Good morning Voornaam,
I came across a wonderful quote yesterday that sums up so much about the markets:
"Now having said that, I wouldn't short it because I don't like putting campfires out with my face. So I just try and pretend DOGE doesn't exist. I think so little of it, it doesn't even bother me when it goes up." - Stan Druckenmiller
Druckenmiller is referring to Dogecoin of course, which has become synonymous with "meme-investing" in an era of loose money and even looser trading strategies. You just have to watch some of the video clips from the Bitcoin conference in Miami to realise that we are living in volatile times.
In my personal portfolio, I try to avoid over-hyped investments and I accumulate investments that look cheap relative to past and forecast performance. I don't have a specific value or growth style, but rather an overall belief that any asset can be interesting at the right price.
The analogy of putting campfires out with your face is as vivid as it is brilliant. Trying to short some of these meme stocks (i.e. betting on the price going down) is as dangerous and foolish as using your face to put out fires. Whether or not the fire deserves to burn isn't the point of course. The point is that the market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent, to borrow the famous quote from John Maynard Keynes.
This is part of what makes the markets so exciting, which is why you are reading InceConnect this morning.
The lead article this morning is an acknowledgement of Sygnia and the strong position it finds itself in. David Hufton is now in charge after Magda Wierzycka retired from the company she built. Can strong retail inflows continue in a country notorious for a poor savings culture?
Other company news this morning includes FirstRand's recovery thanks to welfare states propping up consumers, Sirius' strong results in Germany and Thungela's debut on the JSE.
Finally, Allan Greenblo of Today's Trustee writes on transformation in the financial sector.
Have a productive Tuesday!
The Finance Ghost
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