The UK's the worst of a bad bunch | Inditex might be ready to shop |

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Today's big stories

  1. Two major economic organizations lowered their growth expectations for this year
  2. With signs emerging that stocks might be about to rally, here are the ones that could benefit most – Read Now
  3. Inditex reported booming quarterly profits

Dark Days

Dark Days

What’s Going On Here?

Not one, but two major intergovernmental economic organizations slashed their forecasts for global economic growth this week.

What Does This Mean?

The OECD and the World Bank weren’t exactly in good spirits when they gave their 2022 forecasts in December and January, and it goes without saying that a lot’s happened since then. Just a recap in case you’ve been off the grid: the Ukraine war has driven up the price of energy and food across the world, while China’s zero-Covid policy has disrupted international trade. So things were only going to go one way: the OECD has now downgraded its global economic forecast from 4.5% to 3%, and the World Bank from 4.1% to 2.9%. Both of them put it down to skyrocketing prices, with the OECD even near-doubling its inflation forecast for its member countries in 2022.

Why Should I Care?

The bigger picture: Brits are in the…
As for next year, the OECD is expecting the global economy will grow just 2.8%. But its outlook for one country is particularly dire: the organization doesn’t think the UK economy will grow at all. That’s because its inflation rate is higher than most other advanced economies, meaning it’ll need to raise interest rates faster to keep prices under control. That and rising taxes will put a dampener on spending, which could cripple the UK’s growth. In fact, only Russia – hobbled by sanctions – is set to perform worse among the G20.

Zooming out: It could be worse.
The OECD did say that it was more hopeful that we wouldn’t see stagflation – the combination of high inflation, low growth – on the scale that we did in the 1970s, when an oil price surge led to runaway prices and severe unemployment. It pointed out that developed economies are driven more by services than by energy these days, while central banks – now mostly independent from governments – are freer to make tough decisions to tackle inflation.

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Analyst Take

Is This The Rally You’ve Been Waiting For?

Is This The Rally You’ve Been Waiting For?
Photo of Carl Hazeley

Carl Hazeley, Analyst

It’s hard not to feel like we’re in a state of limbo right now.

After all, we’re just waiting to see if some bleak economic news will suddenly drive stocks even lower than the 13% they’ve already fallen this year.

Or maybe we’re hoping for something to suggest there’s life in the old stocks yet, giving us a glimmer of hope for some much-needed gains.

Well, it turns out there might already be a few encouraging signs, as well as a handful of stocks that could benefit most if this bounceback does come to pass.

So that’s today’s Insight: the signs of life in the stock market, and the stocks and ETFs you could buy into to profit.

Read or listen to the Insight here

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Moneybags

Moneybags

What’s Going On Here?

Inditex – the world’s biggest clothing house – announced on Wednesday that it finally made more in profit last quarter than it did before the pandemic.

What Does This Mean?

Let’s face it, the dream is over: you had no choice but to start wearing pants – or as we call them, leg prisons – once lockdowns came to an end. So you’ve been rushing in your droves to the likes of Massimo Dutti, Pull&Bear, and fast-to-market brand Zara, which helped parent company Inditex bring in 36% more revenue and 80% more profit last quarter than the same time in 2021 (tweet this). Demand was so high, in fact, that Inditex was able to navigate two potentially disastrous pitfalls. For one thing, it was able to offset the 24% rise in operating costs by upping its prices without losing customers. And for another, its strong showing in the UK, the US, and Europe made up for the closure of over 500 stores in Russia – its second-biggest market by real estate.

Why Should I Care?

Zooming in: If you can’t beat ‘em, buy ‘em.
Despite a tough time during the pandemic, Inditex has now amassed a cash pile of around $10 billion. And while hoarding cash has always been part of its playbook, analysts are speculating that it could be eyeing a big purchase in the form of struggling German online retailer Zalando. That could be a shrewd move, both because it would eliminate a competitor and allow Inditex to profit from the company’s digital know-how. It wouldn’t break the bank either: Zalando’s shares have halved in value since January.

The bigger picture: Inditex goes shabby chic.
Fast fashion and the environment aren’t exactly happy bedfellows, but Inditex is trying to change that: the company agreed last month to buy 30% of the recycled fiber produced by Finland’s Infinited Fiber Company for three years in a deal worth $100 million. It’s all part of a broader push toward more sustainable materials that should see Inditex making outfits entirely out of clothing waste from 2024.

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💬 Quote of the day

“Everybody talks about the weather, but nobody does anything about it.”

– Charles Dudley Warner (an American essayist and novelist)
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🌎 Finimize Live

🎉 Coming Up This Week

All events are in UK time.

🌿 Why The Weed Industry Is Growing So Fast: 12pm, June 9th
🎮 How To 1UP Your Portfolio With Video Games: 5pm, June 9th
🤔 Should You Invest In Bonds?: 5pm, June 10th
🏦 What’s Next For The Banking Sector?: 1pm, June 13th
🎨 What Will Lead To Mass Adoption Of NFTs?: 5pm, June 13th
🎉 How To Invest Early In Polkadot Projects: 12pm, June 14th
🌍 How And Where To Invest In Africa: 5pm, June 14th
🚀 Finimize NFT Fest: 12pm, 15th June
🏡 Real Estate In The Metaverse with Unstoppable Domains: 1pm, June 15th
💻 The Path To Achieving Mass Adoption Of Web 3.0 with Unstoppable Domains: 4pm, June 15th
🌿 Is The Grass Greener For Cannabis Investors?: 5pm, June 16th
📉 What To Do In A Declining Market?: 7pm, June 16th

💪 And Then After That…

😎 The Impact Of Web3 On Music, Culture, And Community: 12pm, June 17th
👉 Mining Crypto With IoT Devices: 6pm, June 17th
♻️ The Pros And Cons Of Investing In Green Energy Today: 12pm, June 21st
⛔️ How Not To Invest In The Next Luna: 1pm, June 22nd
🥕 Investing In The Rise Of Plant-Based Food: 1pm, June 23rd
🤗 Investing In Metaverse Opportunities: 5pm, June 23rd
♻️ Analysing Emerging Trends In Green Stocks: 5pm, June 27th
🇺🇸 How To Prepare For A Recession: 1pm, June 29th
🏠 Blockchain And Real Estate: What’s Next?: 6pm, June 29th
🏘 How To Diversify Your Crypto Investments Through Commercial Real Estate: 6pm, August 3rd
🏡 Tokenizing Real Estate: 6pm, September 13th

🎯 On Our Radar

  1. Sorry, Apple. The EU says you need to change your chargers.
  2. No more “hiding the crazy”. This piercing addict is loud and proud.
  3. Robots are cloning animals now. How could this possibly go wrong?
  4. California needs more goats. At least if the state wants to fix its wildfire problem.
  5. Minimalism is out.Carnivalcore” is in.
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