2 Straight Days of Gains?! Not only have bonds managed to pull off a feat rarely seen in recent memory (back to back days of solid gains), but the total drop in yields is the biggest since August 2024.  Today's improvement wasn't nearly as big as yesterday's CPI-driven rally, but it would have been very strange if it had been.  The data and events on tap didn't have the street cred to drive such craziness.  Modestly weaker retail sales helped yields level off after overnight weakness, but comments from Fed's Waller and Treasury Secretary nominee Bessent accounted for most of the day's downward movement in yields.  Econ Data / EventsRetail Sales0.4 vs 0.6 f'cast, 0.7 prev Retail Sales excluding autos0.4 vs 0.4 f'cast, 0.2 prev Jobless Claims217k vs 210k f'cast, 201k prev Continued Claims1.859m vs 1.870m f'cast, 1.867m prev Philly Fed Index44.3  vs -5 f'cast, -16.4 prev Market Movement Recap10:01 AM Slightly weaker overnight with a bit of a recovery after the data.  MBS down only 1 tick (.03) and 10yr up 1.8bps at 4.671 11:53 AM Additional gains after Waller comments and Bessent confirmation comments.  10yr down 4.2bps at 4.611.  MBS up a quarter point. 02:57 PM MBS up 6 ticks (.19) and 10yr down 4.4bps at 4.608
MND logo
January 16, 2025
Download our Mobile App:
Download from Google Play
Download from Apple App Store
View the QR Code
Download our Mobile App:
Download from Google Play
Download from Apple App Store
MBS Commentary
2 Straight Days of Gains?! Not only have bonds managed to pull off a feat rarely seen in recent memory (back to back days of solid gains), but the total drop in yields is the biggest since August 2024.  ... (read more)
Mortgage Rate Watch
After having a great day yesterday, mortgage rates were able to add another "good" day today.  The net effect brings the average lender's top tier 30yr fixed rate back down to levels last seen on January 2nd, exactly 2 weeks ago.   Ye... (read more)
Rob Chrisman
Do you know the interest rate on your loan? How about the age of your roof? Here in Austin, a big concern is too much growth: Austin has gained 1 million people in the last 15 years. Sprawl, traffic, and new construction have become the name of the g... (read more)
Mortgage Rates
MBS / Treasuries