Uneventful Conclusion to Another Volatile Week This morning began like many other recent mornings with economic data making a strong, logical case for bonds to move in a certain direction only for bonds to subsequently reverse course and do something else.  In today's case, it was Retail Sales that pushed yields higher at first.  Perhaps it was also Retail Sales that allowed for a friendly correction as traders digested the report's internal components (which weren't as favorable as the headline).  Either way, bonds were able to get all the way back to positive territory by the afternoon.  That's good in and of itself, but with 10yr yields still over 4.4%, the uptrend is still intact in the bigger picture. Econ Data / EventsRetail Sales0.4 vs 0.3 f'cast last month revised to 0.8 from 0.4 NY Fed Manufacturing31.2 vs -0.7 f'cast, -11.9 prev Import Prices0.3 vs -0.1 f'cast, -0.4 prev Export Prices0.8 vs -0.1 f'cast, -0.6 prev Market Movement Recap09:17 AM modestly stronger overnight and weaker after data.  MBS down 5 ticks (.16) and 10yr up 3.5bps at 4.474 09:28 AM weakest levels after trying to bounce briefly.  MBS down 6 ticks (.19) and 10yr up 3.9bps at 4.478 01:35 PM Bouncing back to best levels of the day now.  MBS up 1 tick and 10yr down 1.9bps at 4.42 03:40 PM Off the strongest levels, but not swooning in a major way.  MBS down 2 ticks (.06) and 10yr down half a bp at 4.434
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November 15, 2024
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MBS Commentary
Uneventful Conclusion to Another Volatile Week This morning began like many other recent mornings with economic data making a strong, logical case for bonds to move in a certain direction only for bonds to su... (read more)
Mortgage Rate Watch
This afternoon's mortgage rates are higher than yesterday's latest levels.  That's a result of bond market weakness seen late yesterday and earlier this morning.  Why would yesterday's market movement matter?  Simply put, it was too la... (read more)
Rob Chrisman
"To the person who stole my glasses. I will find you; I have contacts." Here in Cleveland, much of the mortgage talk involves conjecture about where we’ll find the Agencies in a few years. If you’d like some “inside baseball” knowledge about what may... (read more)
Mortgage Rates
MBS / Treasuries