Super High Potential Energy Surrounding Tuesday's Data Monday proved to be the quintessential placeholder trading day that it was probably always destined to be.  Bonds lost a modest amount of ground early, regained most of it, and then lost it again by the close.  All told, it was only a few bps in terms of 10yr yields and thus not worth writing home about.  Trading levels have obviously leveled off in a sideways holding pattern ahead of Tuesday's CPI.  On that note, it would be difficult to overstate the potential energy for bonds waiting on the other side of 8:30am ET.  Granted, there's always a chance that the needle is threaded and little movement ensues, but there's also a chance that it's the most dramatic day for bonds in months, for better or worse.   Market Movement Recap09:28 AM Sideways to slightly weaker in uneventful trading.  MBS down an eighth.  10yr up half a bp at 4.081 12:14 PM Weaker into the 11am hour, but recovering now.  MBS down 6 ticks (.19) and 10yr up 2.3bps at 4.10 03:05 PM Slightly stronger after 1pm TSY auction, but weaker into 3pm close.  10yr up 2.3bps at 4.10.  MBS down 5 ticks (.16)
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March 11, 2024
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MBS Commentary
Super High Potential Energy Surrounding Tuesday's Data Monday proved to be the quintessential placeholder trading day that it was probably always destined to be.  Bonds lost a modest amount of ground ear... (read more)
Mortgage Rate Watch
Mortgage rates hit their best levels in more than a month by the end of last week after moving lower for 4 straight days.  If you could only know one thing about today, it's that although rates didn't extend their winning streak, they are still ... (read more)
Rob Chrisman
When I was a teen, I worked a variety of jobs but never at a fast-food joint. No one made much money working at Mickey D’s or Dairy Queen. Now, in California, there’s AB 1228, which replaced the FAST Recovery Act and requires a $20-per-hour minimum w... (read more)
Mortgage Rates
MBS / Treasuries