Absa gives us a clue

Good Morning Voornaam,

Are you interested in Capital Appreciation or Spear REIT? The next Unlock the Stock event is scheduled for Thursday at midday and as always, attendance is free thanks to our partner A2X. Put on your equity analyst hat for an hour by registering for the event here>>>

A new week means a new episode of the Ghost Wrap podcast, brought to you by Mazars. Designed by a busy ghost for busy investors, this covers eight companies every week in approximately as many minutes. This week, I looked at industrial players Bell Equipment, Invicta and Sasol. Tharisa b>was there from the mining sector, with Bytes Technology and Absa adding more sectors to the mix. Finally, there were property updates from Accelerate Property Fund and RMB Holdings. Get everything you need to know in this podcast>>>

In the latest episode of Magic Markets, it's time to get out the tractors and combine harvesters and learn about the local agriculture industry. There is literally nobody better to talk to in this space than Wandile Sihlobo. To give you some idea, he left a sitting of President Ramaphosa's Presidential Economic Advisory Council shortly before recording this podc ast with us. For discussion topics ranging from the impact of weather through to how lucrative it still is to stay and farm in South Africa, listen to Episode 133 here>>>

Is the banking party over?

Higher (and the "er" is important here) interest rates and demand for credit creates a lovely environment for banks. They can lend more and charge more for the privilege, with expanding net interest margin and positive JAWS (income growing faster than expenses).

But at some point, the ghost of impairments arrives. Not all ghosts are friendly. Or purple, for that matter.

This ghost is burning bright red at the moment, with credit loss ratios increasi ng sharply. This ruins the party for banks, as it means that earnings growth is nowhere near as exciting as it used to be. Are we now in a space of high interest rates, not just higher interest rates?

To get this information from Absa and to learn more about Ninety One and Rebosis while you're at it, read this morning's edition of Ghost Bites here>>>

The dollar had a bad week

Last week was all about dollar weakness. The dollar index reached its lowest level since early 2022, with the rand strengthening by over R1.00 against the dollar in the space of just a few days. Despite news that all five heads of state will attend the BRICS conference in South Africa in August, the rand's behaviour hasn't changed.

TreasuryONE notes that in the week ahead, we can expect US Retail Sales to cause more uncertainty for the dollar if it disappoints. Eurozone and UK inflation numbers are likely to impact major currencies as well. For the rand, geopolitics and load shedding could impact the story.

With that, I wish you a productive week ahead!

Ghost Bites (Absa | Ninety One | Rebosis)

Absa has given a very important update for the interim period, reflecting a sharp jump in the credit loss ratio that has muted HEPS growth. Also look out for news from Ninety One and Rebosis.

Used correctly, bolt-on acquisitions can be a wonderful way to grow. The deal prices make a huge difference to success, as does having a coherent strategy. Salesforce and Home Depot are useful examples.

Ghost Global: Go Big or Go Bolt-On
 

There was important news from various industrial players like Bell, Invicta and Sasol. Absa gave an important outlook on banking. Also look out for updates from Tharisa, RMB Holdings, Accelerate Property Fund and Bytes.

 

Agriculture expert Wandile Sihlobo joined us to talk about the impact of weather, the performance of the local agriculture industry and whether it remains lucrative for farmers.

 

Grant Field, CEO of Fedgroup, joined me to talk about their impact investing platform and how this offers and exciting and accessible entry point into alternative assets. I highly recommend giving this a listen.

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