All in All a Pretty Logical Week It seems weird to consider, but Friday's trading--and indeed, the week's trading as a whole--was fairly logical.  By the end of the previous week, econ data provided evidence that rates didn't need to go any higher.  This week's data didn't exactly confirm that in an overly forceful way, but it absolutely didn't offer any arguments.  Friday's jobs report was the latest and most interesting example with revisions, unemployment, and wages doing more than enough to offset the higher headline compared to expectations.  After today, the past two months of NFP readings make a lot more sense.  It also makes sense that bonds rallied modestly.  200k+ is still strong.  Sub 4% unemployment is still low, but it's next week's CPI that can truly determine just how quickly we can forget February's unfriendly data. Econ Data / EventsNonfarm Payrolls275k vs 200k f'cast last month revised down to 229k from 353k Unemployment Rate3.9 vs 3.7 f'cast, 3.7 prev Wages 0.1 vs 0.3 f'cast, 0.5 prev Market Movement Recap09:13 AM 2-way trading after mixed jobs report.  Bonds were mostly stronger until just now, with 10yr yields back to 'unchanged' at 4.088.  MBS are still up an eighth, but were up by more than a quarter point at their best levels. 11:00 AM Giving back some of the initial, choppy improvement.  MBS still up 2 ticks (.06) and 10yr still just barely positive at 4.085 01:46 PM Stable and flat.  MBS up 2 ticks (.06) and 10yr down 0.3bps at 4.085.
MND logo
March 8, 2024
Download our Mobile App:
Download from Google Play
Download from Apple App Store
View the QR Code
Download our Mobile App:
Download from Google Play
Download from Apple App Store
MBS Commentary
All in All a Pretty Logical Week It seems weird to consider, but Friday's trading--and indeed, the week's trading as a whole--was fairly logical.  By the end of the previous week, econ data provided evid... (read more)
Mortgage Rate Watch
It was a hotly anticipated week for interest rates due to the arrival of the first batch of big ticket economic data since the Inflation report that came out on February 13th. This week's data was much more friendly, but next week's data is even more... (read more)
Rob Chrisman
“Horses have lower divorce rates. It's because they are in stable relationships.” Here on the Central Coast of California, there are plenty of horses but few disasters, wars, or big insurance claims. But in Ukraine there have been 566,000 property da... (read more)
Mortgage Rates
MBS / Treasuries