If my candidate is behind, the poll must be biased; A federal court struck down much of North Carolina’s voter ID law — but what’s left could still shrink the black vote; Here’s what Plato had to say about someone like Donald Trump; Yes, the party in power tends to lose votes over time. But how often?;     Did Colombians actually reject the peace deal? Not if you look at the statistics. Are the official results nullifying thousands of votes? By Michael Spagat and Neil Johnson  •  Read more » ADVERTISEMENT   If my candidate is behind, the poll must be biased Humans are very, very good at persuading ourselves that our side is winning. By Ozan Kuru, Josh Pasek and Michael Traugott  •  Read more »   A federal court struck down much of North Carolina’s voter ID law — but what’s left could still shrink the black vote The loss of a straight ticket voting option could have major consequences in 2016. By Erik J. Engstrom and Jason M. Roberts  •  Read more »   Here’s what Plato had to say about someone like Donald Trump This way lies tyranny. By David Lay Williams  •  Read more »   Yes, the party in power tends to lose votes over time. But how often? We can only learn from history if we understand the facts. By Andrew Gelman  •  Read more »   ADVERTISEMENT   Recommended for you   Wonkbook Your daily cheat sheet on economic and domestic policy from Wonkblog. Sign Up »         Share Monkey Cage:       Twitter      Facebook Trouble reading? Click here to view in your browser. You received this email because you signed up for the Monkey Cage. For additional free newsletters or to manage your newsletters, click here. We respect your privacy. If you believe that this email has been sent to you in error or you no longer wish to receive email from The Washington Post, click here. Contact us for help. ©2016 The Washington Post, 1301 K St NW, Washington DC 20071