| Chevron lost how much? | Europe's shrinking |
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Hi John, here's what you need to know for February 3rd in 3:08 minutes.

☕️ Finimized over a café prensa at Chez Fred in Maputo, Mozambique (27°C/81°F ⛅️)

Today's big stories

  1. Oil producers ExxonMobil and Chevron posted disappointing results, and a plunging oil price could make matters worse
  2. The UK’s departure from the European Union might not mean what investors think – Read Now
  3. European countries published disappointing economic data, which showed France and Italy’s economies shrank last quarter
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Dance Dance Devolution

Dance Dance Devolution

What’s Going On Here?

Chevron is scrambling to keep up as the oil price goes down, down, down – but the $6.6 billion loss the oil company just delivered might’ve knocked it completely off balance.

What Does This Mean?

It’s not easy to look past the $10.4 billion worth of write-offs Chevron suffered after some big production plans went badly wrong. But if investors try, they’ll also see 24%-lower adjusted profits compared to the same time a year ago, as well as lower-than-expected revenue.

Chevron's rivals shouldn’t be too pleased with themselves, either: ExxonMobil might’ve beaten revenue estimates, but profits were almost 30% lower than a year before. And things are so dire at Royal Dutch Shell – where profits fell almost 50% – that the company has reduced share buybacks, which were pushing up the value of its stock (tweet this). Investors looking for a more reliable return, then, might be more forgiving of Chevron’s current predicament: the oil giant’s going through some stuff, sure, but it did just raise its dividend on Thursday.

Why Should I Care?

For markets: No rest for the wicked.
The primary culprit of oil firms’ woes is a low oil price: it averaged $71 per barrel in 2018, but just $64 in 2019. The oil price is heavily dependent on global economic growth, so it goes up when times are good and companies are active. But that decidedly didn’t happen last year, and continued oversupply from American shale oil firms is only making matters worse. And now the coronavirus pandemic has brought global travel to its knees, oil’s troubles might just be beginning: its price fell almost 15% in January.

The bigger picture: Stem the bleeding.
Over 40% of all oil comes from OPEC+, a group of oil-producing countries that uses its stature to influence the oil price. They’ve already reduced production to try to boost the price in the last few years, and they may now hold an emergency meeting to cut supply further.

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2/3 Premium Story

Happy B-Day

The United Kingdom has officially left the European Union – three-and-a-half years after the controversial vote to do just that. There are a lot of rumors flying around about will and won’t change in the near term, and what investors should be looking out for. But who knows what to believe? We do. We know.

Get the full story in the Finimize app

3/3

Watch Your Language

Watch Your Language

What’s Going On Here?

Europe had una catástrofe on Friday: a flurry of nicht gut economic data showed growth in its major economies is – how do you say – merde.

What Does This Mean?

New data revealed the eurozone’s economy grew just 0.1% last quarter – slower than the 0.2% investors were expecting. And that was down to a whole host of problèmes across its major economies.

Just look at Italy: its economy shrank 0.3% last quarter, when it was actually forecast to grow by 0.1%. Things were similarly désagréable in France, where a series of strikes (quelle surprise) seems to have killed the country’s vibe: the economy shrank last quarter, dragging annual economic growth down from 2018 levels. And over in Germany, December retail sales fell 3.3% from a month earlier – significantly worse than the 0.5% growth investors were hoping for. Only Spain saw economic growth pick up, but even that was its weakest since 2014. No me gusta.

Why Should I Care?

For markets: Très interessant...
Investors in France might want to take this data with a pinch of salt. One of the reasons the country underperformed last quarter was because companies were clearing out their inventories rather than making new products. Without that hopefully one-off occurrence, growth would’ve actually been positive – perhaps why investment bank Barclays remains “cautiously optimistic” about France’s future. What’s more, investors reckon the weak data might encourage Europe’s central bank to cut interest rates – despite increasing inflation.

The bigger picture: Y’all seeing this?
The situation was better in the US, where the economy grew 2.3% last year. But that’s still below 2018’s 2.9% increase, and well below the 3% growth the US government expected its tax cuts to stimulate. Things don’t look like they’ll pick up much this year, either: growth is forecast to slow to just 1.8%. And with November’s election looming, that could prove a sticking point for the sitting US president…

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💬 Quote of the day

“I do not try to dance better than anyone else. I only try to dance better than myself.”

– Arianna Huffington (a Greek-American author, syndicated columnist, and businesswoman)
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⚡️ Lightning insights

WeWork brought in $1.5 billion in revenue in the first half of 2019 – but still managed to lose $200,000 every hour.

That might be why its valuation fell $40 billion in a matter of weeks. If only SoftBank, its biggest investor, had read our Pack going deep into WeWork’s problems. Still, at least you can get prepared before it… IPOs? Read our Pack

📚 What we're reading

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