Gregg Roman suggests a third way to approach Iran: neither appeasement nor war, but systematic suppo

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Empowering Iran's Democratic Future; Striking Iranian Truckers Endanger Regime; 'Are You Alawite?'; Hamas & Witkoff

By Winfield Myers ● Jun 04, 2025

Smart Brevity® count: 7.5 mins...1953 words

Gregg Roman suggests a third way to approach Iran: neither appeasement nor war, but systematic support for Iranians’ democratic aspirations. Those are also helped by the ongoing strike by Iran’s truckers—a widespread revolt that could hasten the end of the regime, according to two articles featured below.

In an article from the Summer 2025 Middle East Quarterly, Daniel Pipes analyzes the ongoing oppression of Syria’s Alawite minority. With some aid agencies already describing the slaughter of Alawites as “genocide,” Pipes asks if Western politicians will repeat their errors of the Rwandan genocide of 1994 plus Bosnia a few years later and “once again be content merely to apologize after the fact?”

Jonathan Spyer explains why Hamas will not accept Steve Witkoff’s offer for a Gaza ceasefire. We end with a recent MEF Podcast featuring author Bat Ye’or, who provides a historical perspective on dhimmitude. She warns that Europe must reject wishful thinking and forcefully reject the demands by Muslim immigrants to impose Sharia if Europeans are to preserve stability and freedom.

ICYMI: “The Dissolution of the PKK and the End of Its Armed Struggle” with Weysi Dag

Weysi Dag Podcast

The Turkish state is currently engaged in an initiative to address the Kurdish question. This effort, marked by symbolic gestures like the recent handshake between ultranationalist leaders and pro-Kurdish MPs, PKK leader Abdullah Öcalan’s statements announcing the dissolution of his movement, and the PKK Congress confirming this, is unfolding amid shifting domestic and regional dynamics. This presentation will explore the context, conditions, and timing of this process, tracing the historical failures to solve the Kurdish–Turkish conflict, Turkey’s tight control over every facet of the current initiative, and its apparent focus on marginalizing Kurdish political voices rather than resolving the issue. Is Turkey genuinely seeking peace, or is it merely consolidating power at the expense of Kurdish aspirations?

Dr. Weysi Dag is a research fellow in the department of international relations at the Hebrew University of Jerusalem. He is the author of The Construction of Kurdish Diaspora Communities and Identities: A Case Study of Kurdish Refugees in Berlin and London (Han-Verlag, 2012) and Voices of the Disenfranchised: Knowledge Production by Kurdish-Yezidi Refugees from Below (Macmillan, 2024). He has published his research in a wide range of academic journals and media outlets, including openDemocracy, The Conversation, the Jerusalem Post, the Times of Israel, and Jadaliyya. He holds a Ph.D. and diploma degree from the Free University of Berlin.

To read the full article, click here.

The Third Way: Empowering Iran’s Democratic Future

Gregg on NUFDI podcast
By: Gregg Roman

The Islamic Republic of Iran stands at an inflection point as its nuclear threat escalates amidst crumbling domestic legitimacy, challenging U.S. policy.

Why it matters: The conventional approach of military action or diplomatic appeasement is a false dichotomy.

  • Support for Iranian democratic forces is essential to counter the regime's oppressive grip and ensure regional stability.

Historical context: Misguided U.S. policies have historically misread Islamist movements, enabling Iran's subversive global network to thrive.

  • From espionage to economic infiltration, Iran's reach extends across continents, posing a significant threat to Western values and security.

What's new: Current policies that echo Tehran's propaganda risk undermining American interests, allowing Iran's ambitions to advance unchecked.

  • When Tucker Carlson’s talking points echo regime propaganda, or when conservatives excuse the murder of American soldiers because they were deployed overseas, we’re witnessing intellectual capitulation to Tehran’s narrative.

  • The isolationist right’s “America last” and the progressive left’s “diplomacy first” policies lead to the same end: American retreat and Iranian victory.

The bottom line: Embracing and empowering Iran's democratic revolution is non-negotiable for regional peace and U.S. security.

  • The question is not whether the Islamic Republic will fall, but when and how American policy should accelerate this transition while ensuring it produces democracy rather than chaos. The moment for choosing has arrived; history will judge whether we met it.

To read the full article and watch the podcast, click here.

Could Truckers’ Protest Push Iran into Regime Collapse?

Iranian truckers are on strike because of a three-tier diesel pricing system, rising insurance premiums, wages, job security, and political repression. Shutterstock
By: Shepol Abbasi

For more than two weeks, Iranian truck drivers have kept their engines off or left trailers half-open in solidarity, despite threats and arrests.

Why it matters: The strikes highlight grievances beyond diesel pricing and insurance hikes, touching on wages, job security, and political repression.

  • The government's crackdown, including arrests and beatings, underscores systemic corruption, brutality, and economic mismanagement.

  • The perfect storm of strikes, inflation, and eroding public trust represents the Islamic Republic’s most serious internal crisis in years.

Public and union support: Despite state narratives of foreign incitement, public backing grows.

  • Figures like Nobel Laureate Narges Mohammadi and filmmaker Jafar Panahi endorse the protests, which span over 150 towns and cities.

What’s next: As the Trump administration seeks a nuclear deal, potential new U.S. sanctions could intensify the unrest, potentially leading to the regime's downfall.

  • Supreme Leader Khamenei's balancing act is failing, leaving the regime unable to advance or retreat without repercussions.

  • In this climate, even a half-open trailer can carry the weight of something far greater: a storm gaining momentum across Iran’s roads and its Islamic republic.

To read the full article, click here.

Truckers Resist Government Pressure in Growing Iran Strike

A truckers’ strike in Iran has spread to more than 150 cities and lasted more than ten days. Shutterstock
By: Mardo Soghom

Iranian truckers have initiated a nationwide strike, paralyzing the economy and defying a government that struggles to maintain control.

Why it matters: This strike is a powerful demonstration against systemic corruption and inefficiency in Iran's state-run economy.

  • The movement exposes the regime's vulnerabilities, with activists urging nationwide participation to amplify the pressure and push for civil disobedience.

Global solidarity: The strike has reached over 150 cities, disrupting essential supply chains and highlighting the regime's fragility.

  • The hashtag #IranTruckersStrike galvanizes international support, with calls for global unions to stand in solidarity with Iranian drivers.

What’s next: Activists say that President Trump should support the Iranian people and not agree to release billions of dollars in frozen funds to the Islamic Republic, which is perhaps in its weakest position in 46 years.

  • The truckers' resolve signals a seismic shift, threatening to topple the regime as public dissent grows.

  • The Islamic Republic is increasingly on very shaky ground.

To read the full article, click here.

“Are You Alawite?”: A Call to Prevent Genocide in Syria

Sunnis and Shiites alike historically reviled Alawism, a distinct new religion that emerged from Shiite Islam in the ninth century AD. They looked upon Alawites (also known as Alawis, Nusayris, or Ans...
By: Daniel Pipes

As Sunni forces take control of Syria, over 3,000 Alawites were reportedly killed between March 6 and 10, 2025, highlighting their precarious position.

Why it matters: The Alawites, once rulers but now targets, face extreme vulnerability amid Sunni retribution and systemic persecution.

  • This reflects deep-seated historical animosities, exacerbated by current political shifts.

Rise to power: After facing centuries of oppression, Alawites rose to power but become targets of Sunni vengeance following their recent overthrow.

  • The Alawites ruled for 58 years, mostly under Hafez al-Assad (1970-2000) and his son Bashar (2000-2024).

  • Hafez built a brutal police state and imposed Alawite control by placing his co-religionists in the armed forces, the party, the government, the civil bureaucracy, and, above all, the intelligence services.

Revenge against the Alawites:

  • After Bashar’s overthrow, Sunnis exacted vengeance.

  • Sunnis humiliated Alawites, the Economist reports, forcing them “to bark like dogs, sitting on their backs, riding them, and then shooting them dead.”

  • One person described Sunni jihadists “roaming house to house, killing occupants in summary executions and pillaging what they could find.”

International silence: Despite reports of mass killings and sectarian violence, the global response remains muted.

  • The U.S. lifting sanctions without safeguarding minority is alarming, echoing as it does past failures in Rwanda and Bosnia.

  • Except for Israel, it appears that outside powers have entirely abandoned the Alawites.

Call to action: Activists urge international intervention to prevent further atrocities and safeguard the Alawite community's future.

  • The present danger to Syria’s Alawites is clear: will politicians once again be content merely to apologize for genocide after the fact?

To read the full article in the Summer 2025 Middle East Quarterly, click here.

Why Hamas Won’t Accept Witkoff’s Gaza Ceasefire Offer

U.S. Envoy Steve Witkoff finally received an answer to his latest proposal for a ceasefire and hostage exchange in Gaza over the weekend from Hamas: a no in all but name. Shutterstock
By: Jonathan Spyer

U.S. Envoy Steve Witkoff's proposal for a ceasefire and hostage exchange in Gaza has been effectively rejected by Hamas, highlighting the core dispute in the conflict.

Why it matters: Hamas seeks Israeli withdrawal from Gaza while ensuring it can reorganize its forces, rejecting any deal that weakens its strategic position.

  • Deriving from its Islamist ideology, the terror group is entirely indifferent to loss of life among the residents of Gaza, so their undoubted suffering does not bring about the slightest shift in its stance.

Conflict dynamics: While portraying its campaign as an attempt to destroy Hamas capacities, Israel in fact sought to apply military pressure on the terror group to soften its stance in the hostage negotiations.

  • The blows suffered by the Gaza Islamists were real and telling—but they inevitably stopped short of a real effort to destroy Hamas in the territory, because to do so would have endangered or doomed the hostages. Hence the ongoing raids and subsequent withdrawals.

What’s next: The war between Israel and Hamas should properly be understood as a contest between societies and systems, rather than between armed forces.

  • Israel hopes that by unambiguously crushing Hamas in Gaza, it can demonstrate that its own societal model possesses the vigor to respond to the Islamists’ long war against it, to frustrate their aims, and roll them back.

  • If this could be achieved in part by separating the population from Hamas, and by the population of Gaza then abandoning or turning on their Islamist rulers, then so much the better.

  • Witkoff’s proposal doesn’t seem like it will resolve this issue any time soon—and so Israel’s war with Gaza looks set to continue.

To read the full article, click here.

Bat Ye’or on Dhimmitude: A Historical and Contemporary Perspective

Bat Ye'or on dhimmitude
By: Marilyn Stern

Bat Ye’or explains "dhimmitude," where non-Muslims under Islamic rule face subjugation as jihad aims to impose Sharia—Islamic law—globally.

Why it matters: The atrocities by Hamas in Israel are not isolated incidents, but part of a larger jihadist ideology that seeks to extend Sharia's reach worldwide.

  • Sharia mandates that jihad continue until all people either convert to Islam or are compelled to live under Islam.

  • This ideological war threatens to erode Judeo-Christian civilizations, turning them into Islamic states under dhimmitude.

Cultural invasion: Europe is witnessing jihad's cultural encroachment, as Islamic blasphemy laws and alliances with various anti-Christian factions undermine Western values.

  • The historical transformation of Christian lands into Islamic ones through dhimmitude serves as a stark warning of the potential future for Europe.

  • Today, jihad’s cultural war against the West is aided by “an unexpected alliance” with “the anti-Christian left, the ex-communist factions, neo-Nazi[s], and the Western anti-Zionist.”

Urgent action needed: As Europe grapples with integration challenges and extremist ideologies, it must confront these threats head-on.

  • Europe’s appeasement of Muslim criminality is based on its fear of seeing its relationships with Muslim countries deteriorate, but even greater is its fear of “terrorist reprisals.”

  • The international community must reject wishful thinking and critically address these dynamics to preserve stability and freedom.

To watch the video and read a summary, click here.

Further Reading:

Iranian Embassy in Vienna

We hope you enjoyed this issue of the Dispatch. If you found it helpful in understanding the Middle East and Islamism, please share it with a friend, encourage them to subscribe to the Middle East Forum’s mailing list, and feel free to share your feedback with us. Another issue will land in your inbox soon.

Thank you,

Winfield Myers
Managing Editor, Middle East Forum
Director, Campus Watch

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