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Thursday, September 7, 2023
Tua Tagovailoa comes into the season with pretty significant questions, but not about how well he's going to play in this Dolphins offense. When healthy, Tagovailoa proved last season he can be one of the most productive passers in the NFL , and he's healthy right now, so we're going to take advantage in what should be one of the biggest shootouts in the league against the Chargers in Week 1.
Take out the games Tagovailoa left early due to injuries last season, and he was on pace for over 5,000 yards and nearly 40 passing touchdowns, and he'll be looking for a bit of revenge thise week, as the Chargers were one of the only defenses to actually manage to slow him down -- he completed just 10 of 28 passes for 145 yards and one score in their matchup last December.
Maybe Brandon Staley and Co. have the secret to slowing this high-powered attack down. Or maybe it was just a flukey, one-off thing. I'm willing to bet on that, and so is Jamey, who named Tagovailoa the Start of the Week for this matchup. I'd feel even better about it if Terron Armstead, his starting left tackle, were cleared to play, but as long as Tagovailoa, Jaylen Waddle, and Tyreek Hill are healthy, this should be a tough offense to slow down. 
In this afternoon's newsletter, we've got all of Jamey's Start 'Em & Sit 'Em pieces ready to help you make the right calls, and some of you are definitely going to need the help, because you're starting the season off behind the eight ball with Travis Kelce ruled out for Thursday's season opener. I wrote about the top replacement options for Kelce in my TE rankings for Week 1, which you can head here to read , but long story short is: If Tyler Higbee is available in your league, he's the guy. If not, look for Gerald Everett, Jake Ferguson, or Luke Musgrave . Or, if you want to still have a little skin in the game tonight, see if Lions rookie Sam LaPorta is available. 
You can read more about why Jamey expects big things from Tagovailoa this week, along with the rest of his Start 'Em & Sit 'Em calls here, with a sneak peak at the top options at each position below, but first, here's everything else you need from the FFT team to make sure you've got the best lineup possible set for Week 1: 
Start 'Em: Kirk Cousins and Geno Smith
"Cousins has scored at least 23.1 Fantasy points per game in each of his past three season openers, and he should have the chance for another strong outing this week against Tampa Bay at home. Cousins was excellent at home last season when he scored at least 22.3 Fantasy points in 7-of-9 games in Minnesota, and he combined for 70.6 Fantasy points in his past two games there in the regular season against the Colts in Week 15 and the Giants in Week 16."
"If you followed anything I've written or said this offseason then you know I'm excited about Richardson's outlook this year. But I want to see what he looks like in Week 1 against Jacksonville before starting him in one-quarterback leagues. He should still be started in Superflex and two-quarterback formats, and I hope that I'm wrong to put him in this category. Jacksonville's defense could force Richardson into multiple turnovers, and he might need to have a huge rushing performance to save his stat line in Week 1."
"This should be a great game for Jahmyr Gibbs because the Chiefs are annually horrible at stopping pass-catching running backs, and he's a must-start option in Week 1, especially in PPR. But Montgomery should be considered a must-start option as well with standout Kansas City defensive lineman Chris Jones unlikely to play because of his holdout. In what should be a high-scoring affair with a projected over-under of 52.5, look for Montgomery to finish as a top-15 running back in all leagues."
Sit 'Em: James Cook and Isiah Pacheco
"I expect Cook to be the lead running back in Buffalo this season, but given the matchup, I would like to see what the backfield split looks like in Week 1 at the Jets before starting Cook in all leagues. At best, he should be used as a flex, with his value slightly higher in PPR. Damien Harris could play a prominent role, especially at the goal line, and we know Josh Allen remains a factor there is well. Since the Jets defense is dominant up front, Cook might find running lanes hard to come by, and we'll see how much he's used in the passing game this week. The Jets also come into this game having not allowed a running back to score a touchdown in five games in a row."
Start 'Em: Mike Williams and Tyler Lockett
"When Williams is healthy you should plan to start him, and he's ready to go for Week 1. Last year in Week 14 against Miami, Williams went off for six catches for 116 yards and a touchdown on six targets. I'm excited to see the Chargers move their receivers around, and Williams should see time in the slot, meaning he can avoid Xavien Howard if that's a concern. This game should light up the scoreboard with a projected over-under of 51, and Williams has top-15 upside this week. Keenan Allen is also worth starting in all leagues as well."
"Davis was bad in two games against the Jets last season with a combined five catches for 64 yards on nine targets. This is a great secondary with Sauce Gardner, D.J. Reed and Michael Carter II , and Davis could struggle once again on Monday night. I'd still start Stefon Diggs despite the tough coverage, but it's easy to get away from Davis in this matchup. At best, he should be considered a low-end No. 3 receiver in three-receiver leagues."
Start 'Em: Tyler Higbee
"Seattle has been in the top 10 in most PPR points allowed to opposing tight ends in three of the past four seasons, including No. 2 in 2022. That's one plus for Higbee. The other plus is Cooper Kupp (hamstring) is out this week, so look for Higbee to get more opportunities from Matthew Stafford in this matchup. While Van Jefferson and Puka Nacua will obviously benefit with Kupp out, Higbee could lead the Rams in targets in this matchup, making him a top-10 Fantasy tight end heading into Week 1."
Sit 'Em: Dalton Schultz
"We'll see how Schultz does in his first game with the Texans, but I'm nervous to trust him at Baltimore. It's really that I'm nervous about rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud making his first start on the road against this defense, and all of his weapons could struggle. I'm hopeful that Schultz will deliver a strong performance for Fantasy managers counting on him this week, but I don't consider him a top-15 tight end in the majority of leagues."
Start 'Em: Commanders vs. ARI
"As of Wednesday morning, we still don't know who will start at quarterback for the Cardinals out of Joshua Dobbs or Clayton Tune , but it shouldn't matter. Arizona is going to be a bad team all season, and you'll want to stream the opposing DST against the Cardinals each week if you can. In the case of the Commanders, this happens to be a good DST playing at home, so you're in great shape using this option in Week 1."
Sit 'Em: Patriots vs. PHI
"Depending on your scoring system, the Patriots DST was No. 1 last season in most Fantasy leagues, and this should once again be a top-tier unit. But this week, don't expect a stellar showing against the Eagles. While Philadelphia might have some struggles running the ball, this offensive line should do a good job protecting Jalen Hurts as always, and the Eagles should be able to put points on the board. Unless Hurts gets careless with the ball - and he only had six interceptions and two fumbles last year - then the Patriots DST should post minimal production in Week 1."
 
 
Saturday, it's a double-dose of college football on CBS. First, at 3:30 PM ET we take our first trip of the season to The Big House for UNLV at #2 Michigan. Then at 7:30, UCLA meets San Diego State. It all begins at 2:30 PM ET in the studio with our College Football Kickoff crew, followed by College Football Today.
Watch Live
 
Sunday, the NFL on CBS kicks off our Super Bowl season with a week 1 doubleheader. The early games feature the Bengals taking on the Browns, then Jalen Hurts leads the defending NFC Champion Eagles against the Patriots. It all begins at 12 PM ET with NFL Today.
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