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Thursday, December 1, 2022
Trevor Lawrence, who sure looks like he's set up for a big QB1 performance against the Lions defense in the cozy confines of a dome. 
Lawrence grew up a little bit in Week 12 against Baltimore. He needed to lead the Jaguars to a victory in the fourth quarter, and he took Jacksonville on a 10-play, 75-yard drive that ended with a 10-yard touchdown pass to Marvin Jones. Lawrence then connected with Zay Jones for a two-point conversion with 14 seconds left to give Jacksonville a 28-27 victory.
Lawrence finished the game completing 29 of 37 passes for 321 yards and three touchdowns, his first career game with 300-plus passing yards, three-plus passing touchdowns and zero interceptions. He scored 30 Fantasy points, and this was after he had 24 Fantasy points in his previous game at Kansas City.
Lawrence should stay hot in Week 13 at Detroit, and the Lions allow the most Fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season. Three quarterbacks in a row have scored at least 26 Fantasy points against Detroit, including Justin Fields, Daniel Jones and Josh Allen.
You can read more about why Jamey thinks Lawrence is an easy must-start quarterback in Week 13 in his Start 'Em & Sit 'Em column. Friday morning we'll have Dave Richard's Start and Sit picks for Week 13  plus previews for every game. And Dave will be guest-writing that newsletter, filling in for me, Dan Schneier, who is filling in for Chris Towers! But for now, here's who Jamey is starting and sitting this week: 
Start 'Em: Geno Smith (at LAR) and Dak Prescott (vs. IND)
"Smith comes into Week 13 with a streak of four games in a row with at least 22 Fantasy points, and he should be facing a depleted Rams defense in this matchup. Aaron Donald is dealing with a high-ankle sprain, and it would be surprising if he played in this meaningless game for Los Angeles. In the Rams'  past two games against Andy Dalton and Patrick Mahomes, those quarterbacks combined for 580 passing yards, four touchdowns and one interception for an average of 23.5 Fantasy points. Smith is a solid top-10 Fantasy quarterback this week."
Sit 'Em: Tom Brady (vs. NO) and Daniel Jones (vs. WAS)
"Brady comes into Week 13 having scored at least 20 Fantasy points in consecutive games for just the second time all year. He also has consecutive games with multiple touchdown passes, and he's only done that in three games all season. Brady is facing the Saints this week, and this matchup has been tough on him. He scored 11 Fantasy points at New Orleans in Week 2, and he is averaging just 237.4 passing yards per game in his past five outings with the Saints, along with eight total touchdowns, six interceptions and three fumbles. New Orleans has not allowed a quarterback to score more than 19 Fantasy points in six games in a row, including matchups with Kyler Murray, Derek Carr, Lamar Jackson and Jimmy Garoppolo. Brady is a low-end starter in most leagues in this prime-time matchup."
Start 'Em: Rachaad White (vs. NO) and Ezekiel Elliott (vs. IND)
"We'll keep an eye on Leonard Fournette (hip) to see if he can return in Week 13, but even if he plays, I still like White as a starter in the majority of leagues. He should remain the lead running back for the Buccaneers, and he played well in Week 12 at Cleveland with 14 carries for 64 yards, along with nine catches for 45 yards on nine targets. Hopefully he keeps his role in the passing game, and that should help him in PPR, even in a tough matchup against the Saints."
Sit 'Em: Cordarrelle Patterson (vs. PIT) and Latavius Murray (at BAL)
"Patterson has run well when given the ball, but he's not being used as the featured back in Atlanta. And in a tough matchup with the Steelers, that makes Patterson someone to sit in the majority of leagues. Patterson has averaged 5.0 yards per carry in his past two games against the Bears and Commanders, but he only has 21 carries over that span. He hasn't scored a touchdown in three games in a row, and he only has seven catches for 37 yards in his past four outings. The Steelers have only allowed two rushing touchdowns to running backs in their past five games, and Patterson likely won't help your Fantasy roster if he doesn't score this week."
Start 'Em: Garrett Wilson (at MIN) and Christian Watson (at CHI)
"Wilson is averaging 19.3 Fantasy points per game in the four games not started by Zach Wilson this season. Garrett Wilson just had five catches for 95 yards and two touchdowns on eight targets against the Bears in Week 12 with Mike White, and Wilson should stay hot this week against the Vikings. Since Week 6, eight receivers have scored at least 17 PPR points against Minnesota, with six touchdowns over that span. Wilson has top-15 upside in all leagues for Week 13."
Sit 'Em: Adam Thielen (vs. NYJ) and Treylon Burks (at PHI)
"Thielen had a big game against the Patriots in Week 12 with nine catches for 61 yards and a touchdown on 10 targets. He scored 21 PPR points, but prior to that outing he combined for 22 PPR points in his previous three games against Washington, Buffalo and Dallas. The Jets are No. 3 in fewest Fantasy points allowed to opposing receivers, and they've only allowed one touchdown to a receiver since Week 8. Thielen is just a No. 3 Fantasy receiver in most leagues in Week 13."
Tight End Start 'Em & Sit 'Em 
Start 'Em: David Njoku (at HOU) and Tyler Conklin (at MIN)
"Keep an eye on the knee situation that caused Njoku to miss practice Wednesday, and hopefully he's fine. If healthy, he has top-five potential in his Week 13 matchup with the Texans now that Deshaun Watson is starting for the Browns. Njoku just had five catches for 29 yards and a touchdown on seven targets in Week 12 against Tampa Bay for 13 PPR points, and he has scored at least 13 PPR points in three of his past five games."
Sit 'Em: Greg Dulcich (at BAL) and Cole Kmet (vs. GB)
"Dulcich scored at least 11 PPR points in each of his first three games but has combined for just 12 PPR points in his past three outings. He's tough to trust with the way Russell Wilson is playing, and you can't start him in Week 13 at Baltimore. Dulcich will likely need to score in this matchup, and he only has one touchdown on the season. Wilson also has thrown just eight touchdowns on the year."
DST Start 'Em & Sit 'Em
Start 'Em: Seahawks vs. LAR
"The Rams are likely going to be the free space for opposing DSTs for the rest of the season, even if Matthew Stafford (neck) is able to return. Without Cooper Kupp (ankle), Allen Robinson (foot) and a healthy offensive line, it will be tough for the Rams to score, which was the case in Week 12 at Kansas City when Los Angeles had 10 points with three sacks and two interceptions. Seattle's defense has struggled of late, but the Seahawks DST is worth starting in all leagues given the matchup."
Sit 'Em: Chiefs at CIN
"The Chiefs DST was awesome in Week 12 against the Rams, but this is a significant step up in competition in Week 13 at Cincinnati. Ja'Marr Chase (hip) and Joe Mixon (concussion) are expected to play, and this game will hopefully be a shootout. Now, Joe Burrow does have three interceptions in his past four games, but he's also been sacked just five times in his past three outings as well. I don't expect Kansas City's defense to slow down Cincinnati, and the Chiefs DST is not worth starting in most leagues."
 
 
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