It was a great run for mortgage rates over the last 2 weeks with a sharp decline last week followed by very respectable ground-holding in the present week.  But things got less respectable today.  Bonds (which underlie day to day rate momentum) began the day in only moderately weaker territory before tanking hard in the afternoon.  Said tankage was the result of an appallingly weak 30yr Treasury auction. We discussed Treasury auction implications a bit yesterday, but the gist is that a bad Treasury auction is bad for rates.  It's that simple and today's Treasury auction was very bad.  There's nothing too dramatic underlying the bad showing.  If anything, it's just confirmation that rates have managed to come a long way (lower) very quickly and that it's time for them to cool off and consolidate before the next move. Anything can happen on any given day, but the "next move" stands the best chance of getting some guidance after next week's Consumer Price Index (CPI) on Tuesday morning.  This is a key inflation report that has been responsible for some of the biggest moves we've seen in rates in the past 2 years. As for today, the average mortgage lender was only moderately higher in the morning, but most lenders made mid-day adjustments that left them sharply higher compared to yesterday afternoon.
MND logo
November 9, 2023
Download our Mobile App:
Download from Google Play
Download from Apple App Store
View the QR Code
Download our Mobile App:
Download from Google Play
Download from Apple App Store
Mortgage Rate Watch
It was a great run for mortgage rates over the last 2 weeks with a sharp decline last week followed by very respectable ground-holding in the present week.  But things got less respectable today.  Bonds (which underlie day to day rate mome... (read more)
MBS Commentary
There's a tendency, among bond watching loan originators, to focus a bit too much on whatever is happening on the present day in the bond market.  Higher rates today? "Oh no... It's bad.  Why is it bad?  Why can't we catch a break... (read more)
Rob Chrisman
Originators: Want to add value for your potential current or previous clients who are veterans? Send them a link to Veteran’s Day discounts and free meals. LOs and brokers are good at staying in touch with potential clients and continue to prospect a... (read more)
Mortgage Rates
MBS / Treasuries