Economic data is one of the most basic and reliable inputs for the bond market.  The bond market, in turn, dictates day to day interest rate movement.  In general, weaker economic data pushes rates lower and that was today in a nutshell. Weekly Jobless Claims came in at the highest levels since 2021 and the bond market reacted immediately.  It wasn't a huge move in the bigger picture, but enough to counteract the jump to higher rates seen on Wednesday. Bigger volatility remains a bigger risk surrounding next week's Consumer Price Index data on Tuesday and the Fed Announcement on Wednesday.
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June 8, 2023
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Mortgage Rate Watch
Economic data is one of the most basic and reliable inputs for the bond market.  The bond market, in turn, dictates day to day interest rate movement.  In general, weaker economic data pushes rates lower and that was today in a nutshell. W... (read more)
MBS Commentary
Claims Data Completely Erases At Least One Day of Higher Rate Expectations There have been been several days recently that have resulted in financial markets upping the odds for the Fed keeping rates higher f... (read more)
Rob Chrisman
There’s a lot going on, and not only jawboning about a potential Fed rate increase next week. We have the smoke drifting down from Canada and slowing or stopping flights in the Northeast. The Wall Street Journal reports that China and Cuba have signe... (read more)
Mortgage Rates
MBS / Treasuries