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GM. This is Milk Road. We print crypto insights faster than a central bank prints cash! |
Here’s what we got for you today: |
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IS CHINA ABOUT TO PUMP OUR $ETH & $BTC BAGS? ⛽ |
History doesn’t repeat itself, but it often rhymes. |
Just look at these Bitcoin and Ethereum charts… |
Sure, the 2023/2024 charts aren’t perfectly correlated – but the patterns are pretty darn close! |
Check this out… |
1/ $BTC 2023 vs. 2024 |
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2/ $ETH 2023 vs. 2024 |
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Ok – first up: That’s wild! |
Second: Why is this happening – don’t crypto cycles operate on a four year basis, instead of one? 🤔 |
Big picture – yes, they typically follow the liquidity cycle set by the US Federal Reserve. |
You can see how the four year cycle of “pump the system with cash → pause → repeat” has led $BTC to grow from ~$500 and reach $70k+ over the past decade. |
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…but don’t forget: The US ain’t the only player in this game. |
Asia has a significant impact on global markets – and at its head, lies China – which dances to a different beat. 🇨🇳 |
China has a habit of operating on an accelerated schedule, pushing cash into its financial system throughout Q4, most years. |
This yearly cash injection is likely a big reason why, in 2023 (while the US was restricting liquidity with increased interest rates), we saw $BTC and $ETH follow the pattern of blasting off through Q4, and into Q1 of the following year. |
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…so what’s the likelihood we see history repeat (or at the very least, rhyme)? |
Well, if it’s going to happen at all, 2024 is the year for it – because right now, China is enacting its “most aggressive stimulus” since COVID. 👇 |
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Not ideal for the Chinese Yuan (an increase in supply debases its overall value), but great for scarce assets that can’t be debased by a centralized authority (like crypto). 😎 |
Now – this doesn't guarantee the 2024 charts are going to continue correlating with 2023 as closely as they have so far…but they’ll likely stay directionally aligned for a period of time. |
And that’s worth getting excited about! |
Cause, right now, that direction is pointing up. 🚀 |
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WHERE CAN $SOL WIN OUT OVER $ETH? 🥊 |
Crypto is a ‘winner take most’ kinda game. |
Which can be a tough pill to swallow when investing in L1s. |
Sure, it’d be great if they could all win, pumping our respective bags in equal amounts… |
But this isn’t a Hallmark movie – it’s finance. Which, despite its formal/buttoned up appearance, is kind of a blood sport. 🩸 |
In the race to become the dominant player in ‘programmable money’ – VanEck (a global investment management firm with $100B of assets under management) tends to favor Ethereum over all else. |
…yet they still have a 2030 bull case for Solana set at $3,211 (roughly a 22x from today’s prices). 🤯 |
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Initial reaction: Hell yeah! The Milk Road Portfolio will benefit nicely if that potential is realized. |
Follow up question: Where can Solana win? |
VanEck’s Matthew Sigel sees low cost, everyday payments (think: paying for coffee, groceries, gas etc.) as one of crypto’s most obvious ‘killer apps.’ 👀 |
He’s optimistic that a 100M user payments app can (and likely will) exist…and puts the odds of Solana being the network to host that app, right up there alongside Ethereum. |
…how do we know this? |
He just told us (like a few hours ago), on today’s episode of The Milk Road Show. |
In this episode, we got the chance to pepper Matthew with all of our burning questions surrounding Solana and its future potential – including, but not limited to: |
What does the future of the L1 landscape look like? What’s required to get $SOL to $3,211 by 2030 (and what are the inherent risks)? VanEck’s initial model predicted that $SOL would not flip $ETH…has that changed?
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It’s an alpha-packed episode that you won’t want to miss! |
Click below to listen now. 👇 |
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YouTube | Spotify | Apple Podcasts |
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PRO “WHERE ARE WE IN THE CYCLE?” INDICATORS 🤔 |
Crypto prices have seen a nice little bump of late! |
But before you start going all ‘John Wick’ on your X feed (👇) — it might be worth checking where we’re at in the current cycle first. |
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Monitoring the crypto cycle is a crucial practice for anyone looking to capture the best opportunities in the market. |
The goal is to spot the bull market peak before the inevitable bear market hits your bags hard. |
Since timing the top perfectly is almost impossible, we use various indicators to give us a better shot at taking profits before it's too late. |
Below are the 5 indicators we track, with a color-coded system to show how close they are to signalling the market peak: |
🟢 Plenty of room to run 🏄 |
🟡 Getting closer to the top signal, but haven’t yet reached the mark ⚠️ |
🔴 We’ve hit the market top indicator 🚨 |
Every Tuesday, we update these 5 indicators exclusively for PRO members. |
Our advice? Don't wait for all of them to hit 🔴. It's better to take profits as they get closer to that point. |
Let's dive in and see if we're anywhere near the top of this bull market. 👇 |
| GO PRO AND UNLOCK: | Full access to the 5 bull market peak indicators above to help you spot the bull market top before it’s too late Full access to the Milk Road PRO Portfolio 📈 NEW: Our yield strategies 👀 Weekly reports that will help you invest successfully in crypto 💰 Access to the PRO Community, where the Milk Road crew & 100s of fellow PROs talk crypto 🫂 50% OFF the Crypto Investing Masterclass
| | PRO REVIEW OF THE WEEK | |
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BITE-SIZED COOKIES FOR THE ROAD 🍪 |
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Polymarket is targeting $50M in funding as it experiences a surge in election betting ahead of the 2024 U.S. elections. With nearly $1 billion wagered on its platform, Polymarket also plans to launch a new token to enhance real-world event validation. |
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DISCLAIMER: None of this is financial advice. This newsletter is strictly educational and is not investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any assets or to make any financial decisions. Please be careful and do your own research. |