While there was never much of a chance of mortgage rates moving above the levels seen at the beginning of last week, they were easily able to nab the dubious distinction of hitting this week's highest levels today. This is the least surprising thing imaginable after looking at this week's chart of mortgage-backed securities prices. As the caption advises, the lower the line, the higher the implication for mortgage rates.  The weakness was already in the works as of yesterday afternoon, but the market deteriorated further overnight and in the early morning hours for reasons that are esoteric as they are inconsequential.  In the bigger picture, apart from the past 5 days, we're still at the lowest levels in 6 months and we're still waiting for only a few key economic reports to set the tone for rates going forward. 
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July 19, 2024
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Mortgage Rate Watch
While there was never much of a chance of mortgage rates moving above the levels seen at the beginning of last week, they were easily able to nab the dubious distinction of hitting this week's highest levels today. This is the least surprising thing ... (read more)
MBS Commentary
This week's bond rally hit a wall at the 3pm close on Wednesday.  There's been gradual upward pressure since then with today's overnight session seeing some of the fastest selling.  The counterpoint is that the selling is only fast rel... (read more)
Rob Chrisman
I get asked if I think our industry puts too much emphasis on what the Federal Reserve is doing, and its being able to control inflation. In a word, my answer is yes. The Fed has a hand in inflation, but it isn’t the whole story. A President cuts off... (read more)
Mortgage Rates
MBS / Treasuries