Legacy Research Group

June 3, 2021

Chris Lowe
Chris Lowe

Meme stock AMC shot up 3,000% for the year… How to bet safely in the lunatic casino… In the mailbag: “Reading your story inspires me to keep going”…


“Meme stocks” aren’t going away…

Yesterday’s trading frenzy in shares of struggling movie theater operator AMC Entertainment (AMC) made that clear.

It’s one of the stocks, along with video game retailer GameStop (GME), that individual investors have targeted by way of the WallStreetBets group on Reddit.

AMC closed yesterday’s session at an all-time high of $62.55 a share – nearly double Tuesday’s closing price.

Take a look…

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Even more incredible… since the start of May, AMC is up 500%.

And yesterday’s move left it up 3,000% for the year as of yesterday’s close. (At writing, it trades at $51.34 – still up more than 2,300% for the year.)

To put that in perspective, bitcoin (BTC) is up 3,000% over the past four years.

Amazon.com (AMZN) is up 3,000% over the last 11 years.

And Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B), the conglomerate run by super-investor Warren Buffett, is up 3,000% over the past 28 years.

AMC’s wild outperformance is even stranger given its recent losses…

The company lost $4.6 billion last year, mostly due to COVID-19. But in 2019, it was already bleeding money – losing $149 million.

And with more of us choosing to stream movies at home rather than go to a movie theater… its profit outlook isn’t great.

But that hasn’t stopped the Reddit army from piling into AMC stock. And it hasn’t stopped AMC management from courting its attention.

Dump Gold, Buy Bitcoin (And This?)

The movie theater chain launched a portal on its website for individual investors who are pumping up its stock. When they sign up for AMC’s loyalty program, they get special offers… including a free tub of popcorn!

The company even delayed its annual shareholders’ meeting to give these folks an opportunity to attend and “make their important voices heard.”

As Dorothy says in The Wizard of Oz, “Toto, I have a feeling we’re not in Kansas anymore.”

The meme-stock phenomenon isn’t going away...

That’s something we all have to grapple with as investors.

So today we’ll look at whether the stock market has turned into a casino for the deranged, as our ever-skeptical cofounder Bill Bonner believes…

And we’ll tackle the thorny question of whether these meme stocks deserve a place in your portfolio as moonshot bets.

(As always, you can have your say by writing to feedback@legacyresearch.com.)

First, a shoutout to new readers…

The Daily Cut is the e-letter we created for all paid-up Legacy Research subscribers.

Legacy is the publishing alliance behind Bill, Doug Casey, Teeka Tiwari, Dave Forest, Jeff Brown, Nick Giambruno, Jason Bodner, Tom Dyson, and Dan Denning.

Each day, they publish insights about stocks, cryptocurrencies, commodities, bleeding-edge tech, macroeconomics, and trading…

There’s so much material, it takes me and my team a whole morning to sift through it.

Once we do, I send the choicest “cuts” from this research… in easy-to-digest form… straight to your inbox.

And today, I’m shining the spotlight on our cofounder Bill Bonner’s take on the meme-stock spectacle.

Bill reckons the feds are to blame…

As we’ve been covering in these pages, we’re living through an age of unprecedented stimulus.

This next chart is of the size of President Biden’s stimulus proposals, in inflation-adjusted terms, compared with past government interventions.

image

The amount Biden wants to spend is three times larger than what we saw after the 2008 financial crisis.

And it’s nearly five times larger than the New Deal social programs during the Great Depression in the 1930s.

This is powering the meme-stock phenomenon, says Bill…

Right now, much of the stimmy-check money is going into the Wall Street economy, not the Main Street economy. Robinhood and other online trading platforms opened new accounts at a feverish pace last year.

This is easy-come, easy-go money… Might as well exchange it for gambling chips.

More fun than a casino – where gamblers at least understand the odds, more or less – the stock market has turned into a sort of bingo game for dyslexic lunatics. Neither words nor numbers need to make any sense.

And the stock market isn’t the only place lunatic gamblers are at work.

Something similar is happening in the crypto market…

Dogecoin (DOGE) – pronounced “dohj-coin” – is a meme-inspired cryptocurrency.

In 2013, a pair of software engineers, Billy Markus and Jackson Palmer, created it to poke fun at the wild speculation happening in the crypto market.

Despite that – or maybe because of it – Dogecoin is up 3,945% so far this year.

That’s 789x more than shares in Pfizer (PFE) – a company behind one of the most effective COVID-19 vaccines.

Shares in the pharmaceutical giant are up just 5% this year.

Charlie Munger says meme traders have turned the market into a casino…

He’s Buffett’s right-hand man at Berkshire Hathaway.

But Bill reckons calling the market a casino gives gamblers a bad name…

When you buy a meme stock or cryptocurrency without doing any research, you are neither investing nor speculating. You’re pretending to invest or speculate without any idea what you’re doing.

You’re simply hoping that… no matter how big a fool you are… there’s a bigger fool out there to buy from you at an even higher price.

Most folks would do best to avoid meme stocks…

As our analysts have shown, you don’t need to take wild punts on meme stocks and cryptos to move the needle on your wealth.

The list is long… But for instance, Teeka Tiwari has handed readers of our Palm Beach Confidential advisory the chance to make gains of 9,193%… 30,015%… and even 46,202% on functional cryptos that solve real-world problems.

Nick Giambruno gave readers another standout string of gains at our Crisis Investing advisory.

Last March, he added a tiny psychedelic medicine stock, MindMed (MMEDF), to the model portfolio. And in December, he recommended his readers close this position for a 996% gain.

He also handed his readers the chance at a gain of 2,123% on bitcoin mining stock Argo Blockchain (ARB.L).

But what if you really, really want to take a punt on a meme asset?

That’s okay, too.

Just make sure it’s with money you can afford to lose. And keep your position size small.

A good rule of thumb for moonshot-type bets like AMC is to keep them to no more than 1% of your overall portfolio.

That way, you’re still in with a shot of scoring a big win at the lunatic casino… but you don’t put your existing wealth at risk.

Even if your meme trade gets wiped out, the maximum you can lose is 1% of your liquid net worth.

That may not be pleasant. Egg on your face never is. But your wealth will live to fight another day.

I’ll have more for you on how to build a portfolio of speculations next week. It’s something our other cofounder, Doug Casey, calls the 10 x 10 Approach.

You couldn’t get a simpler way to speculate. And it limits your risk while allowing you to swing for the fences.

In the mailbag: “Reading your story inspires me to keep going”…

As Cut regulars know, one of the profit opportunities tech expert Jeff Brown is most excited about is the rise of precision medicine.

That’s why, last year, he signed up for a battery of bleeding-edge medical tests at Health Nucleus, a precision-medicine center in La Jolla, California. (Note that neither Legacy Research nor Jeff has any professional relationship with nor receives compensation from Health Nucleus.)

The tests led to a shocking diagnosis – prostate cancer.

But thanks to precision-medicine tech, it was early enough for Jeff to confidently fight back against the disease.

He recently returned to Health Nucleus for his six-month checkup. His doctor concluded that by changing his diet and exercise regimen, Jeff had managed to shrink his cancer.

And his readers are thrilled…

Congratulations on your good health! I have followed you since becoming a lifetime member in 2018. I am 59 and just started my own cleanse. Reading your story inspires me to keep going.

– Nicholas A.

Youremail made my day. Congratulations on changing your lifestyle to reduce your prostate cancer. I look forward to hearing about your next checkup in six months.

– Warren S.

I was intrigued by your story and wonderful results from your visit to Health Nucleus, enough so that I called there myself. Unfortunately, the $19,000 price tag is too expensive for me.

Thanks very much for your work. It has been both fun and profitable to read each issue.

– John W.

I went to Health Nucleus several months ago. They found similar issues, with my liver and prediabetes.

I am thankful that Jeff wrote about this earlier this year. I am now on a plan to get healthier as well. I would not have known about my health issues without Jeff’s initial recommendation of Health Nucleus. Please tell him thanks!

– Lee S.

Do you know someone who’s benefited from precision medicine? Let us know at feedback@legacyresearch.com.

Regards,

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Chris Lowe
June 3, 2021
Bray, Ireland

Like what you’re reading? Send your thoughts to feedback@legacyresearch.com.

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