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Hi John, here's what you need to know for June 2nd in 3:12 minutes.

☕️ Finimized over a cappuccino in Spice Café in Barcelona, Spain (22°C/72°F ⛅️)

Today's big stories

  1. New survey data out on Monday suggested US and eurozone manufacturing activity continued to shrink in May
  2. Our analysts look at why Goldman Sachs is suddenly more bullish on stocks – Read Now
  3. The index of Britain’s biggest companies on the stock market will be updated soon, with ramifications for large investors and individuals alike
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This Blows

This Blows

What’s Going On Here?

New survey data out on Monday suggested manufacturing activity in both the US and eurozone continued to shrink in May – and there’s a lot of socially distanced work to do if they want to fix the situation.

What Does This Mean?

These regular surveys ask purchasing managers in the manufacturing industry how busy they’ve been each month – and after a record amount of thumb-twiddling in April, those managers slowly started getting back to work last month.

But while activity did pick up, the surveys suggested the US and eurozone aren’t out of the woods yet: both their manufacturing sectors are still shrinking as collapsing demand and coronavirus-disrupted supply chains continue to take their toll. Germany – whose manufacturing sector makes up a bigger proportion of its economy than its neighbors – fared the worst, but there was some better news for Italy: the former epicenter of the pandemic recorded the smallest contraction of all its European peers.

Why Should I Care?

For markets: Any spare change?
Monday’s manufacturing survey data is some of the last the European Central Bank will receive before it meets to discuss next steps on Thursday. With manufacturing activity still declining and Europe’s economy forecast to shrink around 10% this year, analysts are expecting the bank to increase its bond-buying measures by another $550 billion. That comes after previous pledges to buy more than a trillion dollars’ worth of European bonds, and this additional top-up – which would increase bond prices and lower their yields – might come as good news for investors.

The bigger picture: Agriculture vulture.
A similar survey of manufacturing activity in China out on Monday showed the opposite trend to the US and Europe: activity dipped but the sector's still expanding, albeit very slowly. Perhaps the bigger risk facing China’s economy is its rising tensions with the US over coronavirus and Hong Kong. Reports on Monday, for example, suggested China is halting some US agricultural imports, threatening the trade war truce the two reached six months ago.

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2/3 Premium

Stay Positive

What’s Going On Here?

The US stock market’s recent rise has forced Goldman Sachs analysts to weigh up their previously negative outlook – an about-turn that suggests it might now be time to buy.

Get the full story with Finimize Premium

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🏡 The “Should I buy that house?” starter kit

As coronavirus-hit housing markets start to reopen across the world, here are some questions you ought to ask yourself…

⏰ Is now the right time to rent or to buy?

There are pros and cons to both, so first things first, decide which one’s right for you.

😟 What exactly would I be getting myself into?

Everything from interest rates to eventual recoveries will affect your purchase: get an overview of them all.

📉 Do lower interest rates matter?

Speaking of rates, they’ll influence the interest you pay on your mortgage, so make sure to do your homework on those too.

💰 And how will a recession impact me and my money?

Recessions are all the rage, but they affect everyone differently: find out what a recession means for you.

Psst, these links go to our app – check them out on your phone.

3/3

London Hold ‘Em

London Hold ‘Em

What’s Going On Here?

This week, the UK’s major stock market index – the FTSE 100 – will be reshuffled, some of its stocks flushed, and investors dealt a new hand.

What Does This Mean?

The FTSE 100 comprises the UK’s biggest public companies by value, and its performance helps investors gauge the health of both corporate Britain and the wider economy. It’s also regularly updated to factor in stocks whose valuations have risen, as well as boot out any whose values have shrunk. And since the ongoing pandemic has drastically changed plenty of companies’ fortunes, there are a few big changes this time around.

Take airline EasyJet and cruise operator Carnival, whose shares have – perhaps understandably – more than halved since coronavirus all but halted global travel. They’ll probably drop out of the group of 100 “blue chip” companies as a result, and likely be replaced by firms like tech giant Avast and medical equipment-maker ConvaTec – both of whose industries have benefited from the outbreak.

Why Should I Care?

For markets: Passive’s still massive.
The proportion of investors’ cash in “passive” funds – which track the performance of stock market indexes, often via exchange-traded funds (ETFs) – is getting bigger. In fact, half of all stock market investment in the US is now passive (tweet this). Keen-eyed “active” investors, then, might’ve bought up certain high-performing UK stocks ahead of this week’s rebalancing. That way, they’d hope to profit when the investment funds mirroring the FTSE 100 buy up stocks to reflect the updated index.

For you personally: Indexpertise.
Even if you prefer individual stocks to ETFs, it’s worth keeping an eye on which ones are being added to the various indexes. Studies suggest that stocks which are heavily owned by ETFs climb more than average in a rising market, perhaps thanks to the higher demand. And since ETFs are slower to sell, stocks may also drop by less than average in a falling market too.

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💬 Quote of the day

“Never believe that a few caring people can’t change the world. For, indeed, that’s all who ever have.”

– Margaret Mead (an American cultural anthropologist)
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🤔 Q&A · RE: Found And Lost

“What is ‘goodwill’ on a company’s balance sheet, and where does it come from?”

– Anton in Russia

“Put simply, Anton, goodwill is the difference between the balance sheet (or ‘book’) value and the purchase price in an acquisition. Let’s say Company A’s assets are worth $1 billion according to its accountant, but then Company B comes along and buys Company A for $1.5 billion – more than it’s theoretically worth. After the purchase, Company B’s accountants also determine that Company A’s assets are only worth $1 billion, and so they allocate the remaining $500 million to ‘goodwill’ on the balance sheet to even out the discrepancy. If Company B continues to make lots of high-priced acquisitions, it’ll build up more goodwill over time.”

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