Eric Navarro advises that the recently-announced ceasefire with the Houthis means little until and u

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A Houthi Ceasefire?; Pakistan's Terrorists; Tunisia on the Edge; Don't Be Fooled by Syria's Suited Islamists

By Winfield Myers ● May 10, 2025

Smart Brevity® count: 7.5 mins...1972 words

Eric Navarro advises that the recently-announced ceasefire with the Houthis means little until and unless Iran terminates its support for its proxy. Arun Anand warns that Pakistan’s years-long practice of harboring terrorists risks destabilizing the region. Tunisia’s increasingly authoritarian regime means that, for its people to light the region on fire again, writes Amine Ayoub, “all that’s needed is a match.” And Giulio Meotti laments the willful blindness of Europeans who refuse to see the dangers of Islamist violence, whether in Syria directed against the Druze, or at home in their own streets.

ICYMI: Israel Insider with Alex Selsky

Israel Insider

The Knesset's summer session has opened, bringing with it battles over the coalition's stability. What's on the agenda, and what are Netanyahu's biggest political landmines?

Alex Selsky is a senior adviser to the Israel Victory Project and serves on the board of directors of Middle East Forum-Israel. Mr. Selsky currently serves as a reserve major in the IDF Homefront Command emergency information unit. He is also a lecturer at the School of Politics and Journalism at Hadassah Academic College in Jerusalem. Previously, Mr. Selsky served as an advisor to Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, spokesperson for the Israeli National Economic Council, member of the board of governors of the Jewish Agency for Israel, member of the executive board of the World Zionist Organization, and CEO of the International Israel Beytenu Movement. He holds a B.A. in Business and an Executive Master of Public Policy from the Hebrew University of Jerusalem.

To watch the full podcast, click here.

The Houthi Ceasefire Is Not the End

Security guards aboard a vessel in the Gulf of Aden. Shutterstock
By: Eric Navarro

President Donald Trump declared on May 6, 2025, that relentless strategic pressure has forced the Houthis to halt their attacks on commercial shipping.

Why it matters: This outcome underscores the unyielding effectiveness of a decisive military stance and strategic clarity.

  • The Houthis' retreat is a direct result of fear, not diplomacy, showcasing the power of targeted aggression.

  • But beware: the Houthis' history of using ceasefires to regroup demands vigilant scrutiny and strategic foresight.

Strategic next steps: The Trump administration should escalate its approach, merging economic warfare with political and informational dominance to dismantle Iran’s proxy influence in Yemen.

  • U.S. naval forces must enforce Red Sea security uncompromisingly, responding decisively to any infractions.

Diplomatic ultimatum: Tehran’s proxy warfare cannot continue unchecked while it seeks any nuclear negotiations.

  • The U.S. must leverage sanctions and diplomatic pressure to make Tehran choose between supporting the Houthis or facing severe consequences.

The stakes: Failure to act decisively will embolden Tehran and other adversaries, risking broader regional instability.

  • Sustained aggression and strategic resolve are essential to maintain global security and deter adversaries.

To read the full article, click here.

Event: Forgotten Frontlines: A Jewish Journey from War to Identity with Gregg Roman

Forgotten Frontlines

When:
Thursday, May 15, 2025 at 7:30 P.M. (Doors at 7 P.M.)

Where:
Oshman Family JCC, Freidenrich Conference Center (4th Floor)
3921 Fabian Way
Palo Alto, CA 94303

Gregg Roman will explore how asymmetrical harassment—manifested in social media vitriol, campus intimidation and brazen acts of hate—demands an equally resolute, multifaceted response. He will offer candid insights into harnessing political advocacy, communal resilience and vibrant Jewish engagement to counter the rising tide of antisemitism.

In the aftermath of the October 7, 2023, Hamas attacks on Israel, Jewish communities across the globe have found themselves under an alarming surge of antisemitic hatred. While international headlines focus on the conflict in Gaza, the lived reality for American Jews—on college campuses, in communal institutions and online—often goes overlooked.

In this compelling talk, Mr. Roman will share his journey from his early years in suburban Pennsylvania to his transformative time on Israeli frontlines, in the Knesset and within influential policy organizations. Drawing on firsthand experiences that span physical war zones and the more insidious battlegrounds of antisemitic rhetoric, Roman argues that the U.S. Jewish community is the "forgotten front" in a global struggle for Jewish identity.

Gregg Roman is the executive director and chief operations officer of the Middle East Forum, previously directing the Community Relations Council of the Jewish Federation of Greater Pittsburgh. In 2014, the Jewish Telegraphic Agency named him one of the "ten most inspiring global Jewish leaders," and he previously served as the political advisor to the deputy foreign minister of Israel and worked for the Israeli Ministry of Defense. A frequent speaker on Middle East affairs, Mr. Roman appears on international news channels such as Fox News, i24NEWS, Al-Jazeera, BBC World News and Israel’s Channels 12 and 13. He studied national security and political communications at American University and the Interdisciplinary Center in Herzliya and has contributed to The Hill, Newsweek, the Los Angeles Times, the Miami Herald and the Jerusalem Post.

To register for the event, click here.

Statecraft Reimagined 2025 - Registration Deadline May 11!

conference banner

The last day to register for MEF’s 2025 Statecraft Reimagined policy conference is Sunday, May 11. Register now to reserve your spot!

Statecraft Reimagined will gather leading experts and policymakers to discuss the most urgent and complex issues shaping the future of the Middle East. This extraordinary event is poised to be the premier Middle East policy gathering in D.C. this year, offering unparalleled insights, networking, and strategic guidance.

We also invite you to participate in ‘The Strait,’ an immersive and interactive war game simulation on May 22. Navigate a crisis in the Strait of Hormuz, facing cyber threats and diplomatic challenges. Sharpen your strategic skills, network with experts, and shape the outcome.

To register for the conference, click here.

India’s ‘Operation Sindoor’ Exposes How Pakistan Has Been Harboring Terrorism

In an April 22 terrorist assault in Kashmir near Pahalgam—a renowned tourist destination—five armed terrorists brazenly opened fire on tourists, resulting in 26 casualties. Shutterstock
By: Arun Anand

With public outrage mounting over the killing of 26 civilians in Pahalgam, Kashmir, by Pakistan's proxy terrorists, the Indian armed forces launched Operation Sindoor, striking terror infrastructure in Pakistan.

Why it matters: This military response highlights India's resolve to confront terrorism at its roots, challenging Pakistan's denial and complicity.

  • Islamabad initially dismissed the attack as a "false flag," but subsequent admissions by Pakistan's defense minister further confirm its history of supporting terrorist groups.

Background: The roots of Pakistan’s support for terror trace back to the contested 1947 accession to India of Jammu and Kashmir, where Pakistani-backed groups have long targeted Indian territory.

  • Prominent attacks, such as the 2008 Mumbai terror attacks, showcase Pakistan's terror infrastructure reaching beyond regional disputes.

What’s next: India has intensified diplomatic and economic measures against Pakistan, including suspending the Indus Water Treaty and severing diplomatic ties.

  • The global community must hold Islamabad accountable to prevent further destabilization in the region and beyond.

The stakes: Pakistan's ongoing support for terrorist networks risks escalating into a broader security crisis, threatening regional and global stability.

  • International cooperation is crucial to dismantling these terror networks and ensuring long-term peace.

To read the full article, click here.

The STRAIT: A Middle East Forum War Game Simulation - Wednesday, May 22

The STRAIT

We are pleased to invite you to THE STRAIT, a one-day war game simulation hosted by the Middle East Forum on May 22, 2025. This immersive event places you in the heart of a hypothetical crisis in the Strait of Hormuz—one of the world’s most strategically vital maritime chokepoints.

Why Attend? Realistic Scenario: Confront cyber threats, naval standoffs, and diplomatic showdowns in a setting that reflects modern-day regional tensions.Expert Leadership: MEF staff, backed by a team of regional and security specialists, will guide you through this high-stakes exercise.Hands-On Experience: Hone your crisis management, negotiation, and decision-making skills in real time.Networking: Engage with policymakers, analysts, and thought leaders who share a passion for Middle East affairs and global security.

What to Expect: Confidential Briefings: Before the event, you’ll receive exclusive background materials outlining the forces at play—from Iran’s growing asymmetric capabilities to Saudi Arabia’s advanced military power.Interactive War Game: Take on the role of a key actor—whether it’s a regional state, a global superpower, or a critical stakeholder—and decide how to respond as tensions mount.Strategic Outcomes: The simulation’s outcome rests on your decisions.

Will you negotiate a peaceful settlement, or spark a conflict with global repercussions?Don’t miss your chance to experience THE STRAIT—a compelling and educational event that will challenge your strategic thinking and expose you to the complexities of 21st-century geopolitical crises. We look forward to your participation in this exciting simulation!

To register for the 2025 policy conference, ‘Statecraft Reimagined,’ and admission to ‘THE STRAIT’ war game simulation, click here.

If you have already registered for the 2025 policy conference and would like to purchase admission to ‘THE STRAIT’ on Wednesday, May 22 as an add-on, click here.

Tunisia’s Silent Rage: Are the Streets Waiting to Erupt Again?

Western democracies, once quick to hail Tunisia as a success story, have been disturbingly quiet. European Union leaders and the UK have turned a blind eye to the repression, too eager to maintain dea...
By: Amine Ayoub

The authoritarian shift: Tunisia's democratic spark from the so-called “Arab Spring” is dimming under President Kais Saied's authoritarian regime.

  • Saied's self-coup in 2021 dismantled democratic institutions, leading to severe repression of opposition voices.

Systematic crackdown: Mass arrests and sham trials are tools in Saied's arsenal to suppress dissent.

  • Even minor offenses, like not displaying the national flag, result in severe penalties.

  • Saied’s obsession with silencing critics only confirms one thing. He’s afraid. He knows the revolution that birthed his presidency could turn on him just as quickly.

Western inaction: Despite Tunisia's repressive turn, Western nations prioritize migration control over democratic support.

  • The EU's move to list Tunisia as a safe country of origin is laughable considering the brutal political climate. In a cynical tradeoff, human rights are sacrificed for border control.

The looming threat: Economic decline and corruption have fueled public discontent, mirroring the pre-revolution situation.

  • The conditions for revolt are back. All that’s missing is a match. Are Tunisians waiting for a second Arab Spring? Maybe. Or maybe they’re preparing for it.

To read the full article, click here.

Islam or Israel? Where Can Minorities Live?

So far, hundreds of Druze have been killed in the silence of the media, European chancelleries, and the U.N. Communal Druze leaders from Majdal Shams, Israel; Sept. 3, 2009. Shutterstock
By: Giulio Meotti

The rise of the Syrian Caliphate and persecution of minorities like the Druze reveal the profound failure of multiculturalism and the West's refusal to confront radical Islam.

Why it matters: European nations, swayed by multicultural ideals, ignore the rising threat of radical Islam, allowing Syria to become a hotspot for extremism.

  • The massacre of over 1,800 Alawites and attacks on the Druze expose the consequences of Western apathy and misplaced priorities.

The West's blind spot: While Europe engages with Syria's Islamist regime, it overlooks the egregious human rights abuses, prioritizing economic ties over moral obligations.

  • France's recent agreement with Syria epitomizes this failure, reflecting a broader Western trend of valuing diplomacy over justice.

Warnings unheeded: Chaldean Archbishop Emil Nona's stark warnings about the threats to Western values are dismissed by leaders enamored of multicultural fantasies.

  • His critique underscores the willful blindness of Western liberalism in the face of a resurgent radical Islam that jeopardizes Middle Eastern and European stability.

Urgent call to action: The international community must abandon its multicultural delusions and unite against radical Islam.

  • The West must act decisively to protect vulnerable minorities and uphold its core values, recognizing that inaction today risks a larger crisis tomorrow.

To read the full article, click here.

Further Reading:

India Must Now Embrace Israel’s ‘Operation Wrath of God’
By: Michael Rubin
Operatives must go into Pakistan and to any location where participants in the Pahalgam massacres May be to exact justice.

Should India’s Response to Pakistani Terror Go Further?
By: Michael Rubin
India’s recent limited airstrikes following the April 22 terrorist attack in Kashmir are insufficient to deter future Pakistan-sponsored terrorism.

FBI Finally Investigating Terror Attack Against Jews by Illegal Border Crosser
By: Todd Bensman
Nearly seven months have elapsed since an illegal immigrant from Mauritania shot and wounded a visibly orthodox Jewish Man in a Chicago terror attack.

We hope you enjoyed this issue of the Dispatch. If you found it helpful in understanding the Middle East and Islamism, please share it with a friend, encourage them to subscribe to the Middle East Forum’s mailing list, and feel free to share your feedback with us. Another issue will land in your inbox soon.

Thank you,

Winfield Myers
Managing Editor, Middle East Forum
Director, Campus Watch

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MEF, an activist think tank, deals with the Middle East, Islamism, U.S. foreign policy, and related topics, urging bold measures to protect Americans and their allies. Pursuing its goals via intellectual and operational means, the Forum recurrently has policy ideas adopted by the U.S. government.

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