Additional Mid-Day Gains Independent of Data and Events Bonds traded the day in two distinct sections.  First up was the reaction to the Retail Sales data with a logical rally following the weaker results.  Gains weren't especially huge and a modest correction lasted until 11am.  At that point, the second shift began with volume profiles suggesting position squaring ahead of Wednesday's holiday closure.  The preponderance of Fed speakers could also have been deemed supportive, but the timing and trading volumes don't support that conclusion very well.  This mini bull run ended with the 20yr bond auction which caused brief, 2-way trading without leaving a lasting impression.  Bonds were flat after that. Econ Data / EventsRetail Sales0.1 vs 0.2 f'cast last month revised down to -0.2 from 0.0 Industrial Production 0.9 vs 0.3 f'cast, 0.0 prev Market Movement Recap08:46 AM flat overnight with a modest rally after Retail Sales.  MBS up nearly a quarter point.  10yr down 4.3bps at 4.24. 10:21 AM Backtracking from AM gains a bit.  10yr down 2.2bps at 4.26. MBS up 3 ticks (.09). 01:08 PM stronger into the auction and little changed after.  10yr down 6.2bps at 4.22.  MBS up a quarter point.
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June 18, 2024
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MBS Commentary
Additional Mid-Day Gains Independent of Data and Events Bonds traded the day in two distinct sections.  First up was the reaction to the Retail Sales data with a logical rally following the weaker result... (read more)
Mortgage Rate Watch
Mortgage rates began the week with a modest move back up and over the 7% threshold, but managed to erase some of those losses today.  The improvement followed this morning's Retail Sales data which came out weaker than expected. Mortgage rates ... (read more)
Rob Chrisman
It’s been 55 years since Bryan Adams’ Summer of ’69. (That’s 55 years prior to the latest CFPB action against a lender.) Here in Hawai’i, the population during that time has increased, but has leveled off in recent years at about 1.4 million (for per... (read more)
Mortgage Rates
MBS / Treasuries