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Hi John, here's what you need to know for February 28th in 3:14 minutes.

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Today's big stories

  1. Microsoft joined other tech giants in reducing its profit outlook because of the coronavirus
  2. Markets are starting to signal that the US Federal Reserve might bail out concerned investors – Read Now
  3. Advertising agency WPP isn’t expecting its revenue to rebound after falling last year – and its shares fell 16%
1/3

Microsoft Is Not Responding

Microsoft Is Not Responding

What’s Going On Here?

A problem was detected and, in a statement late on Wednesday, Microsoft reduced its profit outlook to prevent long-term damage to its business. If this message appears again, please reboot your global tech giant.

What Does This Mean?

Microsoft, the biggest US company by market value, told investors it no longer expects its personal computing division to meet its sales targets. The virus has, after all, forced factories all over China into shutdown, disrupting the company’s manufacturing. And that’s a big issue: Microsoft’s personal computing business – which sells products like Windows, Surface laptops, and Xbox consoles – makes up more than a third of the company’s overall sales.

US tech companies rely heavily on China to produce their goods, so it’s no surprise to see supply chain disruptions knock Microsoft off balance. They’ve done the same to Apple and HP, which have slashed their own estimates too. It could be worse, mind you: Microsoft doesn’t think the virus will harm its fast-growing cloud computing business. Not yet, anyway.

Why Should I Care?

For markets: All for one, one for fall.
Microsoft’s shares fell on Thursday, and so did those of chipmakers Intel and AMD, two of its major suppliers. Then again, Thursday was the fourth consecutive day of virus-related declines for the whole of the US stock market. And as if to mark the occasion, new data arrived to show US factory orders for big-ticket items (think cars and appliances) falling in January – even before the worst of the virus had emerged.

The bigger picture: Nervous Nellies.
On Thursday, Goldman Sachs and Citi warned investors that the current sell-off will get worse before it gets better. They reckon there’s a lack of clarity into when the epidemic will be resolved and, more importantly, how the US Federal Reserve will respond (tweet this). The central bank has so far kept zipped about any potential future interest rate cuts, and that’s not doing much to put edgy investors at ease.

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2/3 Premium Story

Call The Cavalry

As signs grow that the coronavirus outbreak will dent the global economy, some investors are predicting central banks will respond by trimming interest rates to goose growth. The Federal Reserve has bailed out investors before: will it work again?

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3/3

PR Stunt

PR Stunt

What’s Going On Here?

WPP has taken the old adage “there’s no such thing as bad publicity” a bit too literally: the PR and ad agency cut its growth outlook on Thursday, and its shares tumbled by their most since 1992.

What Does This Mean?

WPP’s revenue fell 1.6% in 2019, and the company admitted it’s not expecting that to rebound this year. It’ll apparently be too busy trying to fend off competition from tech powerhouses like Google and Facebook, which are taking up more and more of the advertising market. Oh, and WPP’s unsatisfying 2020 outlook doesn’t take into account the potential impact of the coronavirus outbreak, either.

The epidemic is on AB InBev’s mind too, and not just because it owns the unfavorably named Corona brand: the world's largest beer-maker warned on Thursday that its first-quarter sales will fall by 10%, with China’s nightlife grinding to a halt and the company shutting its breweries in the country. The tediously named Standard Chartered, meanwhile, also acknowledged the virus will hit its 2020 profit: the British bank – already struggling with a recession in Hong Kong – makes almost 70% of its revenue in Asia.

Why Should I Care?

For markets: Think of the children!
Shares of all of the above dropped heavily after their announcements on Thursday. But herein lies a valuable lesson: when investors are selling off heavily – as they have been all week – try not to throw the baby out with the bathwater. Electronics retailer Best Buy just reported fourth-quarter results that exceeded investors’ expectations, but its shares initially fell on Thursday too.

Zooming out: Checkout.
Clearly, tumbling stock markets don’t exactly make for an ideal environment for an initial public offering. That could be why retail giant Walmart announced earlier this week that it’s thinking about selling its stake in UK supermarket Asda to private equity investors, rather than pressing ahead with its plan to float the grocer on the stock exchange.

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💬 Quote of the day

“We’re here for a reason. I believe that reason is to throw little torches out to lead people through the dark.”

– Whoopi Goldberg (an American actor, comedian, author, and television personality)
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😭 In case you missed it…

Here are a few things you might’ve missed in the Finimize app this week.

  • Our analysts took a look at the stocks that stand to gain from a coronavirus pandemic – Read now
  • One successful fund warned income-focused investors… not to look at income at all – Read now
  • Epidemics, recessions, and European banks: just a few of the things our analysts chatted about in our February Review – Listen now

📚 What we're reading

  • Don’t be bummed out by your friends’ successes (Vice)
  • The hidden relationship between Saudi Arabia and Twitter (Buzzfeed)
  • What’s going on with the Samsung Z Flip’s folding glass? (The Verge)
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