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| Wednesday, September 28, 2022 |
| Jamaal Williams, who has a massive opportunity over the next few weeks to help you win some games. |
| D'Andre Swift is dealing with a shoulder injury, and Lions coach Dan Campbell admitted earlier this week that they might opt to sit him out through the team's Week 6 bye to let him get healthy. That means Williams could be the team's lead back for Week 4 against the Seahawks and Week 5 against the Patriots, and you probably want him in your lineup. |
| Because this Lions offense is actually pretty good right now! They'll miss Swift's big-play ability and what he brings as a pass-catcher, but if Amon-Ra St. Brown is healthy, they should be alright -- they're averaging 27.3 points per game over the past nine games, which coincides with St. Brown having nine or more targets in every game. The Lions offensive line is mauling people, to the tune of 5.9 yards per carry as a team, and Williams has four touchdowns in three games as the team's preferred goal-line back, even when Swift is healthy, it seems. |
| And they should have no trouble giving Williams lots of opportunities this week. The Seahawks have had a lot of trouble extending drives on offense, and they've given up 471 yards on 96 rush attempts through three games as a result. The Lions are 4.5-point favorites and might actually be in line for a pretty comfortable win. That's great news for Williams, who absolutely belongs in your lineup. |
| You can read more about why Jamey expects Williams to be so good this week well as the rest of his Start 'Em & Sit 'Em picks here, and the rest of this evening's newsletter has plenty of other picks for each position. Tomorrow morning, we'll have Dave Richard's Start and Sit picks for Week 4 along with updates on all the injuries you need to know about. But for now, here's who Jamey is starting and sitting this week: |
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| Quarterback Start 'Em and Sit 'Em |
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| Start 'Em: Tua Tagovailoa and Kirk Cousins |
| "We'll continue to monitor Tagovailoa's back/ankle injuries to make sure he's 100 percent for Thursday night, and if something changes then we'll adjust this post. As of Wednesday morning, Tagovailoa is expected to play, and hopefully we get a shootout with him and Joe Burrow. Tagovailoa was hurt in Week 3 against Buffalo with what looked like an apparent concussion. After leaving the game briefly, he returned but attempted a season-low 18 passes and scored just 13 Fantasy points. We expect him to typically throw 35-plus passes most weeks, and that should get it done against the Bengals. Cincinnati has yet to allow multiple passing touchdowns in a game this year, but the Bengals have also faced Mitch Trubisky, Cooper Rush and Joe Flacco. This is a much tougher test, and I like Tagovailoa in this spot if healthy." |
| Sit 'Em: Matthew Stafford and Carson Wentz |
| "Wentz was great in plus matchups against Jacksonville and Detroit to open the season, scoring at least 33 Fantasy points in both outings. Then came Week 3 against Philadelphia, and Wentz collapsed with just eight Fantasy points. He was sacked nine times, took 17 hits and lost a fumble. Now he gets to face a Dallas defense that just sacked Daniel Jones five times with 12 quarterback hits. The Cowboys are allowing just 14.8 Fantasy points per game to Tom Brady, Joe Burrow and Jones, and Brady has the most passing yards of this trio with 212. Wentz should have another tough outing this week." |
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| Running Back Start 'Em and Sit 'Em |
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| Start 'Em: Khalil Herbert and James Conner |
| "David Montgomery (ankle) is expected to be out in Week 4 against the Giants, and Herbert should be in line for a hefty workload. He took advantage of Montgomery going down against the Texans in Week 3 with 20 carries for 157 yards and two touchdowns, along with two catches for 12 yards on two targets. Last year, Herbert had four games with at least 18 carries, and he scored 18 PPR points in two of them. The Giants were just gashed on the ground by the Cowboys in Week 3 as Ezekiel Elliott and Tony Pollard combined for 28 carries, 178 yards and a touchdown, and standout interior defensive lineman Leonard Williams (knee) is likely out again. Herbert has top-10 upside this week" |
| Sit 'Em: Cam Akers and J.K. Dobbins |
| "Akers took over as the lead running back for the Rams in Week 3 at Arizona, and he finished the game with 12 carries for 61 yards and a touchdown, along with a lost fumble. Sean McVay wasn't concerned about the fumble, but Darrell Henderson will continue to have a role for the Rams, which limits the ceiling for Akers. He also has to do more in the passing game since he has just two catches for 18 yards on three targets in three games. This week, you should sit Akers given the matchup with the 49ers. San Francisco has allowed two rushing touchdowns to running backs this year, but Javonte Williams' 60 total yards in Week 3 is the best outing against the 49ers in three games." |
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| Wide Receiver Start 'Em and Sit 'Em |
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| Start 'Em: Brandin Cooks and Chris Olave |
| "Cooks is one of 22 receivers this season with at least 25 targets, but he has the fewest receptions with 13. There is a big game coming, and it could happen this week against the Chargers. Joey Bosa (groin) is out, and cornerback J.C. Jackson (ankle) might not play again this week for Los Angeles. With both hurt in Week 3, the Jaguars had three receivers ( Christian Kirk, Zay Jones and Marvin Jones) all catch touchdowns. This should be Cooks best game of the season. " |
| Sit 'Em: Brandon Aiyuk and Jahan Dotson |
| "Aiyuk has been a go-to option for Jimmy Garoppolo the past two games, and we'll see how Aiyuk does in Week 4 against the Rams. I have minimal expectations for him in this matchup, and Aiyuk should be considered just a No. 4 Fantasy receiver this week in the majority of leagues. He has eight targets in each of the past two games against Seattle and Denver, and he's averaging 11.5 PPR points over that span. But I expect this to be a low-scoring affair, and we'll see how the 49ers operate without their best offensive lineman in Trent Williams (ankle). Even though the Rams are No. 2 in most Fantasy points allowed to opposing receivers, this doesn't feel like a safe spot for Aiyuk, who still has plenty to prove to Fantasy managers." |
| Tight End Start 'Em and Sit 'Em |
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| Start 'Em: Zach Ertz |
| "Ertz has 21 targets in his past two games against the Raiders and Rams, and he should continue to get plenty of attention from Kyler Murray with Rondale Moore (hamstring) and A.J. Green (knee) hurt. Ertz has at least 10 PPR points in each game this season and 14 catches over his past two games. The Panthers haven't given up a lot of production to tight ends this year, but they've played the Browns, Giants and Saints to open the season. Ertz will be Carolina's toughest test, and he should be considered a potential top-five Fantasy tight end this week." |
| Sit 'Em: Dawson Knox |
| "Knox has not been a vital part of the Bills passing game this season, and his outing in Week 3 at Miami might be the most concerning. Josh Allen attempted 63 passes against the Dolphins , and Knox only had four targets. He's yet to score a touchdown, and he doesn't have more than 41 receiving yards in any game. Buffalo has too many mouths to feed in this offense to feature Knox, and he could once again be left out of the fun with a lack of targets." |
| DST Start 'Em and Sit 'Em |
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| Start 'Em: Packers vs. NE |
| "The Packers defense was embarrassed in Week 1 at Minnesota, but since then Green Bay has shut down Chicago and Tampa Bay, allowing a total of 22 points over that span. The Packers also had six sacks in those two games and three total turnovers. This should be another good performance for this defense against the Patriots with Brian Hoyer under center. The Packers DST are No. 1 in my rankings this week." |
| Sit 'Em: Ravens vs. BUF |
| "The Ravens DST had a strong performance in Week 3 at New England, but this week will be much different against Buffalo. Against the Patriots, the Ravens had three sacks, three interceptions and recovered a fumble. Baltimore has an interception in every game, with six total, but slowing down Josh Allen will be tough. You should avoid the Ravens DST in Week 4." |
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