What’s going on here? Meta was the first of tech’s “trillion-dollar club” to report results from last quarter, and it quickly demonstrated just how hard investors are to please. What does this mean? Investors had high hopes for Meta. They’d sent the share price up 40% this year and 130% over the past 12 months – impressed by the company getting over its advertising slump, cutting costs, and updating its share buyback and dividend schemes. Facebook’s parent mostly delivered: its earnings beat expectations, with profit more than doubling from a year earlier. Sales were better than expected, too, rising 27% from the same time last year and pushing the rate of revenue growth up for the fifth straight quarter. But a weaker-than-usual revenue forecast for the current quarter and higher expected costs were a downer, sending the stock initially plunging more than 10%. Why should I care? For markets: Meta did it better. While some tech companies – ahem, Apple – are drag-and-dropping little AI enhancements into their products, Meta released the third version of its Llama system last week. The open-source large language model is set to compete with the likes of ChatGPT, but it’s costing Meta more than a few pretty pennies – and that’s understandably making investors nervous. That said, the company believes the tech will prove its worth by making users more engaged, scraping their behavioral data, and eventually paving the way for fresh monetization strategies. The bigger picture: What to expect when you’re expecting success. The world’s biggest tech companies have solid track records of growing profit. That doesn’t just translate into high valuations and stock prices, but also extremely elevated expectations. So now, it’s increasingly hard for them to impress investors – as Netflix experienced too when its stock fell 9% despite unveiling relatively positive results last week. Warren Buffett’s words of wisdom might ring true, then: if an investor trusts a company’s fundamentals, he believes they should ignore the short-term bumps and trust the process. |