) – 5.30pm Perth Time, July 22nd
🌎 Global: Finimize Live AMA – 1.30pm UK Time, July 28th

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