Welcome back to another edition of Buffering, where our focus this week is on bundling. Disneyâs streaming price hikes sounded (and were) draconian, but theyâre also mostly about pushing customers to sign up for more than one Disney platform (a.k.a. a bundle). Meanwhile, new remarks by a top entertainment CEO suggest we might start seeing an even more aggressive form of bundling in coming months â services from competing conglomerates packaged together at a more attractive rate. We havenât seen much of that to date, but as streamers try to figure out how raise rates without prompting mass cancelations, that could soon change. And finally, weâve got exclusive news about the controversial box office hit Sound of Freedom. As always, thanks for reading. âJoe Adalian |
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| | Photo-Illustration: Vulture; Photos: MAX, Apple TV, Amazon, Paramount | |
A veteran media executive Iâve known for decades has long had a theory about how the streaming revolution will play out. Even as legacy companies such as Disney and NBCUniversal started blowing up their business models to compete with the Netflixes of the world, he kept warning me that many of the momentous changes we were seeing wouldnât last forever. âAll TV regresses to the mean,â he would tell me over and again, almost like a mantra. His prediction has been proven right several times in recent years, from the shift back to weekly releases of shows to the introduction of ad-supported tiers on services that once shunned them. And now, thereâs evidence another golden oldie of TVâs linear age could be poised for a comeback: the TV bundle. |
The buzz about bundling has been steadily growing in TV industry circles since May, when Warner Bros. Discovery CEO David Zaslav took a break from his usual mustache-twirling to lay out case for why companies with streaming platforms needed to get on the ball and figure out a way to package their respective services together in one consumer-friendly package â a.k.a. a bundle. âFor me, it seems very clear that if we were to package this great product that we have with others ⦠it would be great for consumers,â Zaslav said during an appearance at an industry conference. But more importantly from a corporate point of view, a bundle âwould probably reduce churn,â the CEO said, and could make it possible to spend less on promotion and customer acquisition since all parties in the bundle would âbe marketing one product.â |
Reducing churn â how many people cancel a service every month â has taken on increasing importance as price hikes have rolled out across streaming (including the big ones announced Wednesday by Disney+ and Hulu). And this week, the number of prominent media execs signing a chorus of âI Want My Bundle Backâ doubled when Paramount Global CEO Bob Bakish seemed to join Zaslav in affirming his support for the idea during an earnings call with investors. âWeâve been believers in bundling for a long time,â he said in response to a question from an analyst. âBundling has been one of the tried-and-true methods of value creation in media, and certainly, as we enter the streaming space, bundling is part of our strategy.â To be sure, Bakishâs praise of bundles was in the broadest possible sense and included shout-outs to ideas a few steps removed from the old cable bundle, such as his companyâs making a deal with Walmart to give Walmart+ customers free access to Paramount+. But he also pointed to agreements Paramount Global has struck outside of the United States, specifically partnerships with European satellite giants Sky and Canal+, as examples of âhard bundlesâ that might work one day in the States. âWe are continuing to look at incremental opportunities in this regard, and the only thing we know for sure is it will be a growing part of what weâre doing,â Bakish said. âWe like bundling.â |
But liking and believing in bundling are not the same as actually going all in on the idea. While Disney has had success packaging together streaming services it owns (Disney+, Hulu, ESPN+) into the Disney bundle, it hasnât shown any inclination to let its platforms be connected with third-party streamers. And while there are signs attitudes are softening â more on that later â thatâs largely been true of the other six biggest American streamers (Netflix, Max, Prime Video, Apple TV+, Paramount+, and Peacock). An industry insider I spoke to this week believes the holdup is understandable given the risks involved. âYouâre making serious trade-offs if you do this,â he said. |
The most obvious is that, because bundling involves discounting, companies make less money per subscriber than they would on an à la carte basis â particularly if a current customer switched to a bundle to save some dough. And with ad-supported tiers now standard across major streamers (even on Apple TV+, which has advertising in its sports programming), âYou have to think about what the ad split is among partners and how itâs constructed,â the industry insider said. |
And then thereâs the thorny question of whether competing streamers would want to handle the packaging and promotion of a bundle themselves (the way Disney does with its in-house services) or allow someone else to play middleman. The latter scenario would more closely mirror the linear model, where an Xfinity or DirecTV sells a bundle of channels and then pays individual services a pre-negotiated fee per subscriber. Both Paramount Global and Warner Bros. Discovery (at least under Zaslav) have been relatively relaxed about working with outside parties: Both participate in the Amazon Prime Video channels program, while Paramount has also opted into the Apple TV channels universe. Netflix, however, has refused to let its content get aggregated into those ecosystems, while Disney also currently boycotts those programs. |
But interestingly, telecom giant Verizon has had much better luck getting streamers to play the bundle game. In June, it quietly began selling its customers a discounted package of Netflixâs premium tier and Paramount+ with Showtime for $26 per month â about 20 percent less than the $32 it would cost to buy both separately. Itâs the first time the two streamers have ever been offered together in a bundle, and one of â if not the â first times Netflix has agreed to such a plan. One reason Verizon may be having more luck innovating in bundles is because it doesnât try to put content from various streamers into a single user interface the way the channel stores do. Instead, it simply serves as a hub for Verizon customers to sign up and pay for subscriptions through their phone and internet account. Streamers are more comfortable with this approach because it means they retain tight control over user data and still have a semi-direct relationship with consumers. It wouldnât be surprising if we see Verizon, and possibly other cell carriers, leading the way in innovating on the streaming-bundle front. |
That doesnât mean Amazon, Apple, and Google should be counted out as factors in the future of bundling. While Netflix might not need them for scale, other streamers might be more willing to compromise a bit in exchange for deals that help them dramatically increase their subscriber footprint. And while the tech companies have so far been focused on giving consumers a unified streaming experience â i.e., content from multiple streamers in one app â itâs possible they might be willing to move to a Verizon-like role that makes them more of a hands-off wholesaler. Indeed, in his conference appearance earlier this summer, Zaslav suggested some of the tech giants might already be mulling the idea of creating their own bundles. âIf we donât do it to ourselves, I think it will be done to us,â he said. âIt will be Amazon that does it. It will be Apple that does it. It will be Roku that does it. Theyâre already starting to do it.â |
Indeed, we are seeing more bundles pop up with smaller streaming services. AMC Networks, for example, has been a big believer in the concept for some time now. Since last April, itâs been part of a package pushed by Amazonâs Prime Video channels bundling AMC+ with Starz at a discounted rate. (The plan works by giving anyone who signs up for either service the opportunity to add the other at a lower price point, effectively creating a discounted bundle.) In a May earnings call, AMC Networks CEO Kristin Dolan said her companyâs âlong-standing distribution relationshipsâ â namely, decades of working with cable companies â will help it during what she believes will be âthe forthcoming shift to streaming bundles. These bundles are beginning to gain traction as the marketplace evolves and consumers seek a more simplified and integrated experience when it comes to managing their various services.â |
Other medium-size players seem equally keen on bundling. In addition to the mash-up with AMC+, Lionsgate-owned Starz is part of another bundle pairing its service with Amazon-owned MGM+ at a 20 percent discount. That offer is available on channel stores run by Amazon Prime Video, YouTube TV, and the Roku Channel. |
Despite all the signs that streamingâs future will involve more bundles, we might still be a few years away from anything close to what the cable ecosystem offered: one platform, one price. As noted earlier, several big streamers remain staunchly opposed to sharing the same user interface as rivals, and itâs hard to see that changing soon. And as much as platforms want to reduce churn and, if possible, increase overall subscriber counts, they also want to be careful to not end up selling their product too cheaply. If you take in $2 less per user but net 20 million consistent subscribers, a bundle makes perfect sense. But if most of your users switch to a cheaper bundle deal and you only net a few million more customers, âDo you end up limiting your upside and how much you make overall?â our streaming industry insider wonders. |
Whatâs more, with so many changes expected to hit the industry over the next two years â many analysts have hinted at major mergers and acquisitions next year and in 2025 â thereâs always the danger of doing a deal that seems good now but ultimately becomes a headache. âOnce you get into bed with someone, youâre in bed with them for a while,â the insider says. âYou donât want to be locking yourself into the wrong deal.â And yet, this same source also thinks we are still likely to see more aggressive bundling emerge relatively soon because, despite the risks, many streamers desperately need new ways to boost subscriber counts and revenue. âI wouldnât say everything is on the table, but the entire industry is looking for models that work,â he says. |
Weâre still processing the massive price hikes for Hulu and Disney+ announced Wednesday. The sticker price for the stand-alone, premium ad-free versions of both services is going up about 20%, with ultra deluxe Hulu now retailing for an eye-popping $18 per monthâ a massive 33% percent increase since summer 2021. Now, that includes 4K streaming and up to four simultaneous streams, which still makes it $2 per month cheaper than the analogous Netflix plan. But whether or not you think Huluâs offering is on par with Netflix, hereâs the thing: Most people wonât pay anywhere near $18 for it. For one thing, as recently as 2019, the streamer reported that roughly 70% of its customers use the ad-supported version of the platform, and Iâd be shocked if that number hasnât gone up a little since then. But even folks who donât want to see commercials during our binges of The Bear or The Bob Newhart Show will probably pay an effectively lower rate because Disney will continue to bundle Hulu with its other streamers: $20 will get you ad-free Hulu and Disney+, while $25 per month adds in ESPN+. |
Obviously, not everyone wants or needs the extra content afforded by the Disney bundles, which is why yesterdayâs announcement does feel like the de facto end of an era for Hulu. Behind the scenes, veteran TV exec Joe Earley, who previously had high-level gigs at both services, now runs a unified Hulu/Disney+ leadership team. And later this year, consumers who subscribe to the Disney bundle will be able watch most Hulu content within the Disney+ app, further cementing the bonds between the two platforms. In essence, while Disney is not (yet) killing off Hulu as a stand-alone app, itâs clear Disney is really, really doing everything in its power to get consumers to think of Hulu and Disney+ as one platform with one price. |
Independent movies without any A-list stars donât typically spark bidding wars among streamers, particularly if theyâve already been released in theaters. But The Sound of Freedom â your Trump-loving, conspiracy theory-spouting uncleâs favorite movie of the summerâ is not your typical indie movie. The action-adventure film ostensibly about child trafficking, which critic Melanie McFarland smarty and succinctly summarized as âconspiracy-fueled mass hysteria,â has so far grossed a stunning $166.2 million at the box office since its release last month. Armed with such boffo box office, Vulture hears the filmâs producers have spent the last few weeks actively shopping streaming rights to the film â and the early response suggests theyâre likely to walk away with some big bucks deals. |
According to well-placed sources at three different streaming platforms, Sound of Freedom distributor Angel Studios has been feeling out both subscription services and ad-supported streamers about purchasing whatâs known as the Pay One rights window to the film (essentially, the first exclusive streaming or broadcast release of a movie after its theatrical run). Because these conversations may still be ongoing, some sources have been reluctant to characterize their platformâs specific interest in the movie â either to avoid driving up the ultimate cost of the package by building (even more) buzz around it, or so that they can deny ever being interested in the case they lose out on a deal. For its part, Angel Studios did not respond to multiple requests for comment made by Vulture film reporter Chris Lee. |
But one industry insider whoâs been privy to the conversations taking place was very blunt about the marketâs reaction. âSound of Freedom has generated tremendous interest for its Pay One window,â the source said, adding theyâre certain the film has been âpitched across streaming (SVOD and AVOD)â and âlikelyâ has been offered to linear channels as well. This source believes itâs not a question of whether a deal will get done but rather just how big the final number will be. âItâs anticipated to sell for eight figures to an SVOD, which is rare and the type of payday typically reserved for blockbuster theatricals,â this person said. Now, one sourceâs characterization of discussions does not a bidding war make: Itâs possible the film doesnât fetch anywhere near âblockbusterâ money for rights, or that the eight-figure sum ends up being much closer to $10 million than $90 million. But at this point, odds are the movie is more likely to land on a major streamer âeither SVOD or AVODâthan not. |
One big question mark right now is what Angel Studios plans to do about two other streaming windows for Sound of Freedom: Premium video on demand (PVOD) and digital sales and rentals of the film. Studios often bring a movie to digital film stores (iTunes, etc.) first before they go to streaming services, though these days itâs not uncommon for the digital window to be just a week or two, or even simultaneous with a streaming release. Thatâs probably what will happen with Sounds of Freedom. But given the indie nature of the film, itâs possible Angel Studios could do a deal where the digital sales and rental window is delayed in order to maximize the impact for a streaming service debut. That would likely result in a streamer paying even more for rights to the movie since Angel would be delaying or possibly diminishing its rental and sales numbers. |
The other lingering question about any streaming deal for Sounds of Freedom is whether any streaming services will be reluctant to literally platform a movie that, while wildly popular, is decidedly controversial among audiences with more liberal tendencies. As the critic McFarland noted in her review, many see the film as conspiracy-theory-adjacent and designed to feed into right-wing hysteria about âgroomingâ and liberal groups somehow approving of child sex trafficking â even if it doesnât explicitly ever make such allegations. Sound of Freedom has also been heavily hyped by Fox News personalities, star Jim Caviezel is a beloved figure in QAnon circles, and convicted sex offender/former American president Donald Trump screened the movie at his New Jersey golf club. But despite the disgust some on the left have for the movie, the movieâs massive box office performance â itâs made more money than the latest Mission: Impossible and Fast and the Furious movies have grossed in the U.S., and is on track to pass the new Indiana Jones â will likely be enough to allow at least one major streamer to look the other way and hope Sound of Freedom translates into the sound of new subscriber sign-ups. |
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