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| Wednesday, December 21, 2022 |
| J.K. Dobbins, who looks like he might be back to full speed just in time for the playoffs. |
| Well, if you watched the past two games since his return from his second knee surgery, he's not quite back to full speed. He's gotten caught from behind on a couple of long runs that could have gone to the house. Though that might actually make his performance even more impressive, as he's rushed for 245 yards on just 28 combined carries over those past two. And he's been ahead of his rushing yards over expected on more than half his carries in that span, as Ben Gretch pointed out in his Stealing Signals newsletter this week, a good sign that this might be sustainable. |
| Dobbins won't catch many passes - he ran a route on just 17% of passes last week -- so he'll have to be efficient on the ground. Luckily, he's got another pretty good matchup on the way against the Falcons, in a game the Ravens should be able to control pretty handily. Give Dobbins 15 carries and he should get you 75 yards and a touchdown in this one, and that's certainly not the ceiling here. |
| Jamey Eisenberg is buying in on Dobbins, and you can read more of his thoughts as to why here, along with the rest of his Start 'Em & Sit 'Em calls for Week 16 below: |
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| Quarterback Start 'Em and Sit 'Em |
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| Start 'Em: Kirk Cousins and Tua Tagovailoa |
| "Cousins is on fire right now with at least 27 Fantasy points in three of his past four games, and he should stay hot this week. The Giants have allowed three of their past four opposing quarterbacks to throw for at least two touchdowns, with two of those guys (Taylor Heinicke in Week 13 and Jalen Hurts in Week 14) scoring at least 21 Fantasy points. This is expected to be a high-scoring game with an implied total of 48 points, according to Caesars Sportsbook and Casino, and Cousins should lead the way for the Vikings." |
| Sit 'Em: Deshaun Watson and Derek Carr |
| "Watson continues to look better after three starts, but he's still scored 18 Fantasy points or less in each outing. He could be playing in bad weather this week against the Saints, with the forecast calling for heavy wind and snow. This feels like a game where the Browns will lean on Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt, which is what happened in Week 15 against Baltimore, and Watson only passed for 161 yards and one touchdown. The Saints also have allowed just one quarterback to score more than 19 Fantasy points since Week 6, which was Brady when he had a miraculous comeback in Week 13." |
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| Running Back Start 'Em and Sit 'Em |
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| Start 'Em: Najee Harris and Kenneth Walker III |
| "Steelers legendary running back Franco Harris passed away Wednesday, and it would be great for Najee Harris to honor him with a big game Saturday at home. I expect it to happen against the Raiders, who are No. 5 in most Fantasy points allowed to running backs this year. A running back has scored or gained 100 total yards against Las Vegas in nine games in a row, with 12 total touchdowns scored over that span. And since Week 5, eight running backs have scored at least 15 PPR points against the Raiders. Najee Harris has scored a touchdown in four of his past five games, and he has at least 12 PPR points in consecutive outings prior to Week 16." |
| Sit 'Em: Brian Robinson and D'Onta Foreman |
| "Robinson has done well lately for Washington and Fantasy managers, scoring a touchdown or gaining 100 total yards in four of the past five games. He has also scored at least 12 PPR points in three of those outings. But Robinson is continuing to share playing time with Antonio Gibson, and this is a tough matchup against the 49ers, who are No. 1 in fewest Fantasy points allowed to running backs. Only one running back has scored a touchdown against San Francisco since Week 7, and no running back has rushed for 60 yards against the 49ers all year. Robinson is barely a flex this week in the majority of leagues." |
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| Wide Receiver Start 'Em and Sit 'Em |
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| Start 'Em: Jerry Jeudy and Christian Kirk |
| "Jeudy is locked in right now as a solid Fantasy receiver, and we'll see what happens if Courtland Sutton (hamstring) is able to play in Week 16 at the Rams. In the past two games without Sutton, Jeudy has been fantastic with 15 catches for 149 yards and three touchdowns on 17 targets against the Chiefs and Cardinals. The matchup with the Rams is tough, but they have allowed four touchdowns to receivers in their past five games, with four guys scoring at least 12 PPR points. Jeudy is a borderline No. 1 receiver if Sutton remains out, and Jeudy is still worth starting in all leagues even if Sutton returns." |
| Sit 'Em: Amari Cooper and Marquise Brown |
| "The weather in Cleveland is expected to be bad, with high winds and snow, and that could make things even tougher for Cooper this week. He's struggled with Deshaun Watson so far, scoring nine PPR points or less in three games in a row, and he's been under 60 receiving yards in each outing. He was even bad at home last week against Baltimore with four catches for 58 yards on six targets. The Saints defense should present a decent challenge for Cooper, but I'm concerned about the weather and his lack of production with Watson. Cooper is at best a low-end No. 3 Fantasy receiver this week in the majority of leagues." |
| Tight End Start 'Em and Sit 'Em |
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| Start 'Em: Evan Engram |
| "The Jets went 13 weeks without allowing a touchdown to a tight end, and then they gave up one in each of the past two games against Dawson Knox in Week 14 and Brock Wright in Week 15. Engram might not score, but he's been on fire for the past three games and should remain a starter in the majority of leagues. He has at least 14 PPR points in three games in a row against Detroit, Tennessee and Dallas with 24 catches for 254 yards and three touchdowns on 32 targets over that span. Let's hope Trevor Lawrence continues to look for Engram in this matchup, and he's worth trusting even in a tough matchup on the road." |
| Sit 'Em: Cole Kmet |
| "Kmet struggled in Week 15 against the Eagles with four catches for 25 yards on five targets, and now he has a tough matchup in Week 16 against Buffalo. The Bills are No. 4 in fewest Fantasy points allowed to opposing tight ends, and Buffalo is the only team yet to allow a tight end to score a touchdown this year. Kmet hasn't scored a touchdown since Week 10, and he's been held to six PPR points or less in three of his past four games." |
| DST Start 'Em and Sit 'Em |
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Start 'Em: Buccaneers @ARI
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| "The Buccaneers DST has been underwhelming this season, but this should be a great week against the Cardinals. Trace McSorley is starting for Arizona, and he struggled in relief of Colt McCoy (concussion) in Week 15 at Denver with two interceptions and just 95 passing yards on 7-of-15 attempts. It's hard to expect him to rebound with a big performance in Week 16, and I like the Buccaneers DST as a top-five Fantasy option in this matchup." |
| Sit 'Em: Patriots vs. CIN |
| "The Patriots defense did OK in Week 15 at Las Vegas with three sacks, one interception and a defensive score, but I expect the Patriots DST to struggle in Week 16 against the Bengals. Joe Burrow has been sacked two times or less in six games in a row, and Cincinnati has scored at least 23 points in five of the past six outings. The Bengals also have just four turnovers in the past six games. The Patriots defense could benefit from playing at home this week, but I don't think New England will slow down Cincinnati's offense in this matchup." |
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