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Hi John, here's what you need to know for December 20th in 3:16 minutes.

☕️ Finimized over an oat flat white at The Coffee Collective in Copenhagen, Denmark (8°C/47°F ⛅️)

Today's big stories

  1. Apple said it’ll pause sales of some of its smartwatches ahead of Christmas, because of a patent dispute
  2. Bank of America’s got a rosy outlook and three big trade ideas for 2024 – Read Now
  3. The Bank of Japan kept interest rates unchanged and offered few hints about what’s next

A Patent Dispute Has Apple Pulling Some Of Its Watches Off Shelves

A Patent Dispute Has Apple Pulling Some Of Its Watches Off Shelves

What’s going on here?

Apple will begin pulling its latest smartwatches off the shelves in the US this week, because of a patent dispute, potentially foiling the plans of last-minute holiday shoppers.

What does this mean?

US regulators called time out on Apple back in October, saying it’d violated the rights of a company called Masimo with tech that measures watch wearer's blood oxygen levels. The decision meant its top-end Series 9 and Ultra 2 smartwatches could be banned starting on December 25th. Apple says its festive-season sales will still be strong. If the ruling sticks, the real sales blow would hit in January and February – two of America’s slowest retail months.

Why should I care?

For markets: Timing is everything.
The controversy couldn’t have come at a worse moment for Apple: the firm’s already dealing with widening iPhone bans across China. So it won’t be happy about pausing sales of its Apple Watch – a serious moneymaker, fetching about a fifth of its earnings. And since the issue is with hardware patents, Apple can’t just shuffle it away with a quick software update like it’s done before. So it’s got to hope for a White House intervention, a successful appeal, or a deal with Masimo. Short of that, the company will have to redesign the devices to sidestep the protected tech – and there’s no telling how long that could take.

The bigger picture: Watch this space.

Apple is worth as much as the entire French stock market, or the total economy of Australia. But it didn’t come by that heft simply by selling sleek gadgets: the firm’s been steadily encroaching into other industries, competing with streaming companies, payment providers, and – yes – medical device makers. It’s also got its sights set on autos. And it’s not alone in looking far afield: as tech giants sprawl across sectors, regulators may be asked to intervene more often. Apple’s flexing some muscle, and the rules might just have to catch up.

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Analyst Take

Bank Of America’s Top Three Trades For 2024

Bank Of America’s Top Three Trades For 2024
Photo of Stéphane Renevier, CFA

Stéphane Renevier, CFA, Analyst

Bank of America’s 2024 outlook has a “New year. New trades” kind of feel to it.

It’s optimism – with a plan.

See, the bank is predicting that the global economy will shake off much of the gloom and uncertainty from the past two years, and avoid the recession we’ve all been dreading.

And with that on the horizon, Bank of America has identified three top trade ideas that could beat the S&P 500 next year.

That’s today’s Insight: Bank of America’s top trading ideas for next year.

Read or listen to the Insight here

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These things add up to a big gender disparity, where women have – on average – less money in their savings and investments than men do.

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The Bank Of Japan Held Interest Rates Steady (And Said Very Little Else)

The Bank Of Japan Held Interest Rates Steady (And Said Very Little Else)

What’s going on here?

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) held the country’s negative interest rates steady again on Tuesday, saying it’s in no rush to shift gears.

What does this mean?

The BoJ’s been chilling in the sub-zero zone, even as its peers have gone hiking. That’s because Japan’s been actively working to nudge prices higher, after two decades of growth-crushing deflation. So it might not have come as a huge surprise that the Bank maintained its -0.1% status quo and its title as the only major economy with a negative lending rate. But it did stoke some disappointment. Inflation in the country has been stuck above the BoJ’s 2% target since April of 2022, and investors were hoping the central bank would finally offer some insight about when it might start raising interest rates to cool those price rises. But it did none of that.

Why should I care?

For markets: Silent type.

With little to go on, aside from the BoJ’s ambiguity, investors assumed that hikes are still in no way imminent. That rattled through markets on Tuesday, sending Japanese bond yields and the country’s yen lower. After all, the prospect of lower-for-longer interest rates makes the currency less attractive to international investors and savers. Japan’s stocks, on the other hand, got a boost from the news, since cheap borrowing costs and a weak yen are good for big Japanese companies that sell their goods overseas.

The bigger picture: Easy does it.

The Bank’s decision not to say much this week may well be a deliberate one, considering its policymakers are facing a difficult balancing act. Abandon the negative interest now, when other major central banks are lowering their rates, and they could trigger a flood of investment into Japan, strengthening the yen. That, in turn, would slash the costs of imports into the country, potentially revitalizing that old deflation foe and undermining decades of BoJ effort.

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🎯 On Our Radar

1. Your disposable BBQ isn't cutting it. Korean barbecue, but not as you know it.

2. Crisp basics never go out of style. Give your investment strategy a refresher.**

3. Hugh Grant has range. Revisit the British icon's career from most to least unhinged.

4. Bitcoin’s big news. You can trade the most popular cryptocurrencies without fronting big prices with these micro-sized tools.*

5. Animals help us in many ways. Here's whether a cartoon giraffe has kept New Zealanders away from the hard stuff.

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