What’s going on here? JPMorgan Chase and Citigroup both delivered better-than-expected results on Tuesday, thanks mostly to their trading desks. What does this mean? Hectic trading floors were the MVPs for both banks last quarter, raking in cash with every buy and sell during all the tariff-driven volatility. JPMorgan posted nearly $15 billion in profit, topping analysts’ forecasts, with trading revenue jumping 15% to hit $8.9 billion. The big bank’s investment banking income also climbed, rising 7% to $2.5 billion despite expectations of a double-digit slip. Citigroup, meanwhile, logged its best second quarter in five years. The heavy-hitting trading division pulled in $5.9 billion of revenue – 16% more than the same time last year – which helped the bank, ahem, bank $4 billion in profit. Citi’s investment banking income rose too, lifting 18%. Still, both banks’ CEOs struck a cautious tone about the future, highlighting risks from trade tensions, rising government debt, and unsettled markets. Why should I care? Zooming in: Welcome to the big Citi. Citi’s stock has been crushing it. The shares have risen 39% since the bank’s last earnings update – probably because Citi’s been expanding its wealth unit, managing blockbuster IPOs, and landing big merger deals. And it gets better: the bank just hiked its dividend and announced that it’ll hit its $84 billion revenue target for the year. Just remember that this is Wall Street, not Easy Street. Citi’s credit losses have started to pile up, suggesting that the US economy is facing some challenges beneath the surface. The bigger picture: Banks are back (sort of). Financial stocks weren’t expected to impress this earnings season. Their average profit growth was forecast at a paltry 2.4%, ranking them fifth among the market’s 11 sectors. Thing is, that figure is skewed by some seriously glittery results from this time last year, when JPMorgan sold off an asset for a one-time gain of $8 billion. Strip that boost out of the equation, and expected earnings for the sector would be bumped up to a more respectable 9% – third among the 11. |